🏷️ Likely Rental
346 Ohio St · Lexington-Fayette, KY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Attention investors! As-is listing: Great opportunity to acquire a cash-flowing rental property near downtown Lexington at an attractive price point. This duplex features Unit A with 3-bedroom, 1-bath and Unit B with 2-bedroom, 1 bath. Both units are currently rented and occupied, making it produce income from day one. Rented at $2,330/month, with Unit A bringing in $1,265/mo and Unit B bringing in $1,065/mo. Tenants have been with us since early 2024. This one checks the boxes for investors looking to build or expand their portfolio! Schedule a showing today.
Key facts
- 3,833 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 96 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Downtown subdivision
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Natural gas not available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Duplex; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block and pillar/post/pier foundation; Built-up building area (total building area recorded)
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Chain link fencing; Few trees on the lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range
- Bedrooms: Total of 13 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Awning(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: William Wells Brown Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #648 of 676 statewide, top 98%, 308 students, 86% FRL); Lexington Trad Magnet School (math 11% / reading 29%, grade F, #206 of 217 statewide, top 95%, 296 students, 81% FRL); Frederick Douglass High School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #51 of 254 statewide, top 21%, 1,667 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 44% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fayette County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $200k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.37%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $360,327
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421 East Second St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,272 (+13%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $163 | 55 |
| 528 North Broadway Rd | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (-1%) | 11mo | $528,000 | $264 | 53 |
| 470 Johnson Ave Unit 1 & 2 | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,144 (+6%) | 22mo | $335,000 | $156 | 50 |
| 228 Rose St | 0.61mi | 5/3.0 | 2,100 (+4%) | 21mo | $375,000 | $179 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $9,674
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $99,414
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40508
- Rents YoY
- 11.8%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,146 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $966/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263 N Limestone Lexington, KY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 627 N Martin Luther King Blvd Lexington, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 341 Grosvenor Ave Unit 3 & 4 Lexington, KY | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1734 | $5,200 | $3.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 374 Park Ave Lexington, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $3,500 | $2.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 443 Shawnee Ave Lexington, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1435 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $199,900
-
2026-04-20price $204,900
-
2025-12-10$209,000 Active
-
2023-08-13historical $1,100
-
2023-07-16$1,100
-
2023-04-17soldstatus $100,000
-
2010-02-01historical
-
2009-08-04$77,500
-
2007-06-18historical
-
2006-12-18$65,000
-
2006-12-17historical
-
2006-06-21$69,900
-
2003-05-28historical
-
2002-01-28$89,000
-
2001-06-21soldstatus $86,000
-
2001-03-25historical
-
2000-10-15$76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $966 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,719 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$753/yr (+$63/mo · 78.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$966
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,060
- − Management
- −$2,060
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $2,657
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$638
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,165/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 2101860
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,245
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5211
- State rank
- #27 of 165 in KY
Livability — Lexington-Fayette
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- County
- Fayette County · 317,143 people
- City population
- 321,882
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,756
- Household income
- $29,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2644.0
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 363,454 people
- By 2030
- 388,270 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 438,688 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 490,667 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 625,394 · +72.1%
- By 2100
- 721,354 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.1) · D 58.0% · R 39.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.3pp toward D · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: 18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.1 2020: D+20.8 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.04%
- Current HPI
- 204.3994
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.83%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+163.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $199,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $204,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-12-10 Listed $209,000 ImagineMLS
- 2023-08-13 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2023-07-16 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2023-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2010-02-01 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2009-08-04 Listed $77,500 ImagineMLS
- 2007-06-18 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2006-12-18 Listed $65,000 ImagineMLS
- 2006-12-17 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2006-06-21 Listed $69,900 ImagineMLS
- 2003-05-28 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2002-01-28 Listed $89,000 ImagineMLS
- 2001-06-21 Sold (MLS) $86,000 ImagineMLS
- 2001-03-25 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2000-10-15 Listed $76,000 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2015): $966 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…