821 Bronx River Rd Unit 4D · Yonkers, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1952
- Listed 53 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.3% in Yonkers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Yonkers City School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #413 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $170k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.23%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,053
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -11.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $14,868
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $76,674
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Yonkers
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+20
ZIP-level market 10708
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 245
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,352 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$494
- Net cashflow
- $617
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669 N Terrace Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,031 | $2.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $2,841 | $2.97 | 2d | 16 | 0.34mi |
| 42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $3,956 | $3.90 | 24d | 15 | 0.34mi |
| 33 William St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,850 | $2.55 | 22d | 2 | 0.40mi |
| 103 North St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,900 | $2.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 18 N Bond St Unit 3D Mt Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,000 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 13 N Bond St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,785 | $2.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 277 Bronx River Rd Apt 3M Yonkers, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $1,700 | $3.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2325 Cortlandt St Unit 4 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 118 N Columbus Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,700 | $2.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 119 S 11th Ave Unit 1 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 216 1st St Unit 1 Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,000 | $3.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 28 Kenilworth Rd Unit The Cottage Yonkers, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,950 | $3.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- parking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-02status Active 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.
-
2026-04-22$177,500 Active 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.
-
2026-04-21historical $177,500 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.
-
2026-04-21$177,500 Active 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.
-
2018-06-21soldstatus $100,000 Sold 276-char remark
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS ONE BEDROOM CO-OP IN SOUGHT AFTER BRONX RIVER ROAD. LOVELY ALL BRICK BUILDING THE UNIT DOES NEED SOME TLC. BUT, HAS MUCH POTENTIAL. LIVING ROOM IS SPACIOUS. WALKING DISTANCE TO BRONXVILLE TRAIN STATION. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,
-
2018-03-13historical Pending 276-char remark
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS ONE BEDROOM CO-OP IN SOUGHT AFTER BRONX RIVER ROAD. LOVELY ALL BRICK BUILDING THE UNIT DOES NEED SOME TLC. BUT, HAS MUCH POTENTIAL. LIVING ROOM IS SPACIOUS. WALKING DISTANCE TO BRONXVILLE TRAIN STATION. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,
-
2017-08-23$100,000 Active 276-char remark
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS ONE BEDROOM CO-OP IN SOUGHT AFTER BRONX RIVER ROAD. LOVELY ALL BRICK BUILDING THE UNIT DOES NEED SOME TLC. BUT, HAS MUCH POTENTIAL. LIVING ROOM IS SPACIOUS. WALKING DISTANCE TO BRONXVILLE TRAIN STATION. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,
-
2017-08-19historical
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2017-08-10status Active
-
2017-08-01historical
-
2016-12-28$105,000 Active
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2016-09-01historical Expired
-
2016-08-31historical
-
2016-03-01Active
-
2016-03-01$110,000
-
2014-09-01historical Expired
-
2014-08-31historical
-
2014-06-27status Active
-
2014-06-26historical Expired
-
2014-03-25status Active
-
2014-03-24historical Expired
-
2013-12-23status Active
-
2013-12-22historical
-
2013-08-06Active
-
2013-08-06$105,000
-
2010-05-11
-
2010-05-11historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,227
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,550
- − Insurance
- −$1,648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,258
- − Management
- −$2,258
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $5,045
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,211
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yonkers City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631920
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,042
- Composite
- 41.43/100
- National rank
- #3471
- State rank
- #413 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yonkers
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #9394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yonkers, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 212,407
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,482
- Household income
- $126,343
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 357.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -668.11%
- Current HPI
- 203.4295
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.27%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+69.0% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $177,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Coming Soon $177,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $177,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-21 Sold (MLS) $100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-13 Contingent — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-23 Listed $100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-19 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-10 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-28 Listed $105,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-01 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2016-08-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-01 Listed — HGMLS
- 2016-03-01 Listed $110,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-01 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2014-08-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-27 Relisted — HGMLS
- 2014-06-26 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2014-03-25 Relisted — HGMLS
- 2014-03-24 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2013-12-23 Relisted — HGMLS
- 2013-12-22 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2013-08-06 Listed — HGMLS
- 2013-08-06 Listed $105,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-11 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2010-05-11 Listed — HGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…