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821 Bronx River Rd Unit 4D
B+ Composite 75.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

821 Bronx River Rd Unit 4D · Yonkers, NY 10708
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 722 sqft · Condo · 53 Days on market
Built 1952 $235/sqft · 12% below area Est $193k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1952
  • Listed 53 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.3% in Yonkers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Yonkers City School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #413 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $170k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.12%
Cash-on-cash
17.23%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$193,053
List price
$170,000
Delta
-11.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$14,868
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$76,674
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City Yonkers
5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+20
Westchester rent guidelines board.

ZIP-level market 10708

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
245
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,352 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
Insurance
$71
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$617

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,571
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
669 N Terrace Ave Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,031 $2.71 25d 1 0.32mi
42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 955 $2,841 $2.97 2d 16 0.34mi
42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 1014 $3,956 $3.90 24d 15 0.34mi
33 William St Mount Vernon, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,850 $2.55 22d 2 0.40mi
103 North St Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 720 $1,900 $2.64 21d 1 0.76mi
18 N Bond St Unit 3D Mt Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,000 $2.67 25d 1 1.05mi
13 N Bond St Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $1,785 $2.98 25d 1 1.07mi
277 Bronx River Rd Apt 3M Yonkers, NY 1.0 550 $1,700 $3.09 44d 1 1.31mi
2325 Cortlandt St Unit 4 Mt Vernon, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $2,300 $3.29 25d 1 1.32mi
118 N Columbus Ave Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $1,700 $2.62 25d 1 1.32mi
119 S 11th Ave Unit 1 Mt Vernon, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $2,800 $4.00 11d 1 1.37mi
216 1st St Unit 1 Yonkers, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $2,000 $3.33 44d 1 1.47mi
28 Kenilworth Rd Unit The Cottage Yonkers, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $1,950 $3.25 14d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
parking
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-02
    status Active 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.

  15. 2026-04-22
    listed $177,500 Active 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.

  16. 2026-04-21
    historical $177,500 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.

  17. 2026-04-21
    listed $177,500 Active 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Bright, convenient and renovated! Easily accessible to the Fleetwood metro north station and shopping, this bright and spacious one bedroom apartment with dining area is the perfect investment for all, from downsizers to first time buyers . Immaculate and spacious, the renovated kitchen with new appliances and bright new windowed bathroom are complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and oversized windows. Abundant natural light from windows in every room and ample closet space add to the comfortable ambiance of this special unit. Assigned parking is available. Renting is allowed pending an extended residency requirement.

  18. 2018-06-21
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS ONE BEDROOM CO-OP IN SOUGHT AFTER BRONX RIVER ROAD. LOVELY ALL BRICK BUILDING THE UNIT DOES NEED SOME TLC. BUT, HAS MUCH POTENTIAL. LIVING ROOM IS SPACIOUS. WALKING DISTANCE TO BRONXVILLE TRAIN STATION. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,

  19. 2018-03-13
    historical Pending 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS ONE BEDROOM CO-OP IN SOUGHT AFTER BRONX RIVER ROAD. LOVELY ALL BRICK BUILDING THE UNIT DOES NEED SOME TLC. BUT, HAS MUCH POTENTIAL. LIVING ROOM IS SPACIOUS. WALKING DISTANCE TO BRONXVILLE TRAIN STATION. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,

  20. 2017-08-23
    listed $100,000 Active 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    BRIGHT AND SPACIOUS ONE BEDROOM CO-OP IN SOUGHT AFTER BRONX RIVER ROAD. LOVELY ALL BRICK BUILDING THE UNIT DOES NEED SOME TLC. BUT, HAS MUCH POTENTIAL. LIVING ROOM IS SPACIOUS. WALKING DISTANCE TO BRONXVILLE TRAIN STATION. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,

  21. 2017-08-19
    historical
  22. 2017-08-10
    status Active
  23. 2017-08-01
    historical
  24. 2016-12-28
    listed $105,000 Active
  25. 2016-09-01
    historical Expired
  26. 2016-08-31
    historical
  27. 2016-03-01
    listed Active
  28. 2016-03-01
    listed $110,000
  29. 2014-09-01
    historical Expired
  30. 2014-08-31
    historical
  31. 2014-06-27
    status Active
  32. 2014-06-26
    historical Expired
  33. 2014-03-25
    status Active
  34. 2014-03-24
    historical Expired
  35. 2013-12-23
    status Active
  36. 2013-12-22
    historical
  37. 2013-08-06
    listed Active
  38. 2013-08-06
    listed $105,000
  39. 2010-05-11
    listed
  40. 2010-05-11
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,227
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,550
− Insurance
−$1,648
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,258
− Management
−$2,258
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$5,045
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,211
After-tax cash flow
$6,193/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yonkers City School District
NCES district ID
3631920
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$58,042
Composite
41.43/100
National rank
#3471
State rank
#413 of 590 in NY

Livability — Yonkers

Score
68/100
State rank
#528
US rank
#9394

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A Housing B- Health & safety B- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yonkers, NY
County
Westchester County · 709,332 people
City population
212,407
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
22,482
Household income
$126,343
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
357.0

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,028,035 people
By 2030
1,051,636 · +2.3%
By 2040
1,098,520 · +6.9%
By 2050
1,136,044 · +10.5%
By 2075
1,196,925 · +16.4%
By 2100
1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -668.11%
Current HPI
203.4295
Rent YoY
▲ 4.27%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+69.0% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $177,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Coming Soon $177,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $177,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-21 Sold (MLS) $100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-13 Contingent OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-23 Listed $100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-19 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-10 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-01 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-28 Listed $105,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-01 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2016-08-31 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-01 Listed HGMLS
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $110,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-01 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2014-08-31 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-27 Relisted HGMLS
  • 2014-06-26 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2014-03-25 Relisted HGMLS
  • 2014-03-24 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2013-12-23 Relisted HGMLS
  • 2013-12-22 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2013-08-06 Listed HGMLS
  • 2013-08-06 Listed $105,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-05-11 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2010-05-11 Listed HGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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