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342 E Allen St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,500

342 E Allen St · Baxley, GA 31513
None bd · 1.0 ba · 1,156 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1945 6,969 sqft lot Est $168k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Appling County, Georgia!!! Great Investment!! These two remodeled units have very nice 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom, a full kitchen, and living room on each side. The backyard has an almost two story mature navel orange tree. The property is just minutes from the central district of Baxley, GA. Just down the road are three major rivers and thousands of acres of Georgia Wildlife Management Areas for hunting or water activities. (The current income is 1000.00 a month and the potential income is 1400.00 a month) TENANT OCCUPIED....

Key facts

  • Full kitchen
  • Living room
  • Remodeled units

Tags

REMODELED UNITSFULL KITCHENLIVING ROOMMATURE NAVEL ORANGE TREECENTRAL DISTRICT OF BAXLEY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $99,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$167,560) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a ?-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $823 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 3.0% in Baxley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#416 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, schools D-.
  • Appling County (town): math 35% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #84 of 174 in GA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Appling County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Appling County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $100k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,530 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
16.22%
Cash-on-cash
35.47%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,560
List price
$99,500
Delta
-40.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$36,311
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
38.2%
Equity multiple
4.56×
Total profit
$99,112
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31513

Home prices YoY
-11.5%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,837 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $775/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$823

Break-even live

Break-even rent $795
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $880 -5% $852 +0% $823 +5% $795 +10% $767
Rent -10% $678 -5% $751 +0% $823 +5% $896 +10% $969
Rate -1.0pp $874 -0.5pp $849 base $823 +0.5pp $798 +1.0pp $771

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,837

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
593 Beach Rd Unit 2 Baxley, GA 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricestatusdays on market $99,500 Price Change 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 59 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    price $110,000 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Welcome to Appling County, Georgia!!! Great Investment!! These two remodeled units have very nice 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom, a full kitchen, and living room on each side. The backyard has an almost two story mature navel orange tree. The property is just minutes from the central district of Baxley, GA. Just down the road are three major rivers and thousands of acres of Georgia Wildlife Management Areas for hunting or water activities. (The current income is 1000.00 a month and the potential income is 1400.00 a month) TENANT OCCUPIED....

  18. 2026-04-01
    listed $115,000 New 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Welcome to Appling County, Georgia!!! Great Investment!! These two remodeled units have very nice 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom, a full kitchen, and living room on each side. The backyard has an almost two story mature navel orange tree. The property is just minutes from the central district of Baxley, GA. Just down the road are three major rivers and thousands of acres of Georgia Wildlife Management Areas for hunting or water activities. (The current income is 1000.00 a month and the potential income is 1400.00 a month) TENANT OCCUPIED....

  19. 2024-10-15
    soldstatus $65,000
  20. 2024-09-20
    soldstatus $65,000 Sold 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    This lovely duplex contains 1 bedroom, 1 bath, a full kitchen and living room on both sides with nice clean interior. The backyard has an almost 2 story mature navel tree loaded with green oranges. It is not tenant occupied and kept very clean. I also have the inspection report upon request. Call me to schedule a tour. It wont last long!

  21. 2024-08-26
    status Pending Offer Approval 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    This lovely duplex contains 1 bedroom, 1 bath, a full kitchen and living room on both sides with nice clean interior. The backyard has an almost 2 story mature navel tree loaded with green oranges. It is not tenant occupied and kept very clean. I also have the inspection report upon request. Call me to schedule a tour. It wont last long!

  22. 2024-08-23
    listed $79,000 New 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    This lovely duplex contains 1 bedroom, 1 bath, a full kitchen and living room on both sides with nice clean interior. The backyard has an almost 2 story mature navel tree loaded with green oranges. It is not tenant occupied and kept very clean. I also have the inspection report upon request. Call me to schedule a tour. It wont last long!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$775 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$915 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$141/yr (+$12/mo · 18.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,044
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$775
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,764
− Management
−$1,764
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$8,776
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,106
After-tax cash flow
$7,775/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Appling County
NCES district ID
1300060
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,536
Composite
27.02/100
National rank
#7056
State rank
#84 of 174 in GA

Livability — Baxley

Score
59/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#20537

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baxley, GA
City population
15,941
Population (ZIP)
15,941

Population outlook (Appling County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,311 people
By 2030
18,130 · -1.0%
By 2040
17,650 · -3.6%
By 2050
16,788 · -8.3%
By 2075
14,406 · -21.3%
By 2100
10,443 · -43.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Appling

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.4) · D 18.7% · R 81.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -62.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.4 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+49.1 2008: R+46.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.21%
Current HPI
194.6928
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $115,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2024-09-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-08-26 Pending GAMLS
  • 2024-08-23 Listed $79,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $775 · +109.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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