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1307 Sierra Ct 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 49.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$254,900

1307 Sierra Ct · Gardendale, AL 35071
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,106 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 109 Days on market
Built 2006 Est $354k · 28% under $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is your chance to snag a diamond in the rough!!! This is a deal. .. WHY? Because the Seller needs to sell it quickly and does not have time to fix it up after tenants moved out. The known issues are: possible plumbing issue with one toilet. Previous leak near fireplace that was repaired - have not seen any water but repair does not look professional. HVAC not functioning properly per tenant. Could use a new roof due to age. Other than that, the home just needs some love. Priced WELL below comps. Don't miss this one. Gardendale schools, commute to Birmingham only about 15-20 minutes. So. .. if having 40-50k worth of equity within the first year or two would be worth some minor repairs and elbow grease to you, I would make an offer on this house yesterday. Activating on 4/30. Appliances stay. Area on top floor that could be finished for another bedroom or bonus room.

Key facts

  • Private back yard
  • Huge island
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

UNFINISHED BONUS ROOMHUGE ISLANDNEW LAMINAE WOOD FLOORINGPRIVATE BACK YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,696 square feet; Directions: I65 North to Exit 271, left on Fieldstown Road 1.2 miles, left on Shady Grove Road 0.8 miles, right into Lexington Park
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Annual association fee: $400

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage with front-facing garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 2006; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Subdivision: Lexington Parc

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave drawer
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (one)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $254,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$353,808) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Gardendale Elementary School (math 20% / reading 56%, grade F, #263 of 627 statewide, top 42%, 677 students, 48% FRL); Bragg Middle School (math 6% / reading 51%, grade F, #138 of 257 statewide, top 54%, 746 students, 53% FRL); Gardendale High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,047 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $215k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $217,669 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.78%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$353,808
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4252 Sierra Way 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,110 (+0%) 2mo $314,900 $149 88
1447 Woodridge Pl 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,040 (-3%) 4mo $390,000 $191 65
4488 Sierra Ln 0.29mi 3/2.0 2,354 (+12%) 3mo $300,000 $127 64
4375 Sierra Dr 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,354 (+12%) 4mo $310,000 $132 64
6255 Northridge Cir 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,176 (+3%) 3mo $349,000 $160 61
4201 Sierra Way 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,852 (-12%) 6mo $283,000 $153 58
879 Brookline Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 2,291 (+9%) 10mo $372,000 $162 49
4560 Shady Grove Ln 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,907 (-9%) 2mo $445,000 $233 49
4670 Northridge Dr 0.62mi 3/4.0 2,287 (+9%) 2mo $410,000 $179 48
4583 Shady Grove Ln 0.69mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,317 (+10%) 1mo $449,000 $194 41
765 Brookline Cir 0.73mi 3/3.0 2,260 (+7%) 10mo $379,000 $168 41
4579 Shady Grove Ln 0.69mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,384 (+13%) 6mo $423,550 $178 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-34,622
Equity at exit
$38,006
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-21,704
Equity at exit
$22,039

Cash invested: $71,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35071

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,177 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,043
Max offer price $254,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $250 -5% $178 +0% $106 +5% $34 +10% $-38
Rent -10% $-66 -5% $20 +0% $106 +5% $192 +10% $278
Rate -1.0pp $234 -0.5pp $171 base $106 +0.5pp $40 +1.0pp $-27

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,725
Closing costs
$7,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1298 Easterwood Blvd Gardendale, AL 3.0 2.0 1895 $1,766 $0.93 45d 1 0.09mi
205 Cottage Dr Gardendale, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1193 $2,472 $2.07 3d 64 0.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $254,900 Active 109 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $254,900 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $254,900 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $254,900 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    status $254,900 Pending 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $254,900 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $254,900 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-05-18
    status Active
  9. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  10. 2026-01-30
    status Active
  11. 2026-01-25
    status Pending
  12. 2026-01-06
    listed $254,900 Active
  13. 2022-07-29
    soldstatus $215,000 Sold 885-char remark
    Show marketing remark (885 chars)

    Here is your chance to snag a diamond in the rough!!! This is a deal. .. WHY? Because the Seller needs to sell it quickly and does not have time to fix it up after tenants moved out. The known issues are: possible plumbing issue with one toilet. Previous leak near fireplace that was repaired - have not seen any water but repair does not look professional. HVAC not functioning properly per tenant. Could use a new roof due to age. Other than that, the home just needs some love. Priced WELL below comps. Don't miss this one. Gardendale schools, commute to Birmingham only about 15-20 minutes. So. .. if having 40-50k worth of equity within the first year or two would be worth some minor repairs and elbow grease to you, I would make an offer on this house yesterday. Activating on 4/30. Appliances stay. Area on top floor that could be finished for another bedroom or bonus room.

  14. 2022-05-03
    historical Contingent 885-char remark
    Show marketing remark (885 chars)

    Here is your chance to snag a diamond in the rough!!! This is a deal. .. WHY? Because the Seller needs to sell it quickly and does not have time to fix it up after tenants moved out. The known issues are: possible plumbing issue with one toilet. Previous leak near fireplace that was repaired - have not seen any water but repair does not look professional. HVAC not functioning properly per tenant. Could use a new roof due to age. Other than that, the home just needs some love. Priced WELL below comps. Don't miss this one. Gardendale schools, commute to Birmingham only about 15-20 minutes. So. .. if having 40-50k worth of equity within the first year or two would be worth some minor repairs and elbow grease to you, I would make an offer on this house yesterday. Activating on 4/30. Appliances stay. Area on top floor that could be finished for another bedroom or bonus room.

  15. 2022-04-22
    listed $190,000 Active 885-char remark
    Show marketing remark (885 chars)

    Here is your chance to snag a diamond in the rough!!! This is a deal. .. WHY? Because the Seller needs to sell it quickly and does not have time to fix it up after tenants moved out. The known issues are: possible plumbing issue with one toilet. Previous leak near fireplace that was repaired - have not seen any water but repair does not look professional. HVAC not functioning properly per tenant. Could use a new roof due to age. Other than that, the home just needs some love. Priced WELL below comps. Don't miss this one. Gardendale schools, commute to Birmingham only about 15-20 minutes. So. .. if having 40-50k worth of equity within the first year or two would be worth some minor repairs and elbow grease to you, I would make an offer on this house yesterday. Activating on 4/30. Appliances stay. Area on top floor that could be finished for another bedroom or bonus room.

  16. 2017-12-27
    soldstatus $175,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,654 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,654 · $138/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,120
− Mortgage interest
−$14,278
− Property taxes
−$1,654
− Insurance
−$1,274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,090
− Management
−$2,090
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$7,415
Taxable loss
−$3,077
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$738
After-tax cash flow
$2,008/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Gardendale

Score
66/100
State rank
#113
US rank
#12225

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gardendale, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
17,288
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
17,288
Household income
$82,074
Rent vs Own
22.5% rent · 77.5% own
Severe rent burden
151.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.29%
Current HPI
206.7447
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted VMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Relisted VMLS
  • 2026-01-25 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $254,900 VMLS
  • 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $215,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-05-03 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-04-22 Listed $190,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2017-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,654 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…