🏷️ Likely Rental
1307 Sierra Ct · Gardendale, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$254,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is your chance to snag a diamond in the rough!!! This is a deal. .. WHY? Because the Seller needs to sell it quickly and does not have time to fix it up after tenants moved out. The known issues are: possible plumbing issue with one toilet. Previous leak near fireplace that was repaired - have not seen any water but repair does not look professional. HVAC not functioning properly per tenant. Could use a new roof due to age. Other than that, the home just needs some love. Priced WELL below comps. Don't miss this one. Gardendale schools, commute to Birmingham only about 15-20 minutes. So. .. if having 40-50k worth of equity within the first year or two would be worth some minor repairs and elbow grease to you, I would make an offer on this house yesterday. Activating on 4/30. Appliances stay. Area on top floor that could be finished for another bedroom or bonus room.
Key facts
- Private back yard
- Huge island
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,696 square feet; Directions: I65 North to Exit 271, left on Fieldstown Road 1.2 miles, left on Shady Grove Road 0.8 miles, right into Lexington Park
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Annual association fee: $400
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage with front-facing garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 2006; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Subdivision: Lexington Parc
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave drawer
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (one)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (14.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $218k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Gardendale Elementary School (math 20% / reading 56%, grade F, #263 of 627 statewide, top 42%, 677 students, 48% FRL); Bragg Middle School (math 6% / reading 51%, grade F, #138 of 257 statewide, top 54%, 746 students, 53% FRL); Gardendale High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,047 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $215k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.78%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $353,808
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4252 Sierra Way | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 2,110 (+0%) | 2mo | $314,900 | $149 | 88 |
| 1447 Woodridge Pl | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,040 (-3%) | 4mo | $390,000 | $191 | 65 |
| 4488 Sierra Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 2,354 (+12%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $127 | 64 |
| 4375 Sierra Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,354 (+12%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $132 | 64 |
| 6255 Northridge Cir | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,176 (+3%) | 3mo | $349,000 | $160 | 61 |
| 4201 Sierra Way | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,852 (-12%) | 6mo | $283,000 | $153 | 58 |
| 879 Brookline Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,291 (+9%) | 10mo | $372,000 | $162 | 49 |
| 4560 Shady Grove Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,907 (-9%) | 2mo | $445,000 | $233 | 49 |
| 4670 Northridge Dr | 0.62mi | 3/4.0 | 2,287 (+9%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $179 | 48 |
| 4583 Shady Grove Ln | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,317 (+10%) | 1mo | $449,000 | $194 | 41 |
| 765 Brookline Cir | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 2,260 (+7%) | 10mo | $379,000 | $168 | 41 |
| 4579 Shady Grove Ln | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,384 (+13%) | 6mo | $423,550 | $178 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-34,622
- Equity at exit
- $38,006
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-21,704
- Equity at exit
- $22,039
Cash invested: $71,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35071
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $106
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $250 | -5% $178 | +0% $106 | +5% $34 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-66 | -5% $20 | +0% $106 | +5% $192 | +10% $278 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $234 | -0.5pp $171 | base $106 | +0.5pp $40 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,725
- Closing costs
- $7,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1298 Easterwood Blvd Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1895 | $1,766 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 205 Cottage Dr Gardendale, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1193 | $2,472 | $2.07 | 3d | 64 | 0.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $254,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $254,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $254,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $254,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $254,900 Pending 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $254,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $254,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-01-30status Active
-
2026-01-25status Pending
-
2026-01-06$254,900 Active
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $215,000 Sold 885-char remark
Show marketing remark (885 chars)
Here is your chance to snag a diamond in the rough!!! This is a deal. .. WHY? Because the Seller needs to sell it quickly and does not have time to fix it up after tenants moved out. The known issues are: possible plumbing issue with one toilet. Previous leak near fireplace that was repaired - have not seen any water but repair does not look professional. HVAC not functioning properly per tenant. Could use a new roof due to age. Other than that, the home just needs some love. Priced WELL below comps. Don't miss this one. Gardendale schools, commute to Birmingham only about 15-20 minutes. So. .. if having 40-50k worth of equity within the first year or two would be worth some minor repairs and elbow grease to you, I would make an offer on this house yesterday. Activating on 4/30. Appliances stay. Area on top floor that could be finished for another bedroom or bonus room.
-
2022-05-03historical Contingent 885-char remark
Show marketing remark (885 chars)
Here is your chance to snag a diamond in the rough!!! This is a deal. .. WHY? Because the Seller needs to sell it quickly and does not have time to fix it up after tenants moved out. The known issues are: possible plumbing issue with one toilet. Previous leak near fireplace that was repaired - have not seen any water but repair does not look professional. HVAC not functioning properly per tenant. Could use a new roof due to age. Other than that, the home just needs some love. Priced WELL below comps. Don't miss this one. Gardendale schools, commute to Birmingham only about 15-20 minutes. So. .. if having 40-50k worth of equity within the first year or two would be worth some minor repairs and elbow grease to you, I would make an offer on this house yesterday. Activating on 4/30. Appliances stay. Area on top floor that could be finished for another bedroom or bonus room.
-
2022-04-22$190,000 Active 885-char remark
Show marketing remark (885 chars)
Here is your chance to snag a diamond in the rough!!! This is a deal. .. WHY? Because the Seller needs to sell it quickly and does not have time to fix it up after tenants moved out. The known issues are: possible plumbing issue with one toilet. Previous leak near fireplace that was repaired - have not seen any water but repair does not look professional. HVAC not functioning properly per tenant. Could use a new roof due to age. Other than that, the home just needs some love. Priced WELL below comps. Don't miss this one. Gardendale schools, commute to Birmingham only about 15-20 minutes. So. .. if having 40-50k worth of equity within the first year or two would be worth some minor repairs and elbow grease to you, I would make an offer on this house yesterday. Activating on 4/30. Appliances stay. Area on top floor that could be finished for another bedroom or bonus room.
-
2017-12-27soldstatus $175,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,278
- − Property taxes
- −$1,654
- − Insurance
- −$1,274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,090
- − Management
- −$2,090
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$7,415
- Taxable loss
- −$3,077
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$738
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Gardendale
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #12225
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gardendale, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 17,288
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,074
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 151.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.29%
- Current HPI
- 206.7447
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+45.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-04-09 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-01-30 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-01-25 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $254,900 VMLS
- 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $215,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-05-03 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-04-22 Listed $190,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,654 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…