112 Blackwell Ct · Owens Cross Roads, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this neatly maintained and freshly painted 3bd/2ba with two living areas! This home boasts an open floor plan downstairs, great for entertaining, and a cozy second living room upstairs for a more relaxed evening. The master offers a lot of space, and expansive bath and closet. All flooring was installed in 2018, along with a new refrigerator, and a 2 year old HVAC unit. The privacy fenced backyard offers seclusion and relaxation. The attached two car garage has been freshly painted. Enjoy your home in this well-established neighborhood, just minutes from convenient shopping and schools. All facts, schools, and measurements to be verified by buyer or buyer's agent prior to closing.
Key facts
- 6,150 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2017
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Bristol Creek
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $100
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 2017; Two-story home; 150 x 41 lot
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Gated community; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Two levels; No fireplace listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.5% in Owens Cross Roads — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#65 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Owens Cross Roads School (math 31% / reading 63%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 319 students, 54% FRL); New Hope High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #59 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 586 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 29% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 366 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.25%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $303,066
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Sedgewick Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 2,732 (+2%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $82 | 83 |
| 137 Sedgewick Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 2,601 (-3%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $92 | 78 |
| 124 Winstead Cir | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 2,841 (+6%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $86 | 69 |
| 128 Winstead Cir | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 2,440 (-9%) | 4mo | $275,500 | $113 | 68 |
| 202 Sedgewick Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 2,449 (-9%) | 0mo | $264,900 | $108 | 65 |
| 188 Winstead Cir | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 2,850 (+6%) | 9mo | $280,000 | $98 | 64 |
| 187 Sedgewick Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,775 (+4%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $97 | 64 |
| 100 Gander Cir | 0.38mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,817 (+5%) | 10mo | $384,900 | $137 | 52 |
| 113 Barlow Way | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,583 (-4%) | 10mo | $359,900 | $139 | 52 |
| 107 Barlow Way | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,955 (+10%) | 11mo | $367,000 | $124 | 41 |
| 103 Barlow Way | 0.47mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,987 (+11%) | 10mo | $354,000 | $119 | 38 |
| 117 Waltrip Dr | 0.54mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,060 (+14%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $123 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-22,830
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,514
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35763
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 366
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,935 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,077/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$8
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $159
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Belle Haven Dr Unit 126 Owens Cross Roads, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3280 | $1,860 | $0.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 119 Belle Haven Dr Owens Cross Roads, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2246 | $1,690 | $0.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 136 Winstead Cir Owens Cross Roads, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1980 | $1,650 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 138 Winstead Cir Owens Cross Roads, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2375 | $1,910 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 135 Varina Dr Owens Cross Roads, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3078 | $2,200 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 175 Lyons Rd Owens Cross Roads, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2264 | $1,950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 104 Fire Fly Ln Owens Cross Roads, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2194 | $1,561 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $8 · $96/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $209,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $209,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $209,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$209,900 Active
-
2022-03-16soldstatus $220,025
-
2022-03-15soldstatus $244,500 Sold 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
Come see this neatly maintained and freshly painted 3bd/2ba with two living areas! This home boasts an open floor plan downstairs, great for entertaining, and a cozy second living room upstairs for a more relaxed evening. The master offers a lot of space, and expansive bath and closet. All flooring was installed in 2018, along with a new refrigerator, and a 2 year old HVAC unit. The privacy fenced backyard offers seclusion and relaxation. The attached two car garage has been freshly painted. Enjoy your home in this well-established neighborhood, just minutes from convenient shopping and schools. All facts, schools, and measurements to be verified by buyer or buyer's agent prior to closing.
-
2022-02-15status Pending 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
Come see this neatly maintained and freshly painted 3bd/2ba with two living areas! This home boasts an open floor plan downstairs, great for entertaining, and a cozy second living room upstairs for a more relaxed evening. The master offers a lot of space, and expansive bath and closet. All flooring was installed in 2018, along with a new refrigerator, and a 2 year old HVAC unit. The privacy fenced backyard offers seclusion and relaxation. The attached two car garage has been freshly painted. Enjoy your home in this well-established neighborhood, just minutes from convenient shopping and schools. All facts, schools, and measurements to be verified by buyer or buyer's agent prior to closing.
-
2022-02-15$234,000 Active 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
Come see this neatly maintained and freshly painted 3bd/2ba with two living areas! This home boasts an open floor plan downstairs, great for entertaining, and a cozy second living room upstairs for a more relaxed evening. The master offers a lot of space, and expansive bath and closet. All flooring was installed in 2018, along with a new refrigerator, and a 2 year old HVAC unit. The privacy fenced backyard offers seclusion and relaxation. The attached two car garage has been freshly painted. Enjoy your home in this well-established neighborhood, just minutes from convenient shopping and schools. All facts, schools, and measurements to be verified by buyer or buyer's agent prior to closing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,077 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,077 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,219
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$2,077
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,858
- − Management
- −$1,858
- − HOA
- −$96
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable loss
- −$1,582
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$380
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Owens Cross Roads
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #65
- US rank
- #9303
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Owens Cross Roads, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 19,819
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,819
- Household income
- $123,497
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 73.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.43%
- Current HPI
- 281.0561
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-10.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $209,900 VMLS
- 2022-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $220,025 Public Records
- 2022-03-15 Sold (MLS) $244,500 VMLS
- 2022-02-15 Pending — VMLS
- 2022-02-15 Listed $234,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+15.6%/yrLatest (2024): $2,077 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…