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441 Cr-441f
B+ Composite 78.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$59,900

441 Cr-441f · Freeport, TX 77422
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 552 sqft · SingleFamily · 84 Days on market
Built 1960 Fair condition 3,240 sqft lot $109/sqft · 69% below area ↓ 39% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This unique sanctuary is a nature lover’s dream, set along the scenic San Bernard River. Enveloped by the protected expanse of the San Bernard Wildlife Refuge, this property offers an unparalleled front-row seat to Texas coastal wilderness. Whether your passion is premier hunting, fishing, crabbing, or peaceful kayaking and bird watching, this location serves as the ultimate basecamp for outdoor adventure. The interior features a versatile open-concept layout that can easily accommodate multiple bunkbeds for group retreats or be partitioned to create a traditional one-bedroom configuration. Designed for the active lifestyle, this home includes two full bathrooms, offering a convenient ground-floor bath with a shower and laundry area—perfect for rinsing off after a day on the water. Relax and catch the river breeze within the large screened patio, enjoying bug-free comfort and panoramic views of the natural beauty all around.

Key facts

  • Large screened patio
  • Panoramic views
  • Riverfront sanctuary

Tags

RIVERFRONT SANCTUARYSCENIC SAN BERNARD RIVEROPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTLARGE SCREENED PATIOPANORAMIC VIEWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $47k (21.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($951 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,205 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Sweeny ISD (town): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #480 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,018 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.05%
Cash-on-cash
24.15%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$191,450
List price
$59,900
Delta
-68.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
441 Hudson ( Cr 441a) Ct 0.19mi 2/1.0 (+1) 632 (+14%) 9mo $195,000 $309 51
441 Cr-441a Ct 0.19mi 2/1.0 (+1) 632 (+14%) 9mo $195,000 $309 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$27,230
Equity at exit
$53,963
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$85,195
Equity at exit
$116,373

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77422

Home prices YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$951 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$-89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,064
Max offer price $47,018
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,900 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 65 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 64 DOM
  17. 2026-04-09
    status Active 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    This unique sanctuary is a nature lover’s dream, set along the scenic San Bernard River. Enveloped by the protected expanse of the San Bernard Wildlife Refuge, this property offers an unparalleled front-row seat to Texas coastal wilderness. Whether your passion is premier hunting, fishing, crabbing, or peaceful kayaking and bird watching, this location serves as the ultimate basecamp for outdoor adventure. The interior features a versatile open-concept layout that can easily accommodate multiple bunkbeds for group retreats or be partitioned to create a traditional one-bedroom configuration. Designed for the active lifestyle, this home includes two full bathrooms, offering a convenient ground-floor bath with a shower and laundry area—perfect for rinsing off after a day on the water. Relax and catch the river breeze within the large screened patio, enjoying bug-free comfort and panoramic views of the natural beauty all around.

  18. 2026-04-06
    status Active 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    This unique sanctuary is a nature lover’s dream, set along the scenic San Bernard River. Enveloped by the protected expanse of the San Bernard Wildlife Refuge, this property offers an unparalleled front-row seat to Texas coastal wilderness. Whether your passion is premier hunting, fishing, crabbing, or peaceful kayaking and bird watching, this location serves as the ultimate basecamp for outdoor adventure. The interior features a versatile open-concept layout that can easily accommodate multiple bunkbeds for group retreats or be partitioned to create a traditional one-bedroom configuration. Designed for the active lifestyle, this home includes two full bathrooms, offering a convenient ground-floor bath with a shower and laundry area—perfect for rinsing off after a day on the water. Relax and catch the river breeze within the large screened patio, enjoying bug-free comfort and panoramic views of the natural beauty all around.

  19. 2026-04-06
    historical 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    This unique sanctuary is a nature lover’s dream, set along the scenic San Bernard River. Enveloped by the protected expanse of the San Bernard Wildlife Refuge, this property offers an unparalleled front-row seat to Texas coastal wilderness. Whether your passion is premier hunting, fishing, crabbing, or peaceful kayaking and bird watching, this location serves as the ultimate basecamp for outdoor adventure. The interior features a versatile open-concept layout that can easily accommodate multiple bunkbeds for group retreats or be partitioned to create a traditional one-bedroom configuration. Designed for the active lifestyle, this home includes two full bathrooms, offering a convenient ground-floor bath with a shower and laundry area—perfect for rinsing off after a day on the water. Relax and catch the river breeze within the large screened patio, enjoying bug-free comfort and panoramic views of the natural beauty all around.

  20. 2026-03-31
    status Pending 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    This unique sanctuary is a nature lover’s dream, set along the scenic San Bernard River. Enveloped by the protected expanse of the San Bernard Wildlife Refuge, this property offers an unparalleled front-row seat to Texas coastal wilderness. Whether your passion is premier hunting, fishing, crabbing, or peaceful kayaking and bird watching, this location serves as the ultimate basecamp for outdoor adventure. The interior features a versatile open-concept layout that can easily accommodate multiple bunkbeds for group retreats or be partitioned to create a traditional one-bedroom configuration. Designed for the active lifestyle, this home includes two full bathrooms, offering a convenient ground-floor bath with a shower and laundry area—perfect for rinsing off after a day on the water. Relax and catch the river breeze within the large screened patio, enjoying bug-free comfort and panoramic views of the natural beauty all around.

  21. 2026-03-24
    listed $59,900 Active 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    This unique sanctuary is a nature lover’s dream, set along the scenic San Bernard River. Enveloped by the protected expanse of the San Bernard Wildlife Refuge, this property offers an unparalleled front-row seat to Texas coastal wilderness. Whether your passion is premier hunting, fishing, crabbing, or peaceful kayaking and bird watching, this location serves as the ultimate basecamp for outdoor adventure. The interior features a versatile open-concept layout that can easily accommodate multiple bunkbeds for group retreats or be partitioned to create a traditional one-bedroom configuration. Designed for the active lifestyle, this home includes two full bathrooms, offering a convenient ground-floor bath with a shower and laundry area—perfect for rinsing off after a day on the water. Relax and catch the river breeze within the large screened patio, enjoying bug-free comfort and panoramic views of the natural beauty all around.

  22. 2026-03-16
    historical
  23. 2025-09-19
    listed $99,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,415
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$5,418
− Repairs & maintenance
−$913
− Management
−$913
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable loss
−$1,826
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$438
After-tax cash flow
$-630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathrooms, exterior siding, and landscaping.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and worn
  • Major bathroom fixtures — basic and outdated
  • Moderate exterior siding — weathered and discolored
  • Moderate interior walls — basic paint with some discoloration
  • Minor landscaping — overgrown areas

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen will improve both resale and rental value
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both repair and paint exterior siding — a fresh coat of paint will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping will enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · severely dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · basic and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · weathered and discolored Moderate $3,000–15,000
interior walls · basic paint with some discoloration Moderate $3,000–15,000
landscaping · overgrown areas Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $36,500–133,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen will improve both resale and rental value
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both repair and paint exterior siding — a fresh coat of paint will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improved landscaping will enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sweeny ISD
NCES district ID
4841970
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$53,607
Composite
31.49/100
National rank
#5975
State rank
#480 of 826 in TX

Livability — Freeport

Score
58/100
State rank
#1205
US rank
#21044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
16,996
Population (ZIP)
14,548

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.41%
Current HPI
296.0632
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-39.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $59,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $99,000 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…