3700 Buchanan St #189 · Riverside, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home has lots of upgrades throughout! You must see this one!! This home has a huge kitchen with lots of storage space and a great, open floor plan. New flooring, new paint, new cabinets!!! It's beautiful!!! The Vinyl flooring throughout is gorgeous!! The 3 bedrooms are all large with plenty of space for all of your extras and it has a large enclosed screen room!! The rear yard is nice, private and fenced with a large storage shed for all your outdoor gear! Central air and central heat! This home is in a great location in this amazing senior community! Come take a tour and don't miss this one!!!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- New flooring
- New paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 3.0% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#337 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, commute B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
- Alvord Unified (urban): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #852 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.97%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,795
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- 45.73%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3700 Buchanan St #28 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $56 | 97 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #108 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+1%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $130 | 96 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #132 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $158,000 | $110 | 93 |
| 3500 Buchanan St #30 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 4mo | $81,095 | $56 | 89 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #98 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $89 | 88 |
| 3700 Buchanan St #105 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 1mo | $86,000 | $64 | 83 |
| 3500 Buchanan #103 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $104 | 81 |
| 3500 Buchanan St #21 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 3mo | $87,500 | $61 | 80 |
| 3500 Buchanan St #128 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+3%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $48 | 78 |
| 3500 Buchanan St #230 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,356 (-6%) | 3mo | $173,000 | $128 | 76 |
| 3500 Buchanan #73 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $71,111 | $53 | 75 |
| 3663 Buchanan #112 | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $126 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $60,937
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.77×
- Total profit
- $168,702
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92503
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,100 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$651
- Net cashflow
- $1,343
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,454 | -5% $1,398 | +0% $1,343 | +5% $1,288 | +10% $1,232 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,098 | -5% $1,221 | +0% $1,343 | +5% $1,465 | +10% $1,588 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,424 | -0.5pp $1,384 | base $1,343 | +0.5pp $1,301 | +1.0pp $1,259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 371 Dylan Cir Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $3,500 | $2.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3713 Calle Curacso Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,090 | $2.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3713 Calle Curacso Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,090 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3957 Pierce St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,795 | $3.31 | 0d | 24 | 0.88mi |
| 2365 Promenade Ave Corona, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,559 | $2.87 | 0d | 17 | 1.03mi |
| 11520 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $4,512 | $5.00 | 0d | 7 | 1.15mi |
| 13370 Magnolia Ave Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,450 | $2.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11711 Collett Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $4,241 | $4.16 | 0d | 22 | 1.20mi |
| 4408 Ambs Dr Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $3,040 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2235 Treehouse Ln Corona, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $2,779 | $3.13 | 0d | 18 | 1.27mi |
| 2361 Mary Helen St Unit 102 Corona, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,395 | $2.40 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2341 Mary Helen St Unit 104 Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $2,550 | $2.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3827 Grant St #54 Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1354 | $3,250 | $2.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2215 Lakeside Pl Corona, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $3,016 | $2.89 | 0d | 25 | 1.38mi |
| 2178 Stoneridge Dr Corona, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $3,090 | $3.27 | 0d | 10 | 1.45mi |
| 2225 Collett Ave Corona, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $3,580 | $3.20 | 0d | 33 | 1.46mi |
| 2235 Indigo Hills Dr #6 Corona, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,950 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $160,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-01-22$160,000 Active 642-char remark
Show marketing remark (642 chars)
This beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home has lots of upgrades throughout! You must see this one!! This home has a huge kitchen with lots of storage space and a great, open floor plan. New flooring, new paint, new cabinets!!! It's beautiful!!! The Vinyl flooring throughout is gorgeous!! The 3 bedrooms are all large with plenty of space for all of your extras and it has a large enclosed screen room!! The rear yard is nice, private and fenced with a large storage shed for all your outdoor gear! Central air and central heat! This home is in a great location in this amazing senior community! Come take a tour and don't miss this one!!!
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-12-05price $160,000
-
2025-10-23price $169,900
-
2025-08-11price $180,000
-
2025-08-07$195,000 Active
-
2023-08-25soldstatus $115,000 Closed Sale
-
2023-07-11status Pending Sale
-
2023-06-08price $124,000
-
2023-03-22$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,976
- − Management
- −$2,976
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $14,427
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,462
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully upgraded mobile home is move-in ready with new flooring, cabinets, and paint. It offers a spacious floor plan and is located in a great senior community.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both fence — provides privacy and adds value
- Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both fence — provides privacy and adds value ↑
- Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alvord Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0602430
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,965
- Composite
- 33.81/100
- National rank
- #10383
- State rank
- #852 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Riverside
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #11613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverside, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 367,890
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 88,395
- Household income
- $96,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2337.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% White 24% Two or more races 15% Asian 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 52%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -414.52%
- Current HPI
- 393.407
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+23.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Listed $160,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $160,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $169,900 CRMLS
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $180,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-07 Listed $195,000 CRMLS
- 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) $115,000 CRMLS
- 2023-07-11 Pending — CRMLS
- 2023-06-08 Price Changed $124,000 CRMLS
- 2023-03-22 Listed $129,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…