2550 State Rd. 580 #0109 Plan · Clearwater, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$217,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Crown molding
- Walk-in pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing price $217,995
Exterior
- Home design: Address: 2550 State Rd. 580 #0109, Clearwater, FL 33761
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1456 (unit details available in listing)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Plan home (new construction inventory type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.9% in Clearwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #988 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.25%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-30,749
- Equity at exit
- $32,504
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-36,257
- Equity at exit
- $18,848
Cash invested: $61,039 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33761
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,116 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,143
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$272 /mo · $3,270/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,499
- Closing costs
- $6,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2524 Newbern Ave Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $2,800 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2581 Countryside Blvd Unit 304 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2713 Countryside Blvd #108 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2773 Cypress Dr Unit C Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $2,400 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2999 Fieldbrook Pl Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $2,300 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2971 Estancia Blvd #321 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,975 | $1.98 | 4d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2307 Cumberland Cir Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $2,099 | $2.40 | 3d | 15 | 0.60mi |
| 2780 Cypress Dr Unit A Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,749 | $1.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2561 Forest Run Ct Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $2,000 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2780 Park Dr Unit D 4 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,625 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2524 Alexander Pl Clearwater, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 991 | $2,090 | $2.11 | 2d | 20 | 0.77mi |
| 2500 Winding Creek Blvd Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 946 | $1,675 | $1.77 | 3d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 2500 Winding Creek Blvd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 812 | $1,700 | $2.09 | 2d | 3 | 0.77mi |
| 2523 North Field Ln Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1832 | $2,850 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2500 Winding Creek Blvd Unit C205 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 946 | $1,700 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 28488 U.S. 19 Unit 150 Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 11d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2690 Enterprise Rd E Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $2,564 | $2.44 | 3d | 9 | 0.82mi |
| 373 Majesty Dr Unit 373 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2386 Sumatran Way #14 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2384 Tahitian Ln #28 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2918 Deer Run N Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1869 | $2,951 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1112 Glenwood Dr Dunedin, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1670 | $2,700 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2471 Sumatran Way Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 17d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 1430 Heather Ridge Blvd #304 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2257 Palmwood Dr Dunedin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,475 | $2.15 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2460 Persian Dr #44 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 302 Archimedes St Dunedin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $3,499 | $2.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3235 Buckhorn Dr Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $3,500 | $2.26 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3038 Eastland Blvd Unit F101 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,775 | $1.72 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 25350 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,732 | $1.98 | 2d | 28 | 1.31mi |
| 3042 Eastland Blvd Unit H110 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2228 Richter St Unit A Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,900 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2652 N McMullen Booth Rd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $1,698 | $1.64 | 1d | 15 | 1.32mi |
| 1404 Sandalwood Dr Dunedin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1553 | $2,900 | $1.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2363 Israeli Dr #67 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3062 Eastland Blvd #202 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2138 Timber Ln Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $2,800 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3062 Eastland Blvd Unit D11 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,695 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2323 Surrey Ln Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,250 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2405 Franciscan Dr #23 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,875 | $1.34 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $217,995 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $217,995 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $217,995 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $217,995 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $217,995 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $217,995 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $217,995 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $217,995 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $217,995 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $217,995 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $217,995 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $217,995 Active 348 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,211
- − Property taxes
- −$3,270
- − Insurance
- −$1,090
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,032
- − Management
- −$2,032
- − Depreciation
- −$6,342
- Taxable loss
- −$1,582
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$380
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,363/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Clearwater
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #988
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 170,933
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,290
- Household income
- $74,728
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 336.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -316.31%
- Current HPI
- 281.6948
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.11%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…