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2550 State Rd. 580 #0109 Plan
D+ Composite 48.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$217,995

2550 State Rd. 580 #0109 Plan · Clearwater, FL 33761
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 366 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Crown molding
  • Walk-in pantry

Tags

BONUS ROOMWALK-IN PANTRYCROWN MOLDINGRESORT-STYLE AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing price $217,995

Exterior

  • Home design: Address: 2550 State Rd. 580 #0109, Clearwater, FL 33761
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1456 (unit details available in listing)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Plan home (new construction inventory type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $218k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (2.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.9% in Clearwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #988 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,835 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.25%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-30,749
Equity at exit
$32,504
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-36,257
Equity at exit
$18,848

Cash invested: $61,039 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33761

Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,116 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,143
Tax est. 1.5%
$272 /mo · $3,270/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,907
Max offer price $217,995
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,499
Closing costs
$6,540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2524 Newbern Ave Clearwater, FL 3.0 2.5 1740 $2,800 $1.61 24d 1 0.14mi
2581 Countryside Blvd Unit 304 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,100 $1.75 24d 1 0.47mi
2713 Countryside Blvd #108 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 3d 1 0.49mi
2773 Cypress Dr Unit C Clearwater, FL 3.0 2.0 1507 $2,400 $1.59 24d 1 0.56mi
2999 Fieldbrook Pl Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1164 $2,300 $1.98 24d 1 0.58mi
2971 Estancia Blvd #321 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 995 $1,975 $1.98 4d 1 0.59mi
2307 Cumberland Cir Clearwater, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 873 $2,099 $2.40 3d 15 0.60mi
2780 Cypress Dr Unit A Clearwater, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,749 $1.94 22d 1 0.61mi
2561 Forest Run Ct Clearwater, FL 3.0 2.0 1145 $2,000 $1.75 3d 1 0.67mi
2780 Park Dr Unit D 4 Clearwater, FL 2.0 1.5 900 $1,625 $1.81 24d 1 0.74mi
2524 Alexander Pl Clearwater, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 991 $2,090 $2.11 2d 20 0.77mi
2500 Winding Creek Blvd Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 946 $1,675 $1.77 3d 2 0.77mi
2500 Winding Creek Blvd Clearwater, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 812 $1,700 $2.09 2d 3 0.77mi
2523 North Field Ln Clearwater, FL 3.0 2.5 1832 $2,850 $1.56 7d 1 0.79mi
2500 Winding Creek Blvd Unit C205 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 946 $1,700 $1.80 4d 1 0.79mi
28488 U.S. 19 Unit 150 Clearwater, FL 3.0 1.5 990 $1,500 $1.52 11d 1 0.81mi
2690 Enterprise Rd E Clearwater, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $2,564 $2.44 3d 9 0.82mi
373 Majesty Dr Unit 373 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 24d 1 0.97mi
2386 Sumatran Way #14 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 17d 1 1.00mi
2384 Tahitian Ln #28 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 24d 1 1.02mi
2918 Deer Run N Clearwater, FL 3.0 2.0 1869 $2,951 $1.58 17d 1 1.03mi
1112 Glenwood Dr Dunedin, FL 3.0 3.0 1670 $2,700 $1.62 4d 1 1.07mi
2471 Sumatran Way Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 17d 2 1.07mi
1430 Heather Ridge Blvd #304 Dunedin, FL 1.0 1.0 915 $1,500 $1.64 24d 1 1.11mi
2257 Palmwood Dr Dunedin, FL 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,475 $2.15 4d 1 1.12mi
2460 Persian Dr #44 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 4d 1 1.16mi
302 Archimedes St Dunedin, FL 3.0 2.0 1635 $3,499 $2.14 4d 1 1.20mi
3235 Buckhorn Dr Clearwater, FL 3.0 2.0 1548 $3,500 $2.26 4d 1 1.20mi
3038 Eastland Blvd Unit F101 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,775 $1.72 4d 1 1.29mi
25350 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 875 $1,732 $1.98 2d 28 1.31mi
3042 Eastland Blvd Unit H110 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,700 $1.65 24d 1 1.31mi
2228 Richter St Unit A Dunedin, FL 2.0 2.0 1225 $1,900 $1.55 24d 1 1.31mi
2652 N McMullen Booth Rd Clearwater, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1037 $1,698 $1.64 1d 15 1.32mi
1404 Sandalwood Dr Dunedin, FL 3.0 2.0 1553 $2,900 $1.87 4d 1 1.32mi
2363 Israeli Dr #67 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 24d 1 1.34mi
3062 Eastland Blvd #202 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1250 $2,300 $1.84 24d 1 1.41mi
2138 Timber Ln Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1348 $2,800 $2.08 24d 1 1.41mi
3062 Eastland Blvd Unit D11 Clearwater, FL 1.0 1.0 920 $1,695 $1.84 24d 1 1.42mi
2323 Surrey Ln Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1280 $2,250 $1.76 22d 1 1.43mi
2405 Franciscan Dr #23 Clearwater, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,875 $1.34 20d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $217,995 Active 366 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $217,995 Active 365 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $217,995 Active 364 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $217,995 Active 363 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $217,995 Active 361 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $217,995 Active 357 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $217,995 Active 356 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $217,995 Active 355 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $217,995 Active 352 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $217,995 Active 351 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $217,995 Active 349 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $217,995 Active 348 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,394
− Mortgage interest
−$12,211
− Property taxes
−$3,270
− Insurance
−$1,090
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,032
− Management
−$2,032
− Depreciation
−$6,342
Taxable loss
−$1,582
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$380
After-tax cash flow
$2,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Clearwater

Score
82/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#988

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
170,933
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,290
Household income
$74,728
Rent vs Own
20.2% rent · 79.8% own
Severe rent burden
336.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -316.31%
Current HPI
281.6948
Rent YoY
▲ 0.11%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…