19946 Russell St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.03%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,400
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed room 1 bath frame colonial with a detached garage and basement. Home is occupied please do not disturb the occupants.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1925
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential single family
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 35 x 99 (0.08 acres); No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Basement
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Cap rate 34.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $224 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $972 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 101.38%
- DSCR
- 5.51
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $55,745
- List price
- $32,400
- Delta
- -41.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19710 Greeley St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,143 (-1%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $70 | 85 |
| 19711 Greeley St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (-3%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $67 | 85 |
| 19640 Yacama Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (0%) | 1mo | $15,000 | $13 | 82 |
| 20473 Greeley St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,179 (+2%) | 0mo | $47,000 | $40 | 78 |
| 19181 Marx St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-0%) | 1mo | $40,500 | $35 | 73 |
| 20041 Marx St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,233 (+7%) | 2mo | $130,500 | $106 | 70 |
| 19145 Riopelle St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-0%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $69 | 69 |
| 1107 E Muir Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,081 (-6%) | 1mo | $147,900 | $137 | 64 |
| 19365 Goddard St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-5%) | 0mo | $97,500 | $89 | 60 |
| 19163 Orleans St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-7%) | 2mo | $32,500 | $30 | 57 |
| 750 E Hayes Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,125 (-3%) | 2mo | $212,500 | $189 | 56 |
| 1218 E Milton Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,021 (-12%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $152 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.81×
- Total profit
- $43,639
- Equity at exit
- $4,831
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.15×
- Total profit
- $101,165
- Equity at exit
- $2,801
Cash invested: $9,072 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48203
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,368 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$170
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,569/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $766
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,100
- Closing costs
- $972
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 E Muir Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $5,301 | $5.13 | 1d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2034 John B Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,261 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $6,448 | $5.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 749 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 20255 Harned St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,374 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,000 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 790 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1561 E Webster St Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,600 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 90 W Meyers Ave Hazel Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $1,800 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1731 E Pearl Ave Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,500 | $1.78 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 574 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1315 | $1,300 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1291 W State Fair Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 12d | 2 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $32,400 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $32,400 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,400 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $32,400 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,400 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,400 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $32,400 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-14$32,400 Active 123-char remark
-
2026-05-14$32,400 Active 123-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,569 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,569 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 3% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,815
- − Property taxes
- −$1,569
- − Insurance
- −$162
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,313
- − Management
- −$1,313
- − Depreciation
- −$943
- Taxable income
- $9,299
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,232
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,049
- Household income
- $38,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1192.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.13%
- Current HPI
- 297.0176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $32,400 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Listed $32,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $32,400 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Listed $32,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,569 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…