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2703 Moody Ave
C- Composite 51.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

2703 Moody Ave · Plant City, FL 33563
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,142 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1936 6,396 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Significant Price Adjustment. This antique home offers great bones and incredible potential for the right vision. With 1,142 heated square feet, 3 bedrooms, and 1 bath, it’s a fantastic opportunity to turn a classic property into your dream home—all at a great price. As a unique bonus, earn extra income during Strawberry Festival days by offering parking. This home is ready for a new buyer.

Key facts

  • 6,396 sq ft lot
  • Built 1936
  • Listed 153 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $180k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.08%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-20,865
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-21,125
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33563

Home prices YoY
-23.2%
Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,811 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,380/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,541
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 Euclid Dr Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 704 $1,500 $2.13 21d 1 0.26mi
3506 Walter Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 1.0 1206 $1,795 $1.49 4d 1 0.59mi
1802 W House St Unit B Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,640 $2.05 4d 1 0.74mi
1712 W House St Unit B Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 16d 1 0.75mi
3817 Creek Way Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1149 $2,099 $1.83 24d 1 0.91mi
603 N Dort St Plant City, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,699 $1.74 1d 11 0.97mi
603 N Dort St Unit 1106-H Plant City, FL 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,699 $1.54 14d 1 0.97mi
603 N Dort St Unit 1306-2B Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,449 $1.61 21d 1 0.97mi
603 N Dort St Unit 609-A Plant City, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,699 $1.42 10d 1 0.97mi
603 N Dort St Unit 1106-E Plant City, FL 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,699 $1.54 24d 1 0.97mi
1204 W Alsobrook St Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 1218 $1,750 $1.44 24d 1 1.03mi
111 Pearl St Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,500 $1.76 24d 1 1.07mi
105 N Davis St Unit 1 Plant City, FL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 1.11mi
1211 Goldfinch Dr Plant City, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 770 $1,614 $2.10 1d 12 1.13mi
530 Scarlet Maple Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1119 $1,899 $1.70 2d 1 1.18mi
809 1/2 W Warren St Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 947 $1,650 $1.74 24d 1 1.23mi
4522 Reynolds Creek Ave Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1172 $1,979 $1.69 16d 1 1.35mi
507 W Baker St Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,199 $1.20 24d 1 1.41mi
411 Abigail Rd Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1309 $1,933 $1.48 1d 1 1.45mi
501 W Ball St Unit 705-13 Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 780 $1,499 $1.92 21d 1 1.48mi
501 W Ball St Unit 609-02 Plant City, FL 2.0 1.0 780 $1,499 $1.92 3d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 153 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $180,000 Active 150 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    remarks 433-char remark
  6. 2026-06-07
    status $180,000 Pending 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $180,000 Active 149 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,000 Active 148 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 147 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-04-10
    price $180,000 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Significant Price Adjustment. This antique home offers great bones and incredible potential for the right vision. With 1,142 heated square feet, 3 bedrooms, and 1 bath, it’s a fantastic opportunity to turn a classic property into your dream home—all at a great price. As a unique bonus, earn extra income during Strawberry Festival days by offering parking. This home is ready for a new buyer.

  13. 2026-03-10
    price $195,900 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Significant Price Adjustment. This antique home offers great bones and incredible potential for the right vision. With 1,142 heated square feet, 3 bedrooms, and 1 bath, it’s a fantastic opportunity to turn a classic property into your dream home—all at a great price. As a unique bonus, earn extra income during Strawberry Festival days by offering parking. This home is ready for a new buyer.

  14. 2026-01-06
    listed $200,900 Active 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Significant Price Adjustment. This antique home offers great bones and incredible potential for the right vision. With 1,142 heated square feet, 3 bedrooms, and 1 bath, it’s a fantastic opportunity to turn a classic property into your dream home—all at a great price. As a unique bonus, earn extra income during Strawberry Festival days by offering parking. This home is ready for a new buyer.

  15. 2018-12-04
    soldstatus $100,000
  16. 2018-12-03
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    3 Bedroom/1 Bath Bungalow in the heart of Plant City is ready for your personal touch to make it home. A little bit country, a little bit rock n roll, this adorable bungalow is close to the Strawberry Festival Fairground and historic downtown Plant City and only minutes to the interstate system and local attractions such as Keel and Curly Winery and Dinosaur World. If you're a vintage home lover, you'll enjoy original details including wooden windows, doors and floors as well as built in storage space. The home has been recently painted in a neutral, stylish grey. Other updates include newer roof, appliances, water heater and air conditioning unit all installed in 2014 and a newer back porch built in 2016. You'll also love the subway tile in the bathroom in classic white and the ample backyard crowned with a gorgeous mature oak tree. Don't hesitate. Make an appointment for a private showing today!

  17. 2018-11-20
    status Pending 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    3 Bedroom/1 Bath Bungalow in the heart of Plant City is ready for your personal touch to make it home. A little bit country, a little bit rock n roll, this adorable bungalow is close to the Strawberry Festival Fairground and historic downtown Plant City and only minutes to the interstate system and local attractions such as Keel and Curly Winery and Dinosaur World. If you're a vintage home lover, you'll enjoy original details including wooden windows, doors and floors as well as built in storage space. The home has been recently painted in a neutral, stylish grey. Other updates include newer roof, appliances, water heater and air conditioning unit all installed in 2014 and a newer back porch built in 2016. You'll also love the subway tile in the bathroom in classic white and the ample backyard crowned with a gorgeous mature oak tree. Don't hesitate. Make an appointment for a private showing today!

  18. 2018-11-13
    listed $118,900 Active 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    3 Bedroom/1 Bath Bungalow in the heart of Plant City is ready for your personal touch to make it home. A little bit country, a little bit rock n roll, this adorable bungalow is close to the Strawberry Festival Fairground and historic downtown Plant City and only minutes to the interstate system and local attractions such as Keel and Curly Winery and Dinosaur World. If you're a vintage home lover, you'll enjoy original details including wooden windows, doors and floors as well as built in storage space. The home has been recently painted in a neutral, stylish grey. Other updates include newer roof, appliances, water heater and air conditioning unit all installed in 2014 and a newer back porch built in 2016. You'll also love the subway tile in the bathroom in classic white and the ample backyard crowned with a gorgeous mature oak tree. Don't hesitate. Make an appointment for a private showing today!

  19. 2010-06-21
    listed $30,000
  20. 2009-12-02
    listed $50,000
  21. 2000-12-04
    soldstatus $35,800
  22. 1995-05-23
    soldstatus $30,300
  23. 1995-05-23
    soldstatus $30,300
  24. 1989-10-01
    soldstatus $36,500
  25. 1987-04-01
    soldstatus $33,000
  26. 1986-06-01
    soldstatus $26,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,380 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,380 · $198/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,734
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,380
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,739
− Management
−$1,739
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$82
After-tax cash flow
$2,645/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Plant City

Score
76/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plant City, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
68,525
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,896
Household income
$60,131
Rent vs Own
36.9% rent · 63.1% own
Severe rent burden
932.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 15% Two or more races 15% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 34%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.29%
Current HPI
342.5789
Rent YoY
▼ -0.57%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+579.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $195,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $200,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-03 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-20 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-13 Listed $118,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-21 Listed $30,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-12-02 Listed $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $35,800 Public Records
  • 1995-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $30,300 Public Records
  • 1995-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $30,300 Public Records
  • 1989-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
  • 1987-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1986-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+33.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,380 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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