🏷️ Likely Rental
302 Elliot Rd · Russells Point, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment property blocks from Indian Lake will be auctioned at 5pm on July 23rd. The 3 bedroom home has natural gas heat and central air. The metal roof is 2-3 years old. Current renter pays $550/month and is on a month to month lease.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Natural gas heat
- Central air
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Supplied water
- Home design: Single-family residential house; Built in 1951
- Construction: Block construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lake-related waterfront; Residential lot (irregular shape, approximately 0.08 acres); Supplied water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (15 x 11); Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (13 x 11); Bedroom 2 (14 x 10); Bedroom 3 (15 x 12)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Basement with block and crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $883 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 1059729.3% vs local median 2.7% in Russells Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#971 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 111786.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1059729.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3784724.95%
- DSCR
- 168399.96
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $258,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 E Main St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,316 (-1%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $114 | 81 |
| 131 Burkhart Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,396 (+5%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $115 | 79 |
| 126 Holly Ln | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-2%) | 8mo | $179,000 | $138 | 79 |
| 215 White Oaks Ct | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,322 (-0%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $212 | 78 |
| 718 Center Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,378 (+4%) | 11mo | $92,400 | $67 | 65 |
| 224 Oakcrest Ct | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,238 (-7%) | 6mo | $256,500 | $207 | 60 |
| 214 White Oaks Ct | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,402 (+6%) | 10mo | $251,000 | $179 | 59 |
| 203 Oakcrest Ct | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (-10%) | 4mo | $257,000 | $215 | 56 |
| 113 Clermont Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+9%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $117 | 54 |
| 206 White Oaks Ct | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,184 (-11%) | 8mo | $264,000 | $223 | 52 |
| 714 Miami Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-10%) | 13mo | $232,000 | $195 | 48 |
| 341 3rd St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,168 (-12%) | 8mo | $238,000 | $204 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 200936.61×
- Total profit
- $56,262
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 433876.80×
- Total profit
- $121,485
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43348
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Active inventory
- 49
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,118 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $883
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $883 | -5% $883 | +0% $883 | +5% $883 | +10% $883 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $795 | -5% $839 | +0% $883 | +5% $927 | +10% $971 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $883 | -0.5pp $883 | base $883 | +0.5pp $883 | +1.0pp $883 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 237-char remark
-
2026-06-17$1 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,073
- − Management
- −$1,073
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $11,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,704
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,893/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian Lake Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904808
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,496
- Composite
- 52.6/100
- National rank
- #1559
- State rank
- #261 of 656 in OH
Livability — Russells Point
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #971
- US rank
- #18804
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Russells Point, OH
- County
- Logan · 47,256 people
- City population
- 1,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,865
- Household income
- $50,658
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.3
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,240 people
- By 2030
- 43,166 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 40,495 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 37,511 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 30,453 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 23,081 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Czech 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.07%
- Current HPI
- 261.3567
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $1 WRIST
- 1997-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,137 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…