2281 Carr Rd NE · Conyers, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you ready to roll up your sleeves and bring new life to a charming home in Conyers, GA? This spacious property at 2281 Carr Road sits on a generous 1.95-acre lot and offers endless potential for renovation and customization. With HVAC, roof, and water heater in need of replacement, this is the perfect opportunity to create the home of your dreams. We have a new investor loan program with great rates and terms, please contact us to find out more, we can get your approved in 24 hours. (HOME INSPECTION WAS COMPLETED ON 10/12/2024, request it and we will give it to you for free!) Don't miss the opportunity to make this house your new home. Schedule a showing today! This property is being sold "as is." Prospective buyers are encouraged to perform all necessary inspections and evaluations prior to purchase. Do not use ShowingTime, Agent is ONLY transactional do not reach out to him, our info is in private remarks, Check out the really good 3D Matterport virtual tour! It shows you everything! Property Problem Solvers will help you solve your problem, for more details get in touch with us!
Key facts
- 1.95 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1991
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.3% in Conyers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#167 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, commute F.
- Rockdale County (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #136 of 174 in GA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Hightower Trail Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 533 students, 81% FRL); Conyers Middle School (math 9% / reading 24%, grade F, #388 of 470 statewide, top 83%, 1,031 students, 78% FRL); Rockdale County High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #315 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 2,369 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 324 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 483 units permitted in Rockdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockdale County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $134k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.72%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,584
- List price
- $133,900
- Delta
- -38.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2258 Pinetree Ln | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-2%) | 4mo | $168,400 | $159 | 83 |
| 3025 Granite Dr NE | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,060 (-2%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $132 | 80 |
| 3019 Granite Dr NE | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 13mo | $247,727 | $248 | 67 |
| 1601 Parker Dr NE | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,124 (+4%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $196 | 59 |
| 2030 Carr Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,116 (+3%) | 14mo | $209,900 | $188 | 59 |
| 1621 Parker Dr NE | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 962 (-11%) | 1mo | $108,000 | $112 | 57 |
| 2488 Hi Roc Cir NE | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,137 (+5%) | 4mo | $204,000 | $179 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $18,608
- Equity at exit
- $19,965
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $55,283
- Equity at exit
- $11,577
Cash invested: $37,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $199,000 ($190/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 24 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +6.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30012
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 324
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,899 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$702
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $386/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $710
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $786 | -5% $748 | +0% $710 | +5% $672 | +10% $634 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $560 | -5% $635 | +0% $710 | +5% $785 | +10% $860 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $777 | -0.5pp $744 | base $710 | +0.5pp $675 | +1.0pp $640 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,475
- Closing costs
- $4,017
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Odyssey Turn Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1356 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 93d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 211 Odyssey Turn Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 51d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 211 Odyssey Turn Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 38d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 116 Hawkeye Ln Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 93d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 132 Hawkeye Ln Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,990 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 132 Hawkeye Ln Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,995 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 811 Sage Ln NW Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,741 | $1.24 | 41d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Two total parking spacesDriveway parkingOpen parking available
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer110-volt electricCable availableElectricity availableNatural gas availablePhone availableSewer availableWater available
- Home design
- One-level homeEntry level on mainWood siding exteriorFacing/lot info not provided
- Construction
- Raised foundationComposition roofBuilt with wood sidingProperty listed as fixer
- Exterior features
- Front porchScreened porchDeck
Interior
- Kitchen
- Eat-in kitchenKitchen cabinetsKitchen open to family room / view to family room
- Bedrooms
- Master on mainThree main-level bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathroomsMaster bathroom with separate tub and showerTwo main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Other heatingOther cooling
- Interior features
- Aluminum window framesNo shared/common wallsOther interior features
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry in common area on main level
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $133,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $133,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $133,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $133,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $133,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $133,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $133,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $133,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $133,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $133,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $133,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $133,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $133,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $133,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $133,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $133,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $133,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $133,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $133,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $133,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $133,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $133,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $133,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $133,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $133,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $133,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $133,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $133,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $133,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $133,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $133,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $133,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $133,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $133,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $133,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $133,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $133,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $133,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $133,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $133,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $133,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $133,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $133,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $133,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $133,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $133,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $133,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $133,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $133,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $133,900 Active 115 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $386 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- +$846/yr (+$70/mo · 218.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,500
- − Property taxes
- −$386
- − Insurance
- −$670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,823
- − Management
- −$1,823
- − Depreciation
- −$3,895
- Taxable income
- $6,690
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,606
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This property requires extensive renovation and maintenance to bring it up to a livable condition. Immediate repairs and updates are needed to improve its resale and rental value.
Deferred maintenance Est. $60,000–$180,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
- Major Windows (windows) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
- Major Electrical (electrical) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
- Major Exterior (exterior) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
- Major Other — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Damaged and cluttered
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Damaged and cluttered
- Major Fencing — Damaged and overgrown
- Major HVAC system — Not inspected, likely outdated
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both HVAC system replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Landscaping and fencing repair — Enhances curb appeal and safety ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockdale County
- NCES district ID
- 1304410
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,325
- Composite
- 19.42/100
- National rank
- #8776
- State rank
- #136 of 174 in GA
Livability — Conyers
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #10533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rockdale County · 99,145 people
- City population
- 96,534
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,506
- Household income
- $66,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 21% of renters
Population outlook (Rockdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,145 people
- By 2030
- 104,558 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 116,100 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 127,827 · +28.9%
- By 2075
- 159,113 · +60.5%
- By 2100
- 181,178 · +82.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+47.5) · D 73.4% · R 25.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 47.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+47.5 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+9.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.61%
- Current HPI
- 226.9588
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+194.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-03 Listed $133,900 FMLS
- 2026-03-13 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2024-11-18 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-10-24 Price Changed $133,900 GAMLS
- 2024-10-19 Price Changed $139,900 GAMLS
- 2024-10-14 Listed $149,900 GAMLS
- 1994-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $386 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…