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2281 Carr Rd NE
B Composite 73.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$133,900

2281 Carr Rd NE · Conyers, GA 30012
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1991 Poor condition 1.95 ac lot $124/sqft · 39% below area Est $219k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Are you ready to roll up your sleeves and bring new life to a charming home in Conyers, GA? This spacious property at 2281 Carr Road sits on a generous 1.95-acre lot and offers endless potential for renovation and customization. With HVAC, roof, and water heater in need of replacement, this is the perfect opportunity to create the home of your dreams. We have a new investor loan program with great rates and terms, please contact us to find out more, we can get your approved in 24 hours. (HOME INSPECTION WAS COMPLETED ON 10/12/2024, request it and we will give it to you for free!) Don't miss the opportunity to make this house your new home. Schedule a showing today! This property is being sold "as is." Prospective buyers are encouraged to perform all necessary inspections and evaluations prior to purchase. Do not use ShowingTime, Agent is ONLY transactional do not reach out to him, our info is in private remarks, Check out the really good 3D Matterport virtual tour! It shows you everything! Property Problem Solvers will help you solve your problem, for more details get in touch with us!

Key facts

  • 1.95 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1991

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.3% in Conyers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#167 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, commute F.
  • Rockdale County (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #136 of 174 in GA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hightower Trail Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 533 students, 81% FRL); Conyers Middle School (math 9% / reading 24%, grade F, #388 of 470 statewide, top 83%, 1,031 students, 78% FRL); Rockdale County High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #315 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 2,369 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 324 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 483 units permitted in Rockdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockdale County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $134k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.66%
Cash-on-cash
22.72%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$218,584
List price
$133,900
Delta
-38.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2258 Pinetree Ln 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-2%) 4mo $168,400 $159 83
3025 Granite Dr NE 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,060 (-2%) 5mo $140,000 $132 80
3019 Granite Dr NE 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-7%) 13mo $247,727 $248 67
1601 Parker Dr NE 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,124 (+4%) 10mo $220,000 $196 59
2030 Carr Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,116 (+3%) 14mo $209,900 $188 59
1621 Parker Dr NE 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 962 (-11%) 1mo $108,000 $112 57
2488 Hi Roc Cir NE 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,137 (+5%) 4mo $204,000 $179 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$18,608
Equity at exit
$19,965
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$55,283
Equity at exit
$11,577

Cash invested: $37,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
4 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$199,000 ($190/sqft)
Median days on market
24 d
This list price
25% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+6.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 30012

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
324
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,899 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$702
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $386/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$710

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,000
Max offer price $133,900
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $786 -5% $748 +0% $710 +5% $672 +10% $634
Rent -10% $560 -5% $635 +0% $710 +5% $785 +10% $860
Rate -1.0pp $777 -0.5pp $744 base $710 +0.5pp $675 +1.0pp $640

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,475
Closing costs
$4,017
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 Odyssey Turn Conyers, GA 3.0 3.0 1356 $1,500 $1.11 93d 1 1.20mi
211 Odyssey Turn Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,500 $1.11 51d 1 1.20mi
211 Odyssey Turn Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1356 $2,500 $1.84 38d 1 1.20mi
116 Hawkeye Ln Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,700 $1.18 93d 1 1.27mi
132 Hawkeye Ln Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,990 $1.38 4d 1 1.27mi
132 Hawkeye Ln Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,995 $1.39 93d 1 1.27mi
811 Sage Ln NW Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,741 $1.24 41d 1 1.45mi

Property features AI

Exterior

Parking
Two total parking spacesDriveway parkingOpen parking available
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer110-volt electricCable availableElectricity availableNatural gas availablePhone availableSewer availableWater available
Home design
One-level homeEntry level on mainWood siding exteriorFacing/lot info not provided
Construction
Raised foundationComposition roofBuilt with wood sidingProperty listed as fixer
Exterior features
Front porchScreened porchDeck

Interior

Kitchen
Eat-in kitchenKitchen cabinetsKitchen open to family room / view to family room
Bedrooms
Master on mainThree main-level bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetTile
Bathrooms
Two full bathroomsMaster bathroom with separate tub and showerTwo main-level bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Other heatingOther cooling
Interior features
Aluminum window framesNo shared/common wallsOther interior features
Laundry & utility
Laundry in common area on main level

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $133,900 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $133,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $133,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-08-03
    days on marketlisting id $133,900 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-07-31
    days on market $133,900 Active 175 DOM
  6. 2026-07-30
    days on market $133,900 Active 173 DOM
  7. 2026-07-28
    days on market $133,900 Active 172 DOM
  8. 2026-07-26
    days on market $133,900 Active 170 DOM
  9. 2026-07-24
    days on market $133,900 Active 168 DOM
  10. 2026-07-23
    days on market $133,900 Active 167 DOM
  11. 2026-07-22
    days on market $133,900 Active 166 DOM
  12. 2026-07-21
    days on market $133,900 Active 165 DOM
  13. 2026-07-20
    days on market $133,900 Active 164 DOM
  14. 2026-07-18
    days on market $133,900 Active 162 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $133,900 Active 161 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on marketlisting id $133,900 Active 160 DOM
  17. 2026-07-15
    days on market $133,900 Active 159 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $133,900 Active 158 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $133,900 Active 157 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $133,900 Active 156 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $133,900 Active 155 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $133,900 Active 154 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $133,900 Active 153 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $133,900 Active 151 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $133,900 Active 150 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $133,900 Active 149 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $133,900 Active 148 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $133,900 Active 147 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $133,900 Active 146 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $133,900 Active 145 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $133,900 Active 144 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $133,900 Active 143 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $133,900 Active 142 DOM
  34. 2026-06-27
    days on market $133,900 Active 141 DOM
  35. 2026-06-26
    days on market $133,900 Active 140 DOM
  36. 2026-06-24
    days on market $133,900 Active 138 DOM
  37. 2026-06-22
    days on market $133,900 Active 136 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $133,900 Active 135 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $133,900 Active 132 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $133,900 Active 131 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $133,900 Active 130 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $133,900 Active 129 DOM
  43. 2026-06-13
    days on market $133,900 Active 127 DOM
  44. 2026-06-09
    days on market $133,900 Active 123 DOM
  45. 2026-06-08
    days on market $133,900 Active 122 DOM
  46. 2026-06-07
    days on market $133,900 Active 121 DOM
  47. 2026-06-04
    days on market $133,900 Active 118 DOM
  48. 2026-06-03
    days on market $133,900 Active 117 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    days on market $133,900 Active 116 DOM
  50. 2026-06-01
    days on market $133,900 Active 115 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$386 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,232 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$846/yr (+$70/mo · 218.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,787
− Mortgage interest
−$7,500
− Property taxes
−$386
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,823
− Management
−$1,823
− Depreciation
−$3,895
Taxable income
$6,690
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,606
After-tax cash flow
$6,914/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $54,000–$97,200 screening

This property requires extensive renovation and maintenance to bring it up to a livable condition. Immediate repairs and updates are needed to improve its resale and rental value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $60,000–$180,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
  • Major Windows (windows) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage
  • Major Other — Overgrown vegetation and debris suggest significant neglect and potential structural damage

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen cabinets — Damaged and cluttered
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — Damaged and cluttered
  • Major Fencing — Damaged and overgrown
  • Major HVAC system — Not inspected, likely outdated
  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt

Value-add opportunities

  • Both HVAC system replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Landscaping and fencing repair — Enhances curb appeal and safety
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Improves functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 20/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Hightower Trail Elementary School F GA #633/1,228 Nat'l #26,716/41,679 Middle Conyers Middle School F GA #388/470 Nat'l #12,406/14,009 High Rockdale County High School F GA #315/424 Nat'l #15,534/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockdale County
NCES district ID
1304410
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$53,325
Composite
19.42/100
National rank
#8776
State rank
#136 of 174 in GA
C Composite livability gradescore 67/100

Livability — Conyers

Score
67/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#10533

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Rockdale County · 99,145 people
City population
96,534
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
34,506
Household income
$66,153
Rent vs Own
38.1% rent · 61.9% own
Severe rent burden
21% of renters

Population outlook (Rockdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,145 people
By 2030
104,558 · +5.5%
By 2040
116,100 · +17.1%
By 2050
127,827 · +28.9%
By 2075
159,113 · +60.5%
By 2100
181,178 · +82.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockdale

2024 margin
Solid D (+47.5) · D 73.4% · R 25.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 47.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+47.5 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+194.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-08-03 Listed $133,900 FMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2024-11-18 Pending GAMLS
  • 2024-10-24 Price Changed $133,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-10-19 Price Changed $139,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-10-14 Listed $149,900 GAMLS
  • 1994-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $386 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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