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4656 176th Pl
C Composite 59.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

4656 176th Pl · Country Club Hills, IL 60478
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,331 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1966 10,125 sqft lot Est $222k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3-bedroom, 2-bath raised ranch with 2-car garage offering a practical floor plan and strong potential. The property provides an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to customize and update to their preference. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors seeking long-term value. Convenient location close to local amenities and transportation.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1966

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces (total 2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family raised ranch; Fee simple ownership; Built 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: School bus service; Lot approximately 75 x 135; Lot less than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (13 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom on main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partially finished daylight basement; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $138k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
Recommended offer $182,225 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.87%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,277
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17817 Rosewood Ter 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+4%) 9mo $280,000 $203 72
4750 181st St 0.54mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,357 (+2%) 8mo $247,000 $182 60
4411 177th Pl 0.34mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,212 (-9%) 3mo $126,653 $104 59
4725 181st St 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,350 (+1%) 10mo $210,000 $156 58
4131 178th St 0.67mi 3/3.0 1,372 (+3%) 1mo $254,000 $185 55
17548 Chestnut Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-2%) 7mo $310,000 $238 51
17555 Cypress Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,239 (-7%) 0mo $163,000 $132 50
4340 Mayfair Ct 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,243 (-7%) 3mo $163,400 $131 49
4320 177th St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,136 (-15%) 6mo $178,000 $157 48
18024 Birch Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-10%) 10mo $305,000 $254 37
4720 182nd Pl 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,500 (+13%) 8mo $250,000 $167 35
17548 Cypress Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,461 (+10%) 10mo $240,000 $164 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-16,296
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$4,268
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60478

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,432 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$664 /mo · $7,969/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$511
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,166
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.5 1150 $2,800 $2.43 1d 1 0.78mi
17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 1d 1 0.87mi
17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 1.0 1034 $2,700 $2.61 1d 1 1.09mi
3900 171st St Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1750 $2,250 $1.29 8d 1 1.16mi
2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1212 $2,250 $1.86 1d 1 1.21mi
1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.5 1216 $1,900 $1.56 1d 1 1.27mi
4193 186th St Country Club Hills, IL 4.0 2.5 1704 $3,200 $1.88 1d 1 1.33mi
4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 2.5 1300 $2,500 $1.92 1d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-05
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  4. 2026-04-16
    listed $185,000 Active
  5. 2026-03-17
    historical
  6. 2026-03-07
    status Active
  7. 2026-03-03
    historical
  8. 2025-11-21
    listed Auction
  9. 2025-06-05
    historical
  10. 2025-03-09
    listed Active
  11. 2003-04-09
    soldstatus $138,000
  12. 1986-08-01
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,969 · $664/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,969 · $664/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,186
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$7,969
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,335
− Management
−$2,335
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$123
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$29
After-tax cash flow
$2,550/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Country Club Hills

Score
75/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#3963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Country Club Hills, IL
City population
16,549
Population (ZIP)
16,549

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.73%
Current HPI
212.3917
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+198.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $185,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-07 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-09 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
  • 1986-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,969 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…