4656 176th Pl · Country Club Hills, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom, 2-bath raised ranch with 2-car garage offering a practical floor plan and strong potential. The property provides an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to customize and update to their preference. Ideal for owner-occupants or investors seeking long-term value. Convenient location close to local amenities and transportation.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces (total 2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family raised ranch; Fee simple ownership; Built 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: School bus service; Lot approximately 75 x 135; Lot less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (13 x 11)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished daylight basement; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $138k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.87%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,277
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17817 Rosewood Ter | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+4%) | 9mo | $280,000 | $203 | 72 |
| 4750 181st St | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,357 (+2%) | 8mo | $247,000 | $182 | 60 |
| 4411 177th Pl | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,212 (-9%) | 3mo | $126,653 | $104 | 59 |
| 4725 181st St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+1%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $156 | 58 |
| 4131 178th St | 0.67mi | 3/3.0 | 1,372 (+3%) | 1mo | $254,000 | $185 | 55 |
| 17548 Chestnut Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-2%) | 7mo | $310,000 | $238 | 51 |
| 17555 Cypress Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (-7%) | 0mo | $163,000 | $132 | 50 |
| 4340 Mayfair Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (-7%) | 3mo | $163,400 | $131 | 49 |
| 4320 177th St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,136 (-15%) | 6mo | $178,000 | $157 | 48 |
| 18024 Birch Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-10%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $254 | 37 |
| 4720 182nd Pl | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+13%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $167 | 35 |
| 17548 Cypress Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,461 (+10%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $164 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-16,296
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $4,268
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60478
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,432 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$664 /mo · $7,969/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$511
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,800 | $2.43 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $2,700 | $2.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3900 171st St Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $2,250 | $1.29 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $2,250 | $1.86 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $1,900 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4193 186th St Country Club Hills, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $3,200 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 1d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-05status Active
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-16$185,000 Active
-
2026-03-17historical
-
2026-03-07status Active
-
2026-03-03historical
-
2025-11-21Auction
-
2025-06-05historical
-
2025-03-09Active
-
2003-04-09soldstatus $138,000
-
1986-08-01soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,969 · $664/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,969 · $664/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$7,969
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,335
- − Management
- −$2,335
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$123
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Country Club Hills
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #3963
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Country Club Hills, IL
- City population
- 16,549
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,549
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.73%
- Current HPI
- 212.3917
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+198.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $185,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-09 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 1986-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2023): $7,969 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…