11485 2nd St E · Treasure Island, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$950,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Walk to the beach from 4 plex located on Isle of Palms. Exceptional location and close to everything. This property has three one bedroom, 1 bath units on the ground floor and a two bedroom, 1 bath unit upstairs. The ground units are 520 sf and the upstairs is 1170 sf. The upstairs unit has a 2 car garage as well. Solid block construction, newer central heat/air for upstairs unit. Separate power meters, 1 common area for washer and dryer. Currently only 1 downstairs unit has a tenant which is month to month. Solid investment!
Key facts
- Common laundry area
- Large outside deck
- 5,693 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $950k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $715/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $950k).
- Recommended offer: $836k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 0.7% in Treasure Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#215 in FL, #3,355 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A, employment B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 610 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,217/mo this rent would consume 140% of the median local household income ($104k/yr) (locally 552% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 384 days — a 12% lower offer ($836k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $330k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $212k; list at $950k implies a 348% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 384 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.83%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-7,223
- Equity at exit
- $141,648
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $91,266
- Equity at exit
- $82,139
Cash invested: $266,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33706
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 25.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,982
- Tax from tax record
- −$986 /mo · $11,838/yr
- Insurance
- −$396
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,566
- Net cashflow
- $2,861
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 5 | 4 | $12,216 |
| #1 | 5 | 4 | $3,054 |
| #2 | 5 | 4 | $3,054 |
| #3 | 5 | 4 | $3,054 |
| #4 | 5 | 4 | $3,054 |
| Total (4 units) | $12,217 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $237,500
- Closing costs
- $28,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-03-06price $950,000
-
2026-02-22price $1,000,000
-
2026-02-16price $1,100,000
-
2025-09-02price $1,200,000
-
2025-08-13status Active
-
2025-08-13price $1,280,000
-
2025-08-13status Active
-
2025-08-13historical
-
2025-08-13historical
-
2025-07-16$1,280,000 Active
-
2025-07-15historical
-
2025-05-13price $1,300,000
-
2025-04-11status Active
-
2025-04-11price $1,400,000
-
2025-02-07$1,300,000 Active
-
2012-02-15soldstatus $212,000
-
2012-01-31soldstatus $212,000 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
Walk to the beach from 4 plex located on Isle of Palms. Exceptional location and close to everything. This property has three one bedroom, 1 bath units on the ground floor and a two bedroom, 1 bath unit upstairs. The ground units are 520 sf and the upstairs is 1170 sf. The upstairs unit has a 2 car garage as well. Solid block construction, newer central heat/air for upstairs unit. Separate power meters, 1 common area for washer and dryer. Currently only 1 downstairs unit has a tenant which is month to month. Solid investment!
-
2011-12-20$199,500 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
Walk to the beach from 4 plex located on Isle of Palms. Exceptional location and close to everything. This property has three one bedroom, 1 bath units on the ground floor and a two bedroom, 1 bath unit upstairs. The ground units are 520 sf and the upstairs is 1170 sf. The upstairs unit has a 2 car garage as well. Solid block construction, newer central heat/air for upstairs unit. Separate power meters, 1 common area for washer and dryer. Currently only 1 downstairs unit has a tenant which is month to month. Solid investment!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $11,838 · $986/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,838 · $986/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $146,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$53,215
- − Property taxes
- −$11,838
- − Insurance
- −$9,868
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,728
- − Management
- −$11,728
- − Depreciation
- −$27,636
- Taxable income
- $20,590
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,942
- After-tax cash flow
- $29,386/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Treasure Island
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #215
- US rank
- #3355
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Treasure Island, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,298
- Household income
- $104,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 552.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -600.61%
- Current HPI
- 305.8311
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.28%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+376.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $950,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-22 Price Changed $1,000,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $1,100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $1,200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $1,280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-16 Listed $1,280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $1,300,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-11 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $1,400,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-07 Listed $1,300,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $212,000 Public Records
- 2012-01-31 Sold (MLS) $212,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-20 Listed $199,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $11,838 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…