3309 14th St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$305,097
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The property is located in desirable Lehigh Acres Southwest. Newer homes in the are and easy access to Route 82 for Fort Myers or Immokalee.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is new construction; Developer-provided lot dimensions
- HOA & community: No HOA maintenance; No community amenities; Community type: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Cable available; Electric service (central)
- Home design: Single-family home; 1 story (ranch) traditional design; Rear exposure faces north
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Year built 2026
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Single-hung and sliding windows; Manual shutters; Landscaped view; Well irrigation; Regular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Refrigerator / icemaker; Freezer; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Includes a first-floor bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower only
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: High speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Walk-in closet; Great room; Open porch / lanai; Unfurnished; Split bedroom floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in residence; Auto garage door
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-434 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (20.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (27.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 788 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $305k implies a 990% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.16%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $132,155
- Equity at exit
- $274,856
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.68×
- Total profit
- $399,480
- Equity at exit
- $592,736
Cash invested: $85,427 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33976
- Home prices YoY
- 6.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 788
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,204 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,600
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$381 /mo · $4,576/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$463
- Net cashflow
- $-434
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-223 | -5% $-328 | +0% $-434 | +5% $-539 | +10% $-645 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-608 | -5% $-521 | +0% $-434 | +5% $-347 | +10% $-260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-280 | -0.5pp $-356 | base $-434 | +0.5pp $-513 | +1.0pp $-593 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,274
- Closing costs
- $9,153
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1511 Terry Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1579 | $1,996 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3408 10th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,850 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3408 10th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1920 | $1,750 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1507 Paula Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1547 | $2,000 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3303 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,250 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3417 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $1,850 | $1.01 | 12d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3702 14th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,995 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3209 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,699 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3714 17th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $1,890 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3705 9th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3201 23rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,845 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3615 6th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,825 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3203 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,300 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3418 26th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2030 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2909 15th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $1,800 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2906 14th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $2,450 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3008 23rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,350 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2504 Vera Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1643 | $2,400 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2916 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3008 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,711 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3201 28th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,000 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2914 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $2,250 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3818 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3201 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $1,950 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3820 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,500 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3604 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1776 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3820 3rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2904 Wanda Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2812 4th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $1,856 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2811 25th St SW Unit NA Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,990 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2701 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2019 | $1,900 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3316 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3314 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3312 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3801 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3803 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3805 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2708 27th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $2,280 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3807 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3809 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-04-29$305,097 Active
-
2025-12-30soldstatus $28,000
-
2025-12-22soldstatus $28,000 Closed 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
The property is located in desirable Lehigh Acres Southwest. Newer homes in the are and easy access to Route 82 for Fort Myers or Immokalee.
-
2025-09-03status Pending 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
The property is located in desirable Lehigh Acres Southwest. Newer homes in the are and easy access to Route 82 for Fort Myers or Immokalee.
-
2025-08-22status Active 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
The property is located in desirable Lehigh Acres Southwest. Newer homes in the are and easy access to Route 82 for Fort Myers or Immokalee.
-
2025-08-18status Pending 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
The property is located in desirable Lehigh Acres Southwest. Newer homes in the are and easy access to Route 82 for Fort Myers or Immokalee.
-
2025-08-12$32,000 Active 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
The property is located in desirable Lehigh Acres Southwest. Newer homes in the are and easy access to Route 82 for Fort Myers or Immokalee.
-
2016-10-06soldstatus $5,450
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,090
- − Property taxes
- −$4,576
- − Insurance
- −$2,323
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,116
- − Management
- −$2,116
- − Depreciation
- −$8,876
- Taxable loss
- −$10,648
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,556
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,649/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,277
- Household income
- $72,679
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 574.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.77%
- Current HPI
- 340.4255
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.54%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+5498.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $305,097 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2025-12-22 Sold (MLS) $28,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-09-03 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2025-08-22 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2025-08-18 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $32,000 FORTMLS
- 2016-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $5,450 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.8%/yrLatest (2025): $434 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…