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1213 Cherrington Dr
D- Composite 36.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1213 Cherrington Dr · Susquehanna, PA 17110
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 806 sqft · Condo public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1998 $199/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This unit comes with a garage! The seller has loved this space for many years, and now it's time for you to freshen it up with new flooring and paint to make it your own little oasis. Your patio backs up to a wooded area of trees and shrubs where you'll see deer and hear the birds chirping while enjoying your morning coffee. With easy access to Progress Ave and Route 81, it makes heading out to dinner, running errands, or commuting to work a breeze! This home is cheaper than rent. .. but you could also rent it out as a solid investment!

Key facts

  • $199 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 1998

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Condo fee approximately $199.65 per month; HOA covers lawn maintenance, snow removal, trash, and sewer; Community amenities include common grounds and an exercise room

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 space); Garage with door opener; Additional parking lot
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Condominium unit; Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Unit/flat structure; Entry on level 1
  • Construction: Frame construction; Architectural shingle roof; Year built: estimated
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Tidal water: No; Other structures above and below grade

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (one on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Soaking tub; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit; Main-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-870/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (10.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Susquehanna Township SD (suburban): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #444 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Thomas W Holtzman Jr El Sch (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,081 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 820 students, 67% FRL); Susquehanna Twp Ms (math 7% / reading 34%, grade F, #435 of 512 statewide, top 85%, 723 students, 63% FRL); Susquehanna Twp Hs (math 37% / reading 10%, grade F, #379 of 437 statewide, top 87%, 743 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 35% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $74k; list at $125k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,188 (10.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.49%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.4%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-26,611
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
-21.7%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-36,028
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17110

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,333 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$219 /mo · $2,632/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$199
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$-73

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,425
Max offer price $112,188
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-2 -5% $-37 +0% $-73 +5% $-108 +10% $-143
Rent -10% $-178 -5% $-125 +0% $-73 +5% $-20 +10% $33
Rate -1.0pp $-10 -0.5pp $-41 base $-73 +0.5pp $-105 +1.0pp $-138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
504 Cherrington Dr Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 806 $1,300 $1.61 45d 1 0.16mi
2161 Camelot Dr Harrisburg, PA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,288 $1.36 16d 22 0.37mi
2950 Ashwood Ln Unit 103 Susquehanna Township, PA 1.0 1.0 766 $1,571 $2.05 25d 1 0.74mi
1500 High Pointe Dr Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,358 $1.70 16d 10 0.75mi
2679 Alessandro Blvd Harrisburg, PA 2.0–3.0 1.5 1217 $1,662 $1.37 16d 4 0.77mi
2505 Union Green Way Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1048 $1,650 $1.57 16d 4 0.79mi
101 N Timber Ridge Dr Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.5–2.5 1055 $1,575 $1.49 16d 1 1.26mi
136 Hiddenwood Dr Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 23d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$199 · $2,388/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 542-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $125,000 Active 542-char remark
  3. 2026-04-27
    historical $125,000 542-char remark
  4. 1998-08-24
    soldstatus $73,610

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,632 · $219/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,632 · $219/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,001
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,632
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,280
− Management
−$1,280
− HOA
−$2,388
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,842
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$682
After-tax cash flow
$-188/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Susquehanna Township SD
NCES district ID
4223010
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$61,794
Composite
25.59/100
National rank
#7424
State rank
#444 of 539 in PA

Livability — Susquehanna

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,364
Household income
$80,699
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1037.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, India, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.07%
Current HPI
257.826
Rent YoY
▲ 1.55%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+69.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $73,610 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,632 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…