7443 Anderlan Rd · The Colony, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Prime investment opportunity at 7443 Anderlan Road in The Colony, TX – a mobile home with land in the Haven Hills Mobile Home Estates community. This property generates reliable rental income of $1400 per month and features established long-term occupancy over 5 years with month-to-month status and motivation for a long-term agreement. Key features include: • Desirable location in a mobile home community adjacent to million-dollar homes, backing up to a peaceful green space for privacy and appeal. • Centrally located minutes from restaurants, entertainment, grocery stores, and all essential amenities. • Home in good working order with fully functional air conditioning and heating systems; could benefit from minor updates or TLC for added value if vacant. • Lot size approximately 6752 square feet (per records) allows construction of a custom home with minimum 800 square feet. This is a rare turnkey property for investors seeking steady cash flow or buyers interested in building in a prime area. Priced at $149900 – don’t miss out!
Key facts
- Peaceful green space
- Central convenience
- 6,752 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.9% in The Colony — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#464 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lewisville ISD (suburban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #109 of 826 in TX (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 427 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.95%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-17,903
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-19,334
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75056
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 427
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,608 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,977/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $258 | -5% $216 | +0% $173 | +5% $131 | +10% $88 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $46 | -5% $110 | +0% $173 | +5% $237 | +10% $300 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $249 | -0.5pp $211 | base $173 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $95 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5050 Farm To Market RD Frisco, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1121 | $1,767 | $1.58 | 2d | 30 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-19$149,900 Active 1092-char remark
Show marketing remark (1092 chars)
Prime investment opportunity at 7443 Anderlan Road in The Colony, TX – a mobile home with land in the Haven Hills Mobile Home Estates community. This property generates reliable rental income of $1400 per month and features established long-term occupancy over 5 years with month-to-month status and motivation for a long-term agreement. Key features include: • Desirable location in a mobile home community adjacent to million-dollar homes, backing up to a peaceful green space for privacy and appeal. • Centrally located minutes from restaurants, entertainment, grocery stores, and all essential amenities. • Home in good working order with fully functional air conditioning and heating systems; could benefit from minor updates or TLC for added value if vacant. • Lot size approximately 6752 square feet (per records) allows construction of a custom home with minimum 800 square feet. This is a rare turnkey property for investors seeking steady cash flow or buyers interested in building in a prime area. Priced at $149900 – don’t miss out!
-
2025-12-10historical
-
2025-10-12$160,000 Active
-
2024-01-26soldstatus
-
2024-01-25soldstatus Closed
-
2024-01-13status Pending
-
2023-11-30$135,000 Active
-
2021-01-22soldstatus Sold
-
2021-01-13soldstatus
-
2021-01-07status Pending
-
2021-01-03historical Active Option Contract
-
2020-12-29$99,999 Active
-
2011-06-13soldstatus
-
1994-07-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,977 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,977 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,977
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,543
- − Management
- −$1,543
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$280
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lewisville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827300
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,351
- Composite
- 47.1/100
- National rank
- #2333
- State rank
- #109 of 826 in TX
Livability — The Colony
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #464
- US rank
- #9336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Colony, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- City population
- 69,628
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,628
- Household income
- $119,682
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1704.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 18% Asian 17% Two or more races 13% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.14%
- Current HPI
- 288.9388
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.02%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+49.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $149,900 NTREIS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-10-12 Listed $160,000 NTREIS
- 2024-01-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-01-25 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2024-01-13 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-11-30 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2021-01-22 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-01-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-07 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-01-03 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2020-12-29 Listed $99,999 NTREIS
- 2011-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+16.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,977 · +60.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…