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7443 Anderlan Rd
C- Composite 51.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

7443 Anderlan Rd · The Colony, TX 75056
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 696 sqft · Manufactured public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1978 6,752 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Prime investment opportunity at 7443 Anderlan Road in The Colony, TX – a mobile home with land in the Haven Hills Mobile Home Estates community. This property generates reliable rental income of $1400 per month and features established long-term occupancy over 5 years with month-to-month status and motivation for a long-term agreement. Key features include: • Desirable location in a mobile home community adjacent to million-dollar homes, backing up to a peaceful green space for privacy and appeal. • Centrally located minutes from restaurants, entertainment, grocery stores, and all essential amenities. • Home in good working order with fully functional air conditioning and heating systems; could benefit from minor updates or TLC for added value if vacant. • Lot size approximately 6752 square feet (per records) allows construction of a custom home with minimum 800 square feet. This is a rare turnkey property for investors seeking steady cash flow or buyers interested in building in a prime area. Priced at $149900 – don’t miss out!

Key facts

  • Peaceful green space
  • Central convenience
  • 6,752 sq ft lot

Tags

PEACEFUL GREEN SPACECENTRAL CONVENIENCEDEVELOPMENT POTENTIALLOW MAINTENANCE HIGH POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.9% in The Colony — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#464 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lewisville ISD (suburban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #109 of 826 in TX (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 427 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,409 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.95%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-17,903
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-19,334
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75056

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
427
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,608 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$248 /mo · $2,977/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,388
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $258 -5% $216 +0% $173 +5% $131 +10% $88
Rent -10% $46 -5% $110 +0% $173 +5% $237 +10% $300
Rate -1.0pp $249 -0.5pp $211 base $173 +0.5pp $134 +1.0pp $95

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5050 Farm To Market RD Frisco, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1121 $1,767 $1.58 2d 30 1.45mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-03-19
    listed $149,900 Active 1092-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1092 chars)

    Prime investment opportunity at 7443 Anderlan Road in The Colony, TX – a mobile home with land in the Haven Hills Mobile Home Estates community. This property generates reliable rental income of $1400 per month and features established long-term occupancy over 5 years with month-to-month status and motivation for a long-term agreement. Key features include: • Desirable location in a mobile home community adjacent to million-dollar homes, backing up to a peaceful green space for privacy and appeal. • Centrally located minutes from restaurants, entertainment, grocery stores, and all essential amenities. • Home in good working order with fully functional air conditioning and heating systems; could benefit from minor updates or TLC for added value if vacant. • Lot size approximately 6752 square feet (per records) allows construction of a custom home with minimum 800 square feet. This is a rare turnkey property for investors seeking steady cash flow or buyers interested in building in a prime area. Priced at $149900 – don’t miss out!

  16. 2025-12-10
    historical
  17. 2025-10-12
    listed $160,000 Active
  18. 2024-01-26
    soldstatus
  19. 2024-01-25
    soldstatus Closed
  20. 2024-01-13
    status Pending
  21. 2023-11-30
    listed $135,000 Active
  22. 2021-01-22
    soldstatus Sold
  23. 2021-01-13
    soldstatus
  24. 2021-01-07
    status Pending
  25. 2021-01-03
    historical Active Option Contract
  26. 2020-12-29
    listed $99,999 Active
  27. 2011-06-13
    soldstatus
  28. 1994-07-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,977 · $248/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,977 · $248/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,290
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,977
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,543
− Management
−$1,543
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$280
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$67
After-tax cash flow
$2,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lewisville ISD
NCES district ID
4827300
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$82,351
Composite
47.1/100
National rank
#2333
State rank
#109 of 826 in TX

Livability — The Colony

Score
68/100
State rank
#464
US rank
#9336

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
The Colony, TX
County
Denton County · 901,654 people
City population
69,628
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
69,628
Household income
$119,682
Rent vs Own
40.6% rent · 59.4% own
Severe rent burden
1704.0

Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,053,010 people
By 2030
1,192,269 · +13.2%
By 2040
1,472,920 · +39.9%
By 2050
1,746,506 · +65.9%
By 2075
2,358,497 · +124.0%
By 2100
2,779,183 · +163.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Hispanic / Latino 18% Asian 17% Two or more races 13% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Denton

2024 margin
R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -235.14%
Current HPI
288.9388
Rent YoY
▼ -1.02%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+49.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $149,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-10-12 Listed $160,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-01-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-01-25 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2024-01-13 Pending NTREIS
  • 2023-11-30 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-01-22 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-01-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-01-07 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-01-03 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2020-12-29 Listed $99,999 NTREIS
  • 2011-06-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-07-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+16.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,977 · +60.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…