1400 Mission St #701 · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 79°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$497,730
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 3 person = $140,250; 4 people = $155,850; 5 people = $168,300; 6 people = $180,800; 7 people = $193,250. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Exceptions may be granted due to Buyers Temporary Eligibility Waivers being applicable. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. Unit will be listed on DAHLIA, the SF Housing Portal https://housing. sfgov. org) starting on May 5, 2026. Visit https://housing. sfgov.org for application & program info.
Key facts
- Open green spaces
- Secured building
- Locked bike room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of a 190-unit community; HOA fee of $926 per month; HOA covers door person, homeowners insurance, building and grounds maintenance, management, trash, and water; Community amenities include greenbelt and roof deck
Exterior
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: 220 volts in kitchen; 220 volts in laundry; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium (residential); One level; Modern/High Tech style; Built in 2015; Property is attached
- Construction: Frame, glass, and metal construction
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Public maintained asphalt road; Entry at ground level
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Accessible elevator installed; Central electric heating; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer; Laundry closet; 220V in laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $498k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $498k).
- Recommended offer: $483k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.5%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,264/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($116k/yr) (locally 2666% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $139k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($483k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.38%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,027,656
- List price
- $497,730
- Delta
- -51.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.96% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $194,529
- Equity at exit
- $280,924
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.51×
- Total profit
- $628,351
- Equity at exit
- $483,902
Cash invested: $139,364 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94103
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Rents YoY
- 15.5%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,610
- Tax from tax record
- −$463 /mo · $5,561/yr
- Insurance
- −$207
- HOA
- −$926
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,315
- Net cashflow
- $741
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,023 | -5% $882 | +0% $741 | +5% $600 | +10% $459 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $246 | -5% $494 | +0% $741 | +5% $989 | +10% $1,236 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $992 | -0.5pp $868 | base $741 | +0.5pp $612 | +1.0pp $481 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,432
- Closing costs
- $14,932
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Washburn St Unit 3 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1576 | $5,995 | $3.80 | 9d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 30 Washburn St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1576 | $5,995 | $3.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8 10th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 919 | $8,790 | $9.56 | 0d | 26 | 0.11mi |
| 55 9th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $5,625 | $6.75 | 0d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1288 Howard St #1908 San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 782 | $6,710 | $8.58 | 3d | 2 | 0.16mi |
| 100 Van Ness Ave #1477 San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $7,990 | $9.24 | 0d | 2 | 0.21mi |
| 30 Otis St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $10,000 | $11.44 | 0d | 15 | 0.21mi |
| 140 S Van Ness Ave #1679 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $5,760 | $4.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1 Brady St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $7,373 | $8.29 | 0d | 26 | 0.27mi |
| 380 10th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $5,495 | $4.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 73 Sumner St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,750 | $4.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1222 Harrison St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 853 | $6,346 | $7.44 | 0d | 33 | 0.38mi |
| 72 Langton St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $5,950 | $4.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 325 Octavia St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $7,563 | $9.33 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 750 Golden Gate Ave San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 681 | $2,999 | $4.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 975 Bryant St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 697 | $6,304 | $9.04 | 0d | 10 | 0.57mi |
| 616 Hayes St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $5,895 | $6.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1600 15th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $6,066 | $6.52 | 0d | 6 | 0.61mi |
| 200 Buchanan St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $9,680 | $9.53 | 0d | 10 | 0.62mi |
| 155 Harriet St #1 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 920 | $3,595 | $3.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 851 Van Ness Ave #306 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $4,700 | $5.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8 Buchanan St #609 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $6,950 | $7.02 | 9d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 855 Brannan St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $6,420 | $6.70 | 0d | 5 | 0.67mi |
| 434 Minna St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 719 | $6,581 | $9.15 | 0d | 15 | 0.67mi |
| 271 Clara St Unit 1A San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $5,499 | $5.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 23 Boardman Pl Unit LTBP23F San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $4,700 | $4.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6 Mint Plz San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $7,995 | $8.74 | 6d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 900 Folsom St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 863 | $6,324 | $7.33 | 0d | 27 | 0.74mi |
| 1 Henry Adams St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 873 | $6,415 | $7.34 | 0d | 3 | 0.77mi |
| 248 Myrtle St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $4,500 | $4.62 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10 Cyril Magnin St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $5,000 | $3.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 600 S Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $6,500 | $5.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 542 Valencia St Unit A San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $5,000 | $3.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 400 Duboce Ave San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $7,475 | $8.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 801 Fillmore St Apt 1 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $6,195 | $6.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 257 Church St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $5,995 | $5.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1080 Sutter St #201 San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $6,800 | $5.91 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1450 Franklin St #505 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $7,600 | $5.73 | 12d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 765 Market St Unit 34 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1453 | $9,200 | $6.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 765 Market St Unit 34E San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1453 | $9,000 | $6.19 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $926 · $11,112/yr
- Likely covers
- cable
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $497,730 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $497,730 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $497,730 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $497,730 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $497,730 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $497,730 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $497,730 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $497,730 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $497,730 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $497,730 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $497,730 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $497,730 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $497,730 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $497,730 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $497,730 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$497,730 Active 1191-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,561 · $463/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,561 · $463/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $75,162
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,881
- − Property taxes
- −$5,561
- − Insurance
- −$2,489
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,013
- − Management
- −$6,013
- − HOA
- −$11,112
- − Depreciation
- −$14,479
- Taxable income
- $1,614
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$387
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,964
- Household income
- $116,438
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2666.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 9% Tagalog/Filipino 6%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.96%
- Current HPI
- 175.4945
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.50%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $497,730 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,561 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…