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1400 Mission St #701
B- Composite 67.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$497,730

1400 Mission St #701 · San Francisco, CA 94103
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,415 sqft · Condo public records · 48 Days on market
Built 2015 $352/sqft · 52% below area $926/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 3 person = $140,250; 4 people = $155,850; 5 people = $168,300; 6 people = $180,800; 7 people = $193,250. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Exceptions may be granted due to Buyers Temporary Eligibility Waivers being applicable. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. Unit will be listed on DAHLIA, the SF Housing Portal https://housing. sfgov. org) starting on May 5, 2026. Visit https://housing. sfgov.org for application & program info.

Key facts

  • Open green spaces
  • Secured building
  • Locked bike room

Tags

LIGHT FILLED CONDOSECURED BUILDINGFULL TIME LOBBY ATTENDANTOPEN GREEN SPACESLOCKED BIKE ROOMCONVENIENT ACCESS TO SFO

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of a 190-unit community; HOA fee of $926 per month; HOA covers door person, homeowners insurance, building and grounds maintenance, management, trash, and water; Community amenities include greenbelt and roof deck

Exterior

  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: 220 volts in kitchen; 220 volts in laundry; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Condominium (residential); One level; Modern/High Tech style; Built in 2015; Property is attached
  • Construction: Frame, glass, and metal construction
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Public maintained asphalt road; Entry at ground level

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Accessible elevator installed; Central electric heating; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer; Laundry closet; 220V in laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $498k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $498k).
  • Recommended offer: $483k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.5%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,264/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($116k/yr) (locally 2666% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $139k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($483k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $482,798 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
8.08%
Cash-on-cash
6.38%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,027,656
List price
$497,730
Delta
-51.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.96% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$194,529
Equity at exit
$280,924
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
5.51×
Total profit
$628,351
Equity at exit
$483,902

Cash invested: $139,364 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94103

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Rents YoY
15.5%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,264 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,610
Tax from tax record
$463 /mo · $5,561/yr
Insurance
$207
HOA
$926
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,315
Net cashflow
$741

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,325
Max offer price $497,730
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,023 -5% $882 +0% $741 +5% $600 +10% $459
Rent -10% $246 -5% $494 +0% $741 +5% $989 +10% $1,236
Rate -1.0pp $992 -0.5pp $868 base $741 +0.5pp $612 +1.0pp $481

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$124,432
Closing costs
$14,932
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30 Washburn St Unit 3 San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1576 $5,995 $3.80 9d 1 0.08mi
30 Washburn St San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1576 $5,995 $3.80 25d 1 0.08mi
8 10th St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 919 $8,790 $9.56 0d 26 0.11mi
55 9th St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 833 $5,625 $6.75 0d 1 0.14mi
1288 Howard St #1908 San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 782 $6,710 $8.58 3d 2 0.16mi
100 Van Ness Ave #1477 San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 865 $7,990 $9.24 0d 2 0.21mi
30 Otis St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 874 $10,000 $11.44 0d 15 0.21mi
140 S Van Ness Ave #1679 San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1250 $5,760 $4.61 0d 1 0.27mi
1 Brady St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 889 $7,373 $8.29 0d 26 0.27mi
380 10th St San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1122 $5,495 $4.90 45d 1 0.32mi
73 Sumner St San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $4,750 $4.32 45d 1 0.33mi
1222 Harrison St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.5 853 $6,346 $7.44 0d 33 0.38mi
72 Langton St San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1470 $5,950 $4.05 5d 1 0.40mi
325 Octavia St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 811 $7,563 $9.33 0d 1 0.46mi
750 Golden Gate Ave San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.5 681 $2,999 $4.40 45d 1 0.56mi
975 Bryant St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 697 $6,304 $9.04 0d 10 0.57mi
616 Hayes St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 983 $5,895 $6.00 23d 1 0.60mi
1600 15th St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 931 $6,066 $6.52 0d 6 0.61mi
200 Buchanan St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $9,680 $9.53 0d 10 0.62mi
155 Harriet St #1 San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.5 920 $3,595 $3.91 45d 1 0.62mi
851 Van Ness Ave #306 San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 909 $4,700 $5.17 14d 1 0.66mi
8 Buchanan St #609 San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 990 $6,950 $7.02 9d 1 0.67mi
855 Brannan St San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 958 $6,420 $6.70 0d 5 0.67mi
434 Minna St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 719 $6,581 $9.15 0d 15 0.67mi
271 Clara St Unit 1A San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.5 1000 $5,499 $5.50 12d 1 0.70mi
23 Boardman Pl Unit LTBP23F San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0 1050 $4,700 $4.48 45d 1 0.70mi
6 Mint Plz San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 915 $7,995 $8.74 6d 1 0.71mi
900 Folsom St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 863 $6,324 $7.33 0d 27 0.74mi
1 Henry Adams St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 873 $6,415 $7.34 0d 3 0.77mi
248 Myrtle St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 975 $4,500 $4.62 19d 1 0.78mi
10 Cyril Magnin St San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1300 $5,000 $3.85 45d 1 0.79mi
600 S Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $6,500 $5.42 3d 1 0.80mi
542 Valencia St Unit A San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 1600 $5,000 $3.12 25d 1 0.82mi
400 Duboce Ave San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 923 $7,475 $8.10 25d 1 0.83mi
801 Fillmore St Apt 1 San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 970 $6,195 $6.39 45d 1 0.87mi
257 Church St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $5,995 $5.45 45d 1 0.90mi
1080 Sutter St #201 San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 1151 $6,800 $5.91 0d 1 0.92mi
1450 Franklin St #505 San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.0 1326 $7,600 $5.73 12d 1 0.99mi
765 Market St Unit 34 San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.5 1453 $9,200 $6.33 45d 1 1.00mi
765 Market St Unit 34E San Francisco, CA 2.0 2.5 1453 $9,000 $6.19 18d 1 1.00mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$926 · $11,112/yr
Likely covers
cable
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $497,730 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $497,730 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $497,730 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $497,730 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $497,730 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $497,730 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $497,730 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $497,730 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $497,730 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $497,730 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $497,730 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $497,730 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $497,730 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $497,730 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $497,730 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $497,730 Active 1191-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,561 · $463/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,561 · $463/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$75,162
− Mortgage interest
−$27,881
− Property taxes
−$5,561
− Insurance
−$2,489
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,013
− Management
−$6,013
− HOA
−$11,112
− Depreciation
−$14,479
Taxable income
$1,614
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$387
After-tax cash flow
$8,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,964
Household income
$116,438
Rent vs Own
80.3% rent · 19.7% own
Severe rent burden
2666.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
White 32% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 9% Tagalog/Filipino 6%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.96%
Current HPI
175.4945
Rent YoY
▲ 15.50%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $497,730 San Francisco MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,561 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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