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2035 N US-31 N #2500 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

2035 N US-31 N #2500 · Traverse City, MI 49686
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,005 sqft · Condo · 757 Days on market
Built 2006 Good condition $70/sqft · 77% below area $287/mo HOA · 16% of rent ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tamarack Lodge! Aspen room 2500, an end unit on the NW corner of the top floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation D schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $287 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).

Key facts

  • End unit
  • Waterfront condo
  • Top floor

Tags

WATERFRONT CONDOEND UNITTOP FLOORFULLY STOCKED KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $70,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$305,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 1.7% in Traverse City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#4 in MI, #46 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 757 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 757 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.63%
Cap rate
18.03%
Cash-on-cash
41.93%
DSCR
2.87
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$305,000
List price
$70,000
Delta
-77.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.4%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$27,081
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$59,709
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49686

Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
322
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,843 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$287
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$685

Break-even live

Break-even rent $976
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $733 -5% $709 +0% $685 +5% $661 +10% $636
Rent -10% $539 -5% $612 +0% $685 +5% $758 +10% $830
Rate -1.0pp $720 -0.5pp $703 base $685 +0.5pp $667 +1.0pp $648

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3341 Mikhail Blvd Traverse City, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 883 $1,949 $2.21 44d 10 0.36mi
4170 Lilac Ln Unit 905 Traverse City, MI 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,419 $1.27 44d 1 1.37mi
4418 E Daisy Ln Unit 156 Traverse City, MI 2.0 2.0 896 $1,649 $1.84 44d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$287 · $3,444/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 757 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 756 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 755 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 754 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 753 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 751 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 750 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 747 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 746 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 745 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 741 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 740 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 739 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 738 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 737 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    price $72,000 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Tamarack Lodge! Aspen room 2500, an end unit on the NW corner of the top floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation D schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $287 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).

  17. 2026-04-03
    price $70,000 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Tamarack Lodge! Aspen room 2500, an end unit on the NW corner of the top floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation E schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $287 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).

  18. 2026-01-17
    price $80,000 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Tamarack Lodge! Aspen room 2500, an end unit on the NW corner of the top floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation D schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $287 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).

  19. 2025-04-02
    price $84,900 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Tamarack Lodge! Aspen room 2500, an end unit on the NW corner of the top floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation D schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $287 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).

  20. 2024-05-23
    listed $89,900 Active 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Tamarack Lodge! Aspen room 2500, an end unit on the NW corner of the top floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation E schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $287 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).

  21. 2024-05-20
    listed $87,900 Active 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (705 chars)

    Tamarack Lodge! Aspen room 2500, an end unit on the NW corner of the top floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation D schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $287 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,111
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,769
− Management
−$1,769
− HOA
−$3,444
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$7,771
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,865
After-tax cash flow
$6,353/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This waterfront condo is in excellent condition with good curb appeal and interior finishes. It offers a great location and water views, making it a solid investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Updating the kitchen backsplash — A fresh backsplash can improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Replacing old flooring with a more modern material can enhance the bathroom's appearance and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Updating the kitchen backsplash — A fresh backsplash can improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Replacing old flooring with a more modern material can enhance the bathroom's appearance and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Traverse City Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633870
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,645
Composite
43.51/100
National rank
#2990
State rank
#94 of 540 in MI

Livability — Traverse City

Score
91/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#46

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Grand Traverse County · 47,077 people
City population
47,077
Metro
Traverse City, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,492
Household income
$71,609
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
676.0

Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,241 people
By 2030
107,172 · +4.8%
By 2040
115,676 · +13.1%
By 2050
122,377 · +19.7%
By 2075
136,554 · +33.6%
By 2100
137,871 · +34.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -276.28%
Current HPI
352.4866
Rent YoY
▼ -0.49%
Metro
Traverse City, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Price Changed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-23 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-20 Listed $87,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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