30-Plex
8320 Lake City Way NE · Seattle, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$6,890,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 30 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Vista Point Apartments, a well-maintained 30-unit multifamily property located in Seattle’s desirable Roosevelt neighborhood. Built in 1990, the property features 19 two-bedroom, two-bath units (~844 SF) and 11 one-bedroom, one-bath units (~599 SF), all with in-unit washer and dryers. The building offers secure access entry, gated parking with 37 on-site spaces, copper plumbing throughout, a new roof installed in 2023, and a brand new elevator completed in 2024. Current rents reach up to $1,500 for one-bedroom units and $2,000 for two-bedroom units, with a current cap rate of approximately 5.33% and significant upside through a renovation projected to achieve ~$1,995 and ~$2,600 respe
Key facts
- Copper plumbing
- Brand new elevator
- Secure access entry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 30 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $6.89M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $20k ($236k/yr) — positive. Per door: $655/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($81k rent vs $6.89M).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $80,718/mo this rent would consume 620% of the median local household income ($156k/yr) (locally 2019% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $48k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $207k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $2.09M; list at $6.89M implies a 230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.22%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $32,415
- Equity at exit
- $1,027,321
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $1,228,755
- Equity at exit
- $595,721
Cash invested: $1,929,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Seattle
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
ZIP-level market 98115
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 213.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $80,718 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$36,132
- Tax from tax record
- −$5,112 /mo · $61,342/yr
- Insurance
- −$2,871
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$16,951
- Net cashflow
- $19,653
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $23,553 | -5% $21,603 | +0% $19,653 | +5% $17,702 | +10% $15,752 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13,276 | -5% $16,464 | +0% $19,653 | +5% $22,841 | +10% $26,029 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $23,122 | -0.5pp $21,405 | base $19,653 | +0.5pp $17,867 | +1.0pp $16,051 |
30-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30× units | 3 | — | $80,730 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #4 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #5 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #6 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #7 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #8 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #9 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #10 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #11 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #12 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #13 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #14 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #15 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #16 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #17 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #18 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #19 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #20 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #21 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #22 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #23 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #24 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #25 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #26 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #27 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #28 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #29 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| #30 | 3 | — | $2,691 |
| Total (30 units) | $80,718 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,722,500
- Closing costs
- $206,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-15$6,890,000 Active
-
1994-05-17soldstatus $2,090,000
-
1988-08-19soldstatus $148,000
-
1979-03-07soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $61,342 · $5,112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $67,522 · $5,627/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,180/yr (+$515/mo · 10.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $968,616
- − Mortgage interest
- −$385,947
- − Property taxes
- −$61,342
- − Insurance
- −$34,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$77,489
- − Management
- −$77,489
- − Depreciation
- −$200,436
- Taxable income
- $131,462
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$31,551
- After-tax cash flow
- $204,281/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seattle Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5307710
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,695
- Composite
- 60.76/100
- National rank
- #1649
- State rank
- #19 of 291 in WA
Livability — Seattle
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seattle, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 706,262
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,349
- Household income
- $156,142
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2019.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1449.87%
- Current HPI
- 331.4729
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.73%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+8005.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listed $6,890,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $2,090,000 Public Records
- 1988-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 1979-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $61,342 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…