4027 Buckeye Rd · Merriam Woods, MO 65740

$149,900

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,012 sqft · Other · 38 Days on market

Built 2002 0.28 ac lot $148/sqft · 9% below area Est $164k · 9% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.7/30.0
• ARV discount +11.4/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +6.9/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

A charming bungalow-style cabin nestled on three spacious lots, beautifully updated and move-in ready. The home features brand-new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. Located in a great neighborhood, it offers both comfort and convenience--just under 10 minutes from Branson Landing.

Key facts

• 0.28 acre lot
• Built 2002
• Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Gravel parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential single-family home; One-and-one-half story
• Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Deck; Sloped, wooded lot with few trees; Additional parcel(s) included

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing electric oven; Electric water heater
• Flooring: Laminate flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Has heating; Fireplace heating; Other heating; Has cooling; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
• Interior features: Laminate countertops; Tray ceilings; Window coverings and drapes; Fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (5.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $141k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#444 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Branson R-IV (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #44 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Branson Jr. High (math 48% / reading 49%, grade C-, #81 of 391 statewide, top 21%, 724 students, 51% FRL); Branson High (math 42% / reading 56%, grade D, #145 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 1,423 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 331 units permitted in Taney County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Taney County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $141,441 (5.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.58%
• DSCR: 1.29
• GRM: 8.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $163,950
• List price: $149,900
• Delta: -8.57%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 29.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.29×
• Total profit: $96,224
• Equity at exit: $135,042

10-year hold

• IRR: 25.2%
• Equity multiple: 7.47×
• Total profit: $271,700
• Equity at exit: $291,223

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65740

• Home prices YoY: 11.6%
• Active inventory: 99
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,414 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$39 /mo · $465/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$297
• Net cashflow: $230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,123

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-01
   status $149,900 Pending 38 DOM
2. 2026-06-01
   days on market $149,900 Active 38 DOM
3. 2026-05-31
   days on market $149,900 Active 37 DOM
4. 2026-05-30
   days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
5. 2026-04-24
   listed $149,900 Active 327-char remark
6. 2005-09-13
   soldstatus
7. 2003-01-24
   soldstatus
8. 2000-06-19
   soldstatus
9. 1999-09-19
   soldstatus
10. 1999-03-26
    soldstatus
11. 1995-01-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $465 · $39/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,454 · $121/mo
• Expected delta: +$989/yr (+$82/mo · 212.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,973
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$465
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,358
• − Management: −$1,358
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $285
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$68
• After-tax cash flow: $2,693/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Branson R-IV
• NCES district ID: 2905760
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $41,473
• Composite: 41.96/100
• National rank: #3347
• State rank: #44 of 324 in MO

Livability — Merriam Woods

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #444
• US rank: #18151

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Merriam Woods, MO
• City population: 3,495
• Population (ZIP): 3,495

Population outlook (Taney County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 59,017 people
• By 2030: 61,235 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 65,225 · +10.5%
• By 2050: 68,842 · +16.6%
• By 2075: 77,705 · +31.7%
• By 2100: 82,002 · +38.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Taney

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+59.3) · D 19.9% · R 79.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -59.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+59.3 2020: R+57.7 2016: R+59.3 2012: R+47.4 2008: R+37.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 30.18%
• Current HPI: 291.5553
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Pending — SOMO
• 2026-04-24 Listed $149,900 SOMO
• 2005-09-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2003-01-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2000-06-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1999-09-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1999-03-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1995-01-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $465 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.