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27 West St
D+ Composite 50.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

27 West St · Portland, CT 06416
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1965 10,018 sqft lot $291/sqft · 7% below area Est $323k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* Multiple offers - Highest & best deadline Tuesday, May 12, by noon please * Discover the quiet charm of this lovingly crafted home nestled on a manageable quarter-acre lot near the heart of historic Cromwell. Offered for the first time by its original owner, this well-cared-for home reflects pride of ownership, ready for updates to realize it's full potential. Step inside to hardwood floors spanning a generously sized living room that flows into a light-filled kitchen overlooking the lovely, level backyard. A delightful three-season porch extends the living space - perfect for morning coffee, quiet evenings listening to nature, or entertaining guests after a shared meal. The spacio

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Oil hot water and domestic hot water; Fuel tank located in basement
  • Home design: Single-family home; Tan exterior
  • Construction: Frame with concrete construction elements; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Clapboard siding
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Gutters; Lightly wooded, level yard; Walkable to water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired); Oil hot water boiler; Thermopane windows
  • Interior features: Auto garage door opener; Bath grab bars
  • Laundry & utility: Washer (located in 2nd bedroom closet); Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.7% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#57 in CT, #3,527 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Cromwell School District (suburban): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #63 of 153 in CT (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Edna C. Stevens School (473 students, 27% FRL); Cromwell High School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #45 of 194 statewide, top 25%, 536 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $272,493 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.38%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$323,466
List price
$299,900
Delta
-7.29%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
27 West St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,032 (0%) 0mo $317,500 $308 100
281 Main St 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,022 (-1%) 22mo $269,900 $264 58
59 River Rd 0.51mi 2/1.0 1,040 (+1%) 24mo $300,000 $288 55
13 Catherine St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,074 (+4%) 11mo $367,000 $342 54
4 Wightman Pl 0.39mi 2/1.0 912 (-12%) 23mo $261,000 $286 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-38,002
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-19,483
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06416

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,725 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$288 /mo · $3,462/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$572
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,514
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35 West St Cromwell, CT 3.0 1.5 1392 $3,000 $2.16 23d 1 0.06mi
548 Main St Unit 2 Portland, CT 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,752 $1.74 23d 1 1.37mi
548 Main St Unit 2 Portland, CT 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,752 $1.74 1d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Under Contract 1497-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $299,900 Active 1497-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,462 · $288/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,940 · $412/mo
Expected delta
+$1,478/yr (+$123/mo · 42.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,699
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$3,462
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,616
− Management
−$2,616
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$3,018
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$724
After-tax cash flow
$2,723/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cromwell School District
NCES district ID
0900990
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$80,252
Composite
49.39/100
National rank
#2013
State rank
#63 of 153 in CT

Livability — Portland

Score
76/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#3527

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Middlesex County · 63,941 people
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
14,334
Household income
$110,596
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
188.0

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.38%
Current HPI
259.9702
Rent YoY
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) $317,500 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $299,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2022): $3,462 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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