1020 Vail View Dr Unit 1405-31 · Vail, CO
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 14 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 37 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$50
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$50 or Best Offer. Just five minutes from Vail Village and Vail Mountain, Sandstone Creek Club is one of the affordable options to own your own week in a world class mountain resort. This popular 1 bedroom, 3 bathroom plus loft condo is yours during week 31 every year---this year your week goes from August 2-9, 2025. August 1-8, 2026 and July 31- August 7, 2027. This residence comes with a full kitchen where you can prepare your meals or just make a quick cup of coffee. You'll enjoy relaxing next to the fireplace in your own separate living room. Sleeps 8 people and has a balcony, internet access, humidifier, safe and all the comforts of home. Sandstone Creek Club includes an Indoor Outdoo
Key facts
- Full kitchen
- Balcony
- Hot tubs
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association with a quarterly fee; Association fee includes cable TV, common area maintenance, electricity, gas, heat, insurance, internet, management, sewer, snow removal, taxes, telephone, trash, water, and furniture replacement; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, front desk, on-site management, pool, shuttle service, spa/hot tub, and tennis courts; Community features include fishing, shuttle service, and trails
Exterior
- Home design: Condominium / unit (multi-unit building)
- Construction: Tar and gravel roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Waterfront property; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Simulated wood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath timeshare listed at $50.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $50).
- Recommended offer: $44 (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 52862.6% vs local median 0.5% in Vail — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#76 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Eagle County School District No. RE-50 (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 86 in CO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 387 units permitted in Eagle County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4 of equity ($0 loan paydown + $4 appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
- Eagle County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 433 days — a 12% lower offer ($44) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 433 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6120.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 52862.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 188772.58%
- DSCR
- 8400.32
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,692
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020 Vail View Dr #1408-08 | 0.00mi | 2/3.0 | 1,692 (0%) | 14mo | $10,000 | $6 | 88 |
| 1020 Vail View Dr #1404-32 | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,764 (+4%) | 12mo | $2,000 | $1 | 78 |
| 1020 Vail View Dr #1404-33 | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,764 (+4%) | 12mo | $2,000 | $1 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9735.15×
- Total profit
- $136,278
- Equity at exit
- $41
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 21056.26×
- Total profit
- $294,774
- Equity at exit
- $83
Cash invested: $14 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81657
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 313
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,060 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $1/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$215
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$643
- Net cashflow
- $2,136
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12
- Closing costs
- $2
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $215 · $2,580/yr
- Likely covers
- internet
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $50 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $50 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $50 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $50 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $50
-
2025-09-23price $500
-
2025-07-02price $2,000
-
2025-04-12$5,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 14 d/yr ≥76°F today · 37 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3
- − Property taxes
- −$1
- − Insurance
- −$798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,938
- − Management
- −$2,938
- − HOA
- −$2,580
- − Depreciation
- −$1
- Taxable income
- $27,466
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,592
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,039/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eagle County School District No. RE-50
- NCES district ID
- 0803540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,322
- Composite
- 30.01/100
- National rank
- #6360
- State rank
- #39 of 86 in CO
Livability — Vail
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #7125
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vail, CO
- County
- Eagle County · 42,178 people
- City population
- 4,835
- Metro
- Edwards, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,835
- Household income
- $100,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 262.0
Population outlook (Eagle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,837 people
- By 2030
- 59,258 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 60,698 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 60,206 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 54,326 · -6.1%
- By 2100
- 47,000 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Eagle
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.4) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: 23.1pp · 2024: 24.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.4 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.75%
- Current HPI
- 485.2983
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Edwards, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-60.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $50 VMLS
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $500 VMLS
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $2,000 VMLS
- 2025-04-12 Listed $5,000 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…