6830 Indian Creek Dr Unit 5B · Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * REDUCED * * Spacious 1 bedroom / 1.5 bathrooms apartment on the 5h floor tiled throughout with updated kitchen, bathrooms and hurricane shutters. Ample master bedroom with walking closet and full bathroom including washer/dryer. Amazing intercostal view, panoramic skyline and stunning sunset from the balcony. In walking distance to the beach, restaurant and supermarket. Waterfront pool deck including sauna with enclosed meeting area. 1 assigned parking the gated parking area of the building overlooking the boat docks that can be rented subject to availability.
Key facts
- Boat docks
- Waterfront pool deck
- Hurricane shutters
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $536; HOA covers common areas, insurance, structural maintenance, parking, pool(s), reserves, roof, trash and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, sauna and elevators
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 covered space
- Security: Complex fenced; Elevator secured; Secured garage/parking; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Waterfront with Intracoastal access
- Home design: Condominium in a 9-story building; Entry on 5th floor; Has attached property
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Storm/security shutters; Open balcony/patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Accessible elevator installed; First floor entry; Living/dining room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $290k).
- Recommended offer: $255k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 647 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,159/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $290k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.72%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-37,737
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-46,364
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33141
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 647
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,159 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$383 /mo · $4,591/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$536
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$873
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $381 | +0% $299 | +5% $217 | +10% $135 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-30 | -5% $135 | +0% $299 | +5% $463 | +10% $627 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $445 | -0.5pp $373 | base $299 | +0.5pp $224 | +1.0pp $147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $536 · $6,432/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolsecurityparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-03-11price $290,000
-
2026-01-05$305,000 Active
-
2025-12-02historical
-
2025-11-04price $305,000
-
2025-10-08price $315,000
-
2025-04-24price $350,000
-
2025-02-24price $375,000
-
2025-02-03$399,999 Active
-
2009-02-13soldstatus $165,000
-
2001-05-04soldstatus $116,000
-
2000-06-07soldstatus $108,000
-
1994-04-19soldstatus $76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,591 · $383/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,591 · $383/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,909
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$4,591
- − Insurance
- −$6,568
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,993
- − Management
- −$3,993
- − HOA
- −$6,432
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$350
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$84
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #1672
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,533
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,438
- Household income
- $68,738
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3521.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 27% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 62% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -472.71%
- Current HPI
- 336.7298
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+281.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $290,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $305,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $305,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $315,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-24 Price Changed $350,000 MARMLS
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed $375,000 MARMLS
- 2025-02-03 Listed $399,999 MARMLS
- 2009-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 2000-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
- 1994-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,591 · -4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…