1800 N Bayshore Dr #1604 · Miami, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- VE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $5,013 – $11,043
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$365,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FABULOUS OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A 1BE/1BA CONDO FEATURING 644 SQFT GOOD LOCATION CENTRALLY LOCATED CLOSE TO RESTAURANTS, SUPERMARKETS AND MUCH MORE!
Key facts
- Resort style pool
- New flooring
- Natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association pool is heated
- Financial info: Lease considered; No pets allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes amenities, cable TV, parking, security, and water; Association amenities include billiard room, fitness center, pool, and spa/hot tub
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 covered space (1-car garage)
- Security: Key card entry; Secured lobby; Fire sprinkler system
- Utilities: Association-managed heated pool; Association-managed spa
- Home design: Condominium (attached property); 40-story building; Entry located at 1604
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony; Security/high-impact doors
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Elevator; Handicap access; Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $365k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-362/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $360k (1.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $365k).
- Recommended offer: $354k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 869 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,851/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 2260% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($354k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 12486% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $160k; list at $365k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.50%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.52% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-63,674
- Equity at exit
- $62,174
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-90,262
- Equity at exit
- $45,036
Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33132
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 869
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,851 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,914
- Tax from tax record
- −$475 /mo · $5,703/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$669 /mo · $8,028/yr
- HOA
- −$652
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,019
- Net cashflow
- $-30
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,250
- Closing costs
- $10,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2900 Biscayne Blvd Miami, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1260 | $8,110 | $6.44 | 2d | 13 | 0.74mi |
| 555 NE 34th St Miami, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.5–4.0 | 2653 | $3,506 | $1.32 | 2d | 19 | 1.05mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $652 · $7,824/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18price $365,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $369,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $369,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $369,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $369,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $369,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $369,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $369,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $369,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $369,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $369,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $369,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $374,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $374,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $385,000
-
2026-05-02$2,900
-
2026-04-30$399,999 Active
-
2010-12-11soldstatus $160,500 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
FABULOUS OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A 1BE/1BA CONDO FEATURING 644 SQFT GOOD LOCATION CENTRALLY LOCATED CLOSE TO RESTAURANTS, SUPERMARKETS AND MUCH MORE!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,703 · $475/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,703 · $475/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone VE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,446
- − Property taxes
- −$5,703
- − Insurance
- −$9,853
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,657
- − Management
- −$4,657
- − HOA
- −$7,824
- − Depreciation
- −$10,618
- Taxable loss
- −$5,547
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,331
- After-tax cash flow
- $969/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 827,308
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,253
- Household income
- $109,109
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2260.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 39% White 29% Black 7% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 9% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 50% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.52%
- Current HPI
- 294.3744
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+139.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $385,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed for Rent $2,900 MARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $399,999 MARMLS
- 2010-12-11 Sold (MLS) $160,500 MARMLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,703 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…