3044 Lincoln · Boca Raton, FL 33434

$119,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 896 sqft · Condo public records · 7 Days on market

Built 1980 $840/mo HOA · 43% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +7.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This is a 55+ Community 2 BR 2 Bath Condo with a Beautiful Lake View. Needs some TLC. Located in Beautiful Century Village. Beautiful Clubhouse with all of Amenities.

Key facts

• Screened patio
• Generous kitchen
• Master bedroom views

Tags

• GENEROUS KITCHEN
• MASTER BEDROOM VIEWS
• SPACIOUS WALK-IN CLOSET
• REVITALIZED MASTER BATHROOM
• STEP-DOWN SHOWER LAYOUT
• SCREENED PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Pets not allowed; Number of units in community: 5,712; Association fee payment is monthly; Association fee includes cable TV, internet, grounds and structure maintenance, security, sewer, trash, water, common areas, elevator, reserve funds, roof repairs, and pool service
• HOA & community: Community has an association; Monthly HOA fee; Association amenities include: billiard room, clubhouse, elevators, fitness center, game room, indoor pool, laundry facilities, outdoor pool, sauna, spa/hot tub, storage, tennis courts, trash chute, community room, courtesy bus, heated pool, internet included, library, pickleball courts, street lights, security

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; 1 parking space total
• Security: Gated community with guard; Security guard; Security lights; Security patrol; Security gate
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer available; Water available
• Home design: Condominium; One level; Faces east; Resale property
• Construction: Built with CBS (concrete block and stucco) construction; 4-story building; Building name/identifier: C; Roof: Other
• Exterior features: Covered patio; Screened patio; Patio; Waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Walk-in closets; Bedroom layout is stacked
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Laundry room; Multiple laundry locations; Outside laundry access

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $119k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $93k (21.8% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
• Recommended offer: $93k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 418 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $95k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 43% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $93,062 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.64% ✓
• Cap rate: 4.81%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.29%
• DSCR: 0.76
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -27.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.09×
• Total profit: $-30,382
• Equity at exit: $17,743

10-year hold

• IRR: -36.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.36×
• Total profit: $-45,464
• Equity at exit: $10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33434

• Rents YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 418
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,950 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$624
• Tax from tax record: −$174 /mo · $2,087/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$840
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$410
• Net cashflow: $-147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,136

Max offer price $93,062

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,750
• Closing costs: $3,570
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4047 Lincoln C Unit C Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	916	$2,100	$2.29	5d	1	0.01mi
4019 Lincoln A Unit A Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	896	$1,600	$1.79	24d	1	0.04mi
2044 Hythe C Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	896	$1,825	$2.04	24d	1	0.12mi
2050 Hythe C Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	880	$3,200	$3.64	24d	1	0.16mi
3032 Hythe A Unit 3032 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	896	$1,575	$1.76	24d	1	0.17mi
4014 Newcastle A Unit A Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	738	$1,495	$2.03	24d	1	0.17mi
1025 Newcastle B #1025 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	896	$1,800	$2.01	16d	1	0.17mi
2017 Newcastle A Unit 2017 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	896	$1,850	$2.06	24d	1	0.17mi
86 Mansfield C Unit C Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	720	$1,700	$2.36	11d	1	0.19mi
256 Mansfield G Unit G Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	840	$1,750	$2.08	18d	1	0.19mi
445 Mansfield K #445 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	840	$1,700	$2.02	7d	1	0.19mi
534 Mansfield M #534 Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	715	$1,300	$1.82	24d	1	0.19mi
540 Mansfield M Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.0	810	$1,400	$1.73	24d	1	0.19mi
84 Mansfield B #84 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	840	$1,583	$1.88	14d	1	0.19mi
99 Mansfield D #99 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	840	$1,500	$1.79	3d	1	0.21mi
332 Mansfield H Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	840	$1,650	$1.96	24d	1	0.24mi
144 Mansfield D Unit d Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	840	$1,500	$1.79	20d	1	0.24mi
457 Mansfield I Unit 457 Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	720	$1,700	$2.36	3d	1	0.24mi
474 Mansfield L Unit L Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	720	$1,400	$1.94	10d	1	0.29mi
613 Fanshaw N Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,750	$2.14	3d	1	0.29mi
613 Fanshaw N Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,700	$2.08	2d	1	0.29mi
517 Mansfield M Unit 517 Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	715	$1,550	$2.17	24d	1	0.30mi
43 Fanshaw B Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,625	$1.98	24d	1	0.30mi
147 Fanshaw D Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.0	601	$1,350	$2.25	24d	1	0.30mi
493 Fanshaw L #493 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$2,300	$2.81	2d	1	0.30mi
560 Fanshaw N #560 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,500	$1.83	24d	1	0.30mi
137 Fanshaw D Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,800	$2.20	10d	1	0.30mi
119 Fanshaw C Unit 119 Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.0	585	$1,299	$2.22	24d	1	0.30mi
195 Fanshaw E #195 Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	792	$1,300	$1.64	7d	1	0.30mi
320 Fanshaw H #320 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	835	$1,500	$1.80	7d	1	0.30mi
17 Fanshaw a Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,750	$2.14	22d	1	0.30mi
257 Fanshaw G Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	819	$1,750	$2.14	24d	1	0.30mi
531 Fanshaw M Unit 531 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,500	$1.83	1d	1	0.30mi
531 Fanshaw M Unit 531 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,500	$1.83	24d	1	0.30mi
536 Fanshaw M Boca Raton, FL	2.0	2.0	819	$1,850	$2.26	24d	1	0.32mi
108 Fanshaw C Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	924	$1,700	$1.84	24d	1	0.32mi
449 Fanshaw K #449 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,850	$2.26	19d	1	0.32mi
96 Fanshaw C Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	702	$1,650	$2.35	15d	1	0.32mi
389 Fanshaw J #389 Boca Raton, FL	2.0	1.5	819	$1,800	$2.20	3d	1	0.32mi
454 Fanshaw K Unit K Boca Raton, FL	1.0	1.5	715	$1,500	$2.10	15d	1	0.32mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $840 · $10,080/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $119,000 Active 7 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $119,000 Active 6 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $119,000 Active 5 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $119,000 Active 4 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   remarks 693-char remark
6. 2026-06-13
   listed $119,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,087 · $174/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,087 · $174/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,404
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,666
• − Property taxes: −$2,087
• − Insurance: −$595
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,872
• − Management: −$1,872
• − HOA: −$10,080
• − Depreciation: −$3,462
• Taxable loss: −$3,231
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$775
• After-tax cash flow: $-987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palm Beach
• NCES district ID: 1201500
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,943
• Composite: 42.72/100
• National rank: #3160
• State rank: #34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Boca Raton

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #192
• US rank: #3070

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
• City population: 250,102
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 21,686
• Household income: $77,269
• Rent vs Own: 21.8% rent · 78.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 812.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,637,487 people
• By 2030: 1,743,255 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 1,948,712 · +19.0%
• By 2050: 2,132,979 · +30.3%
• By 2075: 2,530,027 · +54.5%
• By 2100: 2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 3% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 8% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 25% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -279.89%
• Current HPI: 271.1328
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+78.9% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-11 Listed $119,000 Beaches MLS
• 2026-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
• 2026-05-13 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Beaches MLS
• 2026-04-07 Contingent — Beaches MLS
• 2026-03-08 Price Changed $105,000 Beaches MLS
• 2025-12-20 Listed $110,000 Beaches MLS
• 1995-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,087 · +464.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.