14637 Kenwood Ave · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$122,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131985137 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:UI. HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BID & PROC. SEE SHOW INSTR. EVID OF LBP; EVID OF POSS MOLD; EVIDENCE OF WOOD DESTROYING ORGANISM; DAMAGE TO GARAGE WALLS; REPLACE FINISHED FLOORING; REPAIR DAMAGED CEILINGS AND COVER ELECTRICAL PANEL. L/D 7.31.09
Key facts
- 4,920 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1957
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story construction; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Built 61–70 years ago; Contains materials including aluminum, vinyl and steel siding, and brick
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 40 x 123; Less than 0.25 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (Master on main; additional bedrooms on second level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Nine total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $122k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $877 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $122k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,560/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $122k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.80%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $221,464
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14409 Kimbark Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,825 (+2%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $123 | 72 |
| 14610 Lincoln Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,747 (-2%) | 9mo | $187,000 | $107 | 62 |
| 14300 University Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (-3%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $124 | 60 |
| 14716 Dante Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,527 (-14%) | 10mo | $228,000 | $149 | 58 |
| 403 Clyde Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+1%) | 4mo | $57,000 | $32 | 54 |
| 15134 Hastings Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,634 (-8%) | 6mo | $122,100 | $75 | 51 |
| 15126 S Sunset Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,635 (-8%) | 9mo | $137,000 | $84 | 46 |
| 14227 Woodlawn Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+12%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $125 | 45 |
| 375 Chappel Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,644 (-8%) | 7mo | $277,000 | $168 | 43 |
| 15203 Waterman Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (-13%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $181 | 41 |
| 15125 Waterman Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (-11%) | 10mo | $238,000 | $149 | 38 |
| 351 Clyde Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,581 (-12%) | 5mo | $88,000 | $56 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $49,828
- Equity at exit
- $18,191
- IRR
- 42.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $177,794
- Equity at exit
- $10,548
Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,560 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$640
- Tax from tax record
- −$455 /mo · $5,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$538
- Net cashflow
- $877
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,500
- Closing costs
- $3,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1429 Kasten Dr Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 14505 Minerva Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1645 Downs Dr Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 15400 Merrill Ave South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $3,330 | $2.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,461 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 15707 Dante Dr South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,950 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $122,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $122,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $122,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $122,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $122,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $122,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $122,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $122,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $122,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $122,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $122,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $122,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $122,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $122,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-31historical
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2026-01-07$122,000 Active
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2026-01-07historical
-
2025-09-26Active
-
2010-01-08soldstatus $26,507 Closed Sale 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131985137 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:UI. HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BID & PROC. SEE SHOW INSTR. EVID OF LBP; EVID OF POSS MOLD; EVIDENCE OF WOOD DESTROYING ORGANISM; DAMAGE TO GARAGE WALLS; REPLACE FINISHED FLOORING; REPAIR DAMAGED CEILINGS AND COVER ELECTRICAL PANEL. L/D 7.31.09
-
2009-09-02status Pending 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131985137 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:UI. HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BID & PROC. SEE SHOW INSTR. EVID OF LBP; EVID OF POSS MOLD; EVIDENCE OF WOOD DESTROYING ORGANISM; DAMAGE TO GARAGE WALLS; REPLACE FINISHED FLOORING; REPAIR DAMAGED CEILINGS AND COVER ELECTRICAL PANEL. L/D 7.31.09
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2009-07-31price $40,000 Price Change 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131985137 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:UI. HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BID & PROC. SEE SHOW INSTR. EVID OF LBP; EVID OF POSS MOLD; EVIDENCE OF WOOD DESTROYING ORGANISM; DAMAGE TO GARAGE WALLS; REPLACE FINISHED FLOORING; REPAIR DAMAGED CEILINGS AND COVER ELECTRICAL PANEL. L/D 7.31.09
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2009-07-01status Active 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131985137 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:UI. HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BID & PROC. SEE SHOW INSTR. EVID OF LBP; EVID OF POSS MOLD; EVIDENCE OF WOOD DESTROYING ORGANISM; DAMAGE TO GARAGE WALLS; REPLACE FINISHED FLOORING; REPAIR DAMAGED CEILINGS AND COVER ELECTRICAL PANEL. L/D 7.31.09
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2009-06-30historical 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131985137 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:UI. HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BID & PROC. SEE SHOW INSTR. EVID OF LBP; EVID OF POSS MOLD; EVIDENCE OF WOOD DESTROYING ORGANISM; DAMAGE TO GARAGE WALLS; REPLACE FINISHED FLOORING; REPAIR DAMAGED CEILINGS AND COVER ELECTRICAL PANEL. L/D 7.31.09
-
2009-06-19$45,000 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
HUD FORECLOSURE SALE! CASE#131985137 SOLD"AS IS". INSURED STATUS:UI. HUD ELEC AUCTION. USE HUD KEY. DISCLSR INCLD LBP, PROP COND REPORT, BID & PROC. SEE SHOW INSTR. EVID OF LBP; EVID OF POSS MOLD; EVIDENCE OF WOOD DESTROYING ORGANISM; DAMAGE TO GARAGE WALLS; REPLACE FINISHED FLOORING; REPAIR DAMAGED CEILINGS AND COVER ELECTRICAL PANEL. L/D 7.31.09
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1993-04-16soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,464 · $455/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,464 · $455/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,725
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,834
- − Property taxes
- −$5,464
- − Insurance
- −$610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,458
- − Management
- −$2,458
- − Depreciation
- −$3,549
- Taxable income
- $9,352
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,244
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+62.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Listed $122,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-08 Sold (MLS) $26,507 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-02 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-31 Price Changed $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-01 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-19 Listed $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2023): $5,464 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…