1019 Bert Cir · Penn, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$79,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
More space. More comfort. This brand-new 1,092 square foot, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for small families, first-time buyers, or anyone ready to stop renting and start owning. The Borough delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with three real bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a flowing open floor plan that makes everyday living feel easy and connected. The kitchen opens directly into the dining and living areas, keeping the home feeling spacious and social. Each bedroom is thoughtfully positioned to offer privacy and comfort for the whole family. ✔ 3 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ 1,092 sq ft of single-level living ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Private, well-spaced bedroom layout ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for families & first-time buyers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 70 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Penn-Trafford SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #27 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $94 of equity ($553 loan paydown + $-459 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.78%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,664
- List price
- $79,999
- Delta
- -7.69%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 1/2 13th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 870 (-1%) | 1mo | $66,800 | $77 | 54 |
| 113 S 13th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+2%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $94 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $19,058
- Equity at exit
- $20,961
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $55,092
- Equity at exit
- $23,451
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15675
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 S 7th St Unit A Jeannette, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 36 Gaskill Ave Unit 2 Jeannette, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 508 Lowry Ave Jeannette, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,999 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,999 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $79,999 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
More space. More comfort. This brand-new 1,092 square foot, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for small families, first-time buyers, or anyone ready to stop renting and start owning. The Borough delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with three real bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a flowing open floor plan that makes everyday living feel easy and connected. The kitchen opens directly into the dining and living areas, keeping the home feeling spacious and social. Each bedroom is thoughtfully positioned to offer privacy and comfort for the whole family. ✔ 3 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ 1,092 sq ft of single-level living ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Private, well-spaced bedroom layout ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for families & first-time buyers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates
-
2026-04-09$72,999 Active 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
More space. More comfort. This brand-new 1,092 square foot, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for small families, first-time buyers, or anyone ready to stop renting and start owning. The Borough delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with three real bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a flowing open floor plan that makes everyday living feel easy and connected. The kitchen opens directly into the dining and living areas, keeping the home feeling spacious and social. Each bedroom is thoughtfully positioned to offer privacy and comfort for the whole family. ✔ 3 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms ✔ 1,092 sq ft of single-level living ✔ Open-concept kitchen, dining & living area ✔ Private, well-spaced bedroom layout ✔ Private lots with optional garages ✔ Low-maintenance living - ideal for families & first-time buyers ✔ New construction | Penn Estates
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,006
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,120
- − Management
- −$1,120
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,356
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$806
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,625/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This brand-new 880 square foot, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a smart, efficient single-level layout with modern finishes and ample space for small families and first-time buyers.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn-Trafford SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218660
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,988
- Composite
- 60.28/100
- National rank
- #855
- State rank
- #27 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1637
- US rank
- #22584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,259
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Italian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 299.5257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+9.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $79,999 Zillow
- 2026-04-09 Listed $72,999 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…