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1019 Bert Cir
A- Composite 80.52
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Schools +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$82,999

1019 Bert Cir · Penn, PA 15675
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily · 121 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 910 sqft lot $94/sqft · 6% below area Est $88k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

More space. More comfort. This brand-new 880 square foot, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for small families, first-time buyers, or anyone ready to stop renting and start owning. The Borough delivers a smart, efficient single-level layout with three real bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a flowing open floor plan that makes everyday living feel easy and connected. The kitchen opens directly into the dining and living areas, keeping the home feeling spacious and social. Each bedroom is thoughtfully positioned to offer privacy and comfort for the whole family.

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 120 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $83k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.5% in Penn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Penn-Trafford SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #27 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Penn Trafford Hs (math 89%, 1,263 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $98 of equity ($574 loan paydown + $-476 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $73,039 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.33%
Cash-on-cash
17.99%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,874
List price
$82,999
Delta
-5.55%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 1/2 13th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (-1%) 3mo $66,800 $77 53
303 Mount Manor Rd 1.12mi 3/2.0 920 (+4%) 6mo $161,000 $175 53
214 S 7th St 1.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+2%) 5mo $65,000 $72 48
113 S 13th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+2%) 8mo $85,000 $94 46
923 Scott Ave 0.94mi 2/2.0 (-1) 936 (+6%) 4mo $134,900 $144 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$17,570
Equity at exit
$21,747
10-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$52,401
Equity at exit
$24,330

Cash invested: $23,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active
Months of supply
15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$79,999 ($84/sqft)
Median days on market
121 d
This list price
80% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+19.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 15675

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$435
Tax est. 1.5%
$104 /mo · $1,245/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $726
Max offer price $82,999
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $406 -5% $377 +0% $348 +5% $320 +10% $291
Rent -10% $256 -5% $302 +0% $348 +5% $395 +10% $441
Rate -1.0pp $390 -0.5pp $370 base $348 +0.5pp $327 +1.0pp $305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,750
Closing costs
$2,490
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 S 7th St Unit A Jeannette, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 15d 1 1.11mi
36 Gaskill Ave Unit 2 Jeannette, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 15d 1 1.44mi
508 Lowry Ave Jeannette, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 93d 1 1.49mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
List price $79,999

Exterior

Home design
Spec build named "The Borough"
Construction
880 living areaBuilt as a spec home
Exterior features
Shake roof

Interior

Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 bathrooms
Interior features
Microwave

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $82,999 Active 121 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $82,999 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $82,999 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $82,999 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $82,999 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $82,999 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $82,999 Active 113 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $82,999 Active 112 DOM
  9. 2026-07-30
    days on market $82,999 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-07-28
    pricedays on market $82,999 Active 110 DOM
  11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $79,999 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $79,999 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $79,999 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $79,999 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $79,999 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $79,999 Active 102 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $79,999 Active 100 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $79,999 Active 99 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $79,999 Active 98 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $79,999 Active 97 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $79,999 Active 96 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $79,999 Active 95 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $79,999 Active 94 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $79,999 Active 93 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $79,999 Active 92 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $79,999 Active 91 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $79,999 Active 89 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $79,999 Active 88 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $79,999 Active 87 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $79,999 Active 85 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $79,999 Active 84 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $79,999 Active 83 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $79,999 Active 82 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $79,999 Active 81 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $79,999 Active 80 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $79,999 Active 79 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $79,999 Active 78 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $79,999 Active 76 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $79,999 Active 74 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,999 Active 73 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,999 Active 70 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,999 Active 69 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,999 Active 68 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,999 Active 67 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,999 Active 65 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,999 Active 61 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,999 Active 60 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,999 Active 59 DOM
  49. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,999 Active 56 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,999 Active 55 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,006
− Mortgage interest
−$4,649
− Property taxes
−$1,245
− Insurance
−$415
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,120
− Management
−$1,120
− Depreciation
−$2,415
Taxable income
$3,041
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$730
After-tax cash flow
$3,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This brand-new 880 square foot, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a smart, efficient single-level layout with modern finishes and ample space for small families and first-time buyers.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.
B Composite school gradezoned avg 74/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Harrison Park El Sch A PA #89/1,518 Nat'l #2,202/41,679 High Penn Trafford Hs

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn-Trafford SD
NCES district ID
4218660
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$68,988
Composite
60.28/100
National rank
#855
State rank
#27 of 539 in PA
D Composite livability gradescore 56/100

Livability — Penn

Score
56/100
State rank
#1637
US rank
#22584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Westmoreland · 342,555 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
1,259
Household income
$71,970
Rent vs Own
16.7% rent · 83.3% own

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Italian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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