4711 Walnut Rd Lot i4 · Buckeye Lake, OH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this practically new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Lakeside Manufactured Home Community! Offering 1,216 square feet of well-maintained living space, this move-in-ready home combines modern style with everyday convenience. Step inside to an open-concept floor plan featuring a spacious living area and a beautiful kitchen complete with an expansive center island. The private primary suite offers a large walk-in closet and an en-suite bath with a walk-in shower, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Outside, you'll find a 10x12 storage shed for all your extra storage needs. Enjoy the convenience of
Key facts
- Beautiful kitchen
- En-suite bath
- Large walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Lakeside subdivision, Lot i4
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $495; Association amenities include a park; Association fee includes trash
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One-story mobile home; Other residential without deeded land
- Construction: Built in 2023; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Includes shed(s); Mobile home dimensions about 76' x 16'
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Insulated windows throughout; Living area approximately 1,216
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 1.1% in Buckeye Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#671 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Lakewood Local (rural): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #481 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.00%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $205,504
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4135 Walnut Rd Lot 61 | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (-3%) | 5mo | $78,000 | $66 | 71 |
| 45 Leroy St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 14mo | $300,000 | $223 | 60 |
| 4135 Walnut Rd Lot 117 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (0%) | 14mo | $97,000 | $80 | 59 |
| 102 Leroy St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (+11%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $159 | 58 |
| 110 Elliott Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-10%) | 24mo | $203,000 | $185 | 48 |
| 65 Stewart Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,037 (-15%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $169 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $49,208
- Equity at exit
- $40,078
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $121,377
- Equity at exit
- $65,977
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43008
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$98 /mo · $1,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$495
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $546
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5118 Walnut Rd Apt B Buckeye Lake, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,000 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $495 · $5,940/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $78,000 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $78,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $78,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$78,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$1,170
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − HOA
- −$5,940
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $6,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,445
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready manufactured home in the Lakeside Manufactured Home Community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a spacious floor plan, modern appliances, and updated bathrooms. The home's curb appeal and interior condition are excellent, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
- Rental Replace window treatments — Updated window treatments can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs.
- Both Install new flooring in kitchen and living area — New flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can increase the home's appeal and value for both resale and rental.
- Both Install new bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and increase the home's value for both resale and rental.
- Both HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value.
- Both Paint interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Rental Replace window treatments — Updated window treatments can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs. ↑
- Both Install new flooring in kitchen and living area — New flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can increase the home's appeal and value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Install new bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and increase the home's value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Paint interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904799
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,143
- Composite
- 39.98/100
- National rank
- #3834
- State rank
- #481 of 656 in OH
Livability — Buckeye Lake
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #671
- US rank
- #11844
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buckeye Lake, OH
- County
- Licking · 160,960 people
- City population
- 2,419
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,419
- Household income
- $82,750
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,210 people
- By 2030
- 180,917 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 183,885 · +3.2%
- By 2050
- 182,985 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 178,377 · +0.1%
- By 2100
- 161,075 · -9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Licking
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Current HPI
- 293.8256
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $78,000 CBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…