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4711 Walnut Rd Lot i4
B+ Composite 78.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$78,000

4711 Walnut Rd Lot i4 · Buckeye Lake, OH 43008
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 11 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition $495/mo HOA · 25% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this practically new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Lakeside Manufactured Home Community! Offering 1,216 square feet of well-maintained living space, this move-in-ready home combines modern style with everyday convenience. Step inside to an open-concept floor plan featuring a spacious living area and a beautiful kitchen complete with an expansive center island. The private primary suite offers a large walk-in closet and an en-suite bath with a walk-in shower, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Outside, you'll find a 10x12 storage shed for all your extra storage needs. Enjoy the convenience of

Key facts

  • Beautiful kitchen
  • En-suite bath
  • Large walk-in closet

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANBEAUTIFUL KITCHENEXPANSIVE CENTER ISLANDPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITELARGE WALK-IN CLOSETEN-SUITE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Lakeside subdivision, Lot i4
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $495; Association amenities include a park; Association fee includes trash

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story mobile home; Other residential without deeded land
  • Construction: Built in 2023; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Includes shed(s); Mobile home dimensions about 76' x 16'

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows throughout; Living area approximately 1,216

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 1.1% in Buckeye Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#671 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Lakewood Local (rural): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #481 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.56%
Cap rate
14.69%
Cash-on-cash
30.00%
DSCR
2.33
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,504
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4135 Walnut Rd Lot 61 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,178 (-3%) 5mo $78,000 $66 71
45 Leroy St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 14mo $300,000 $223 60
4135 Walnut Rd Lot 117 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,216 (0%) 14mo $97,000 $80 59
102 Leroy St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,352 (+11%) 8mo $215,000 $159 58
110 Elliott Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-10%) 24mo $203,000 $185 48
65 Stewart Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,037 (-15%) 8mo $175,000 $169 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.9%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$49,208
Equity at exit
$40,078
10-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
6.56×
Total profit
$121,377
Equity at exit
$65,977

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43008

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax est. 1.5%
$98 /mo · $1,170/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$495
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$546

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,309
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5118 Walnut Rd Apt B Buckeye Lake, OH 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,000 $1.92 43d 1 0.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$495 · $5,940/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $78,000 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $78,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-02
    listed $78,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$1,170
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− HOA
−$5,940
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$6,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,445
After-tax cash flow
$5,106/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready manufactured home in the Lakeside Manufactured Home Community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a spacious floor plan, modern appliances, and updated bathrooms. The home's curb appeal and interior condition are excellent, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Rental Replace window treatments — Updated window treatments can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs.
  • Both Install new flooring in kitchen and living area — New flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can increase the home's appeal and value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Install new bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and increase the home's value for both resale and rental.
  • Both HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Paint interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Rental Replace window treatments — Updated window treatments can improve the home's rental appeal and reduce maintenance costs.
  • Both Install new flooring in kitchen and living area — New flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can increase the home's appeal and value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Install new bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and increase the home's value for both resale and rental.
  • Both HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Paint interior walls and ceilings — Fresh paint can improve the home's overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakewood Local
NCES district ID
3904799
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$51,143
Composite
39.98/100
National rank
#3834
State rank
#481 of 656 in OH

Livability — Buckeye Lake

Score
66/100
State rank
#671
US rank
#11844

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buckeye Lake, OH
County
Licking · 160,960 people
City population
2,419
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
2,419
Household income
$82,750
Rent vs Own
23.2% rent · 76.8% own

Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,210 people
By 2030
180,917 · +1.5%
By 2040
183,885 · +3.2%
By 2050
182,985 · +2.7%
By 2075
178,377 · +0.1%
By 2100
161,075 · -9.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Licking

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.12%
Current HPI
293.8256
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $78,000 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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