19811 Shakerwood Rd · Warrensville Heights, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial offering 1,366 square feet of comfortable living space in the heart of Warrensville Heights. Lovingly cared for by the same owner for the past 30 years, this home showcases pride of ownership throughout. Enjoy relaxing and entertaining in the two enclosed sunrooms, featuring windows that open on all sides to let in fresh air and natural light. The spacious rear deck overlooks a large, fully fenced backyard, providing the perfect setting for outdoor gatherings, pets, gardening, or simply unwinding after a long day. Inside, you'll find a functional layout, a partially finished basement offering additional living or recreation s
Key facts
- Enclosed sunrooms
- Attached garage
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Attached property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Enclosed porch; Patio; Porch; Screened porch; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Chandelier; Partially finished basement; Living room fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer (laundry in basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#316 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, commute D-.
- Warrensville Heights City (suburban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #604 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.33%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,090
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19315 Gladstone Rd | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,338 (-2%) | 1mo | $176,500 | $132 | 86 |
| 20111 Lanbury Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,407 (+3%) | 5mo | $137,000 | $97 | 86 |
| 20604 Kings Hwy | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,402 (+3%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $93 | 76 |
| 3677 Stoer Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,441 (+6%) | 2mo | $277,000 | $192 | 72 |
| 3905 Warrensville Center Rd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (-13%) | 4mo | $118,000 | $99 | 62 |
| 19207 Harvard Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,258 (-8%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $115 | 59 |
| 19302 Shakerwood Rd | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,166 (-15%) | 7mo | $107,000 | $92 | 58 |
| 3717 Winchell Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,485 (+9%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $219 | 58 |
| 20117 Butternut Ln | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (-2%) | 5mo | $107,500 | $80 | 54 |
| 19207 Kings Hwy | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-14%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $145 | 53 |
| 19102 Ridgewood Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (-11%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $91 | 52 |
| 4146 Ascot Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,189 (-13%) | 7mo | $163,000 | $137 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-9,586
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $5,031
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44122
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,784 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,857/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $321
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19714 Shakerwood Rd Warrensville Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3660 Warrensville Center Rd Beachwood, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3886 E 188th St Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3665 Lynnfield Rd Unit UP Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,849 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3653 Winchell Rd Unit Lower Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3614 Lynnfield Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,450 | $0.92 | 16d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4155 Ascot Ln Unit 1496090P Warrensville Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $5,798 | $4.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 20730 Patterson Pkwy Beachwood, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1469 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 20117 Butternut Ln Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3625 Glencairn Rd Unit 1 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3554 Latimore Rd Unit 1 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3636 Glencairn Rd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3634 Glencairn Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3559 Gridley Rd Unit Up Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 19407 Cherrywood Ln Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,506 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 20835 Chagrin Blvd Unit 35-5 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 20835 Chagrin Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 20835 Chagrin Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3609 Strandhill Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Unit 5 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $1,118 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 18313 Newell Rd Beachwood, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1318 | $1,395 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 19601 Van Aken Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1977 | $3,462 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3538 Glencairn Rd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,449 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3538 Glencairn Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,449 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3538 Glencairn Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,449 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 19333 Van Aken Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,075 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 18314 Chagrin Blvd Unit 1 Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,600 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 20005 Farnsleigh Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1407 | $7,815 | $5.55 | 2d | 8 | 0.87mi |
| 3584 Palmerston Rd Unit down Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,600 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 18033 Chagrin Blvd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,750 | $2.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 17408 Invermere Ave Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1278 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 18231 Winslow Rd Unit Down Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1192 | $1,375 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3671 Daleford Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,675 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3671 Daleford Rd Unit Up Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,675 | $1.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3580 Normandy Rd Cleveland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1221 | $1,375 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3310 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1052 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 7d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 3310 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1203 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 12d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 3310 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 24d | 2 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$165,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,857 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,215 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- +$359/yr (+$30/mo · 19.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,407
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,857
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,713
- − Management
- −$1,713
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $1,258
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$302
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warrensville Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904500
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,622
- Composite
- 20.98/100
- National rank
- #8467
- State rank
- #604 of 656 in OH
Livability — Warrensville Heights
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #316
- US rank
- #5173
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warrensville Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 27,122
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,678
- Household income
- $101,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1294.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 29% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -268.81%
- Current HPI
- 200.5087
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $165,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,857 · -9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…