2780 NE 183rd St #1805 · Aventura, FL 33160

$165,000

1 bd · 1.5 ba · 887 sqft · Condo public records · 178 Days on market

Built 1971 $886/mo HOA · 25% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.3/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Very large 1/1.5 at Commodore Plaza located at the entrance to Williams Island in Aventura. Bldg has two pools, tennis courts, great workout room with equipment, party rooms with full kitchens. 24hr security, guard gate and much more. CLOSE TO AVENTURA MALL, B AL HARBOUR SHOPS AND BEACHES!!!!MAKE AN OFFER. """OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE"""

Key facts

• Resort style pools
• Fitness center
• Private balcony

Tags

• PRIVATE BALCONY
• PANORAMIC VIEWS
• RESORT STYLE POOLS
• FITNESS CENTER
• 24 HOUR SECURITY
• ASSIGNED PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: No pets allowed; Association pool
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $886; Association covers common areas, cable TV, sewer and water; Association amenities include elevator(s), fitness center, laundry, pool, tennis court(s), and trash service

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned parking (one space)
• Security: Secured lobby; Security guard
• Utilities: Cable available
• Home design: Condominium unit in a 20-story building; Entry on level 18; Attached property
• Construction: Block construction
• Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Flooring: Ceramic tile
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Living/dining room; Tub/shower; Walk-in closet(s); Other
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $165k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $165k).
• Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,549/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $869 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $106k; list at $165k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 25% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $145,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.15% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 19.30%
• DSCR: 1.86
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $13,138
• Equity at exit: $52,304

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.84×
• Total profit: $39,020
• Equity at exit: $66,494

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33160

• Home prices YoY: 0.2%
• Rents YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 1870
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,549 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax from tax record: −$241 /mo · $2,889/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$886
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$745
• Net cashflow: $317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,149

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $886 · $10,632/yr
• Likely covers: poolsecurity
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $165,000 Active 178 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $165,000 Active 177 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $165,000 Active 176 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $165,000 Active 175 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $165,000 Active 173 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $165,000 Active 169 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $165,000 Active 168 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $165,000 Active 167 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $165,000 Active 164 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 163 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 162 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 161 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 160 DOM
14. 2026-03-19
    price $165,000
15. 2026-01-28
    price $179,000
16. 2025-12-18
    listed $189,000 Active
17. 2025-02-28
    historical
18. 2024-12-04
    listed $305,000 Active
19. 2012-06-12
    soldstatus $106,000 369-char remark

    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Very large 1/1.5 at Commodore Plaza located at the entrance to Williams Island in Aventura. Bldg has two pools, tennis courts, great workout room with equipment, party rooms with full kitchens. 24hr security, guard gate and much more. CLOSE TO AVENTURA MALL, B AL HARBOUR SHOPS AND BEACHES!!!!MAKE AN OFFER. """OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE"""

20. 2012-04-30
    soldstatus $106,000
21. 2000-01-13
    soldstatus $60,000
22. 1979-11-01
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,889 · $241/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,889 · $241/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 96% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $42,591
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$2,889
• − Insurance: −$5,944
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,407
• − Management: −$3,407
• − HOA: −$10,632
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable income: $2,269
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$545
• After-tax cash flow: $3,254/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Aventura

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #127
• US rank: #1834

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Aventura, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 43,718
• Household income: $67,040
• Rent vs Own: 41.0% rent · 59.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
• Foreign-born: 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.53%
• Current HPI: 284.9293
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.94%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+189.5% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-19 Price Changed $165,000 MARMLS
• 2026-01-28 Price Changed $179,000 MARMLS
• 2025-12-18 Listed $189,000 MARMLS
• 2025-02-28 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2024-12-04 Listed $305,000 MARMLS
• 2012-06-12 Sold (MLS) $106,000 MARMLS
• 2012-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
• 2000-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
• 1979-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,889 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.