🏷️ Likely Rental
3235 W Calhoun St · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
As-is sale -- priced for investors. Currently tenant occupied at $950/month. Located in an established Springfield neighborhood near Rutledge-Wilson Farm Park and within close proximity to King Food Saver on N Nolting Ave.
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Built 1952
- Listed 35 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No additional financial details provided
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: No construction material or year built provided; No roof or foundation details provided
- Exterior features: Lot in Hancock Place subdivision; 0.32-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating with forced air
- Interior features: One-level living
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Willard R-II (rural): math 41% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #83 of 324 in MO (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 24% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.34%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,372
- List price
- $118,000
- Delta
- -39.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3215 W Calhoun St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+1%) | 3mo | $192,500 | $141 | 88 |
| 3200 W Lynn St | 0.11mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,352 (-0%) | 4mo | $189,900 | $140 | 85 |
| 1139 N Dickerson Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-4%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $177 | 83 |
| 1137a N Dickerson Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-4%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $177 | 81 |
| 1135 N Dickerson Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-4%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $177 | 81 |
| 2930 W Lynn St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,317 (-3%) | 0mo | $149,900 | $114 | 76 |
| 3215 W Bergman St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,167 (-14%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $171 | 68 |
| 718 N Hillcrest Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-4%) | 3mo | $154,500 | $119 | 54 |
| 1258 N Colgate Ave | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,166 (-14%) | 3mo | $164,900 | $141 | 52 |
| 1205 N Drury Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-14%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $159 | 49 |
| 928 N Glenn Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-14%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $134 | 39 |
| 1906 N Golden Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,521 (+12%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $95 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,308
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $26,161
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65802
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 512
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,199 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $592/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3031 W Pacific St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 250 N Hilton Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $628 | $0.54 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 741 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 740 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3028 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $850 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2222 N Hillcrest Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,395 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2854 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $995 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3002 W Elm St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,295 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 547 S Hilton Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,175 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 412 S Duke Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,585 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2602 W College St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $995 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4149 W Burbank St Unit A Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2541 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $975 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $118,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $118,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $118,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $118,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $118,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $118,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $118,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $118,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$95,000 Active 222-char remark
-
2021-03-12soldstatus $269,500
-
2016-07-20$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $592 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$553/yr (+$46/mo · 93.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,382
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$592
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,151
- − Management
- −$1,151
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $857
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Willard R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2932010
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,200
- Composite
- 39.04/100
- National rank
- #4063
- State rank
- #83 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,739
- Household income
- $55,019
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1818.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.72%
- Current HPI
- 212.9826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+31.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $118,000 SOMO
- 2026-05-14 Listed $95,000 SOMO
- 2021-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $269,500 Public Records
- 2016-07-20 Listed $89,900 SOMO
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $592 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…