8220 37th Street Ct E #30 · Edgewood, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.64%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated 3 bedroom 2 bath home in 55+ Cherrywood Manor! This move in ready home has a new roof, windows, siding, appliances and much more! High vaulted ceilings in the main living areas. 3 spacious bedrooms including a primary suite with walk in closet. Granite counter tops and stainless appliances make this kitchen a chefs dream. Mini split for efficient heating and cooling! Separate utility room with washer and dryer included! Private driveway with yard space and a reasonable space rent makes this home a great deal!
Key facts
- New siding
- New appliances
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 1.9% in Edgewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#95 in WA, #1,861 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Puyallup School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.27%
- DSCR
- 2.39
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,950
- List price
- $109,950
- Delta
- -21.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8314 38th St E #4 | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-10%) | 1mo | $27,000 | $32 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,289
- Equity at exit
- $16,394
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $22,485
- Equity at exit
- $9,506
Cash invested: $30,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98371
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,977 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $376
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $452 | -5% $414 | +0% $376 | +5% $338 | +10% $300 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $219 | -5% $298 | +0% $376 | +5% $454 | +10% $532 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $431 | -0.5pp $404 | base $376 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $318 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,488
- Closing costs
- $3,298
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8009 50th St E Fife, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3351 70th Ave E Fife, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $2,199 | $2.31 | 2d | 12 | 0.80mi |
| 200 Milton Way Milton, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,895 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1503 18th St NW Unit C301 Puyallup, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,630 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1503 18th St NW Puyallup, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,730 | $2.06 | 10d | 4 | 1.28mi |
| 2211 6th Ave Milton, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 836 | $1,985 | $2.37 | 2d | 5 | 1.34mi |
| 2629 Meridian Ave E Edgewood, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 801 | $2,165 | $2.70 | 5d | 8 | 1.37mi |
| 2715 62nd Ave E Fife, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $2,175 | $2.29 | 3d | 6 | 1.44mi |
| 10416 29th St E Unit 10416 Edgewood, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,675 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 10426 29th St E Unit 10426 Edgewood, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,675 | $1.86 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2506 103rd Ave E Edgewood, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1100 | $1,999 | $1.82 | 44d | 3 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,950 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,950 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,950 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,950 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,950 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,950 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,950 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,950 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,950 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $109,950 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,950 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,950 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,950 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,950 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $119,950
-
2026-04-29price $124,950
-
2026-04-06price $137,500
-
2026-03-02price $142,500
-
2026-02-18$152,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 64% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,159
- − Property taxes
- −$1,649
- − Insurance
- −$5,668
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,898
- − Management
- −$1,898
- − Depreciation
- −$3,199
- Taxable income
- $3,256
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$782
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,727/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Puyallup School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306960
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,291
- Composite
- 54.01/100
- National rank
- #3006
- State rank
- #52 of 291 in WA
Livability — Edgewood
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #1861
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgewood, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,682
- Household income
- $97,242
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 507.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 5% Korean 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -580.45%
- Current HPI
- 295.2143
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.41%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-21.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $119,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $124,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $137,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $142,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Listed $152,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2024): $192 · +134.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…