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728 N Mirror St
C- Composite 51.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

728 N Mirror St · Amarillo, TX 79107
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 802 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1941 $111/sqft · 39% above area Est $64k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, large backyard, 4sale by owner

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 116 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.26%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,818
List price
$89,000
Delta
39.46%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2405 Sanborn St 0.45mi 3/1.0 918 (+14%) 20mo $64,900 $71 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,131
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$14,078
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79107

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,068 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,774/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $825
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2405 Rule St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 720 $850 $1.18 43d 1 0.47mi
823 N Nelson St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.69mi
1220 N Nelson St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 550 $900 $1.64 21d 1 0.85mi
1819 Darden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1114 $1,095 $0.98 43d 1 1.02mi
901 S Roberts St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,200 $1.12 43d 1 1.25mi
3606 NE 14th Ave Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 13d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 110 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 97 DOM
  16. 2026-02-20
    listed $89,000 Active 53-char remark
    Show marketing remark (53 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, large backyard, 4sale by owner

  17. 2021-02-23
    soldstatus
  18. 2020-10-20
    soldstatus
  19. 2016-06-27
    soldstatus $78,000
  20. 2009-07-10
    soldstatus
  21. 2009-01-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,774 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,774 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,820
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,774
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,026
− Management
−$1,026
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$234
After-tax cash flow
$2,074/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Potter County · 72,216 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,662
Household income
$40,671
Rent vs Own
44.0% rent · 56.0% own
Severe rent burden
1019.0

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,296 people
By 2030
120,883 · -0.3%
By 2040
119,668 · -1.3%
By 2050
117,788 · -2.9%
By 2075
110,250 · -9.1%
By 2100
92,923 · -23.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 25% Two or more races 17% White 16% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Ukrainian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.01%
Current HPI
215.7976
Rent YoY
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $89,000 Fizber.com
  • 2021-02-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-10-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2009-07-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-01-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,774 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…