728 N Mirror St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, large backyard, 4sale by owner
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1941
- Listed 116 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.26%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,818
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- 39.46%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2405 Sanborn St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+14%) | 20mo | $64,900 | $71 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,131
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $14,078
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79107
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,774/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $192
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2405 Rule St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $850 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 823 N Nelson St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1220 N Nelson St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $900 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1819 Darden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,095 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 901 S Roberts St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3606 NE 14th Ave Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-02-20$89,000 Active 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, large backyard, 4sale by owner
-
2021-02-23soldstatus
-
2020-10-20soldstatus
-
2016-06-27soldstatus $78,000
-
2009-07-10soldstatus
-
2009-01-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,774 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,774 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,774
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,026
- − Management
- −$1,026
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $976
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$234
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,074/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Potter County · 72,216 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,662
- Household income
- $40,671
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1019.0
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 25% Two or more races 17% White 16% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.01%
- Current HPI
- 215.7976
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+14.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Listed $89,000 Fizber.com
- 2021-02-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-10-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-01-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,774 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…