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1407 Seagull Dr
B- Composite 66.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1407 Seagull Dr · Englewood, FL 34224
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 450 Days on market
Built 1973 7,838 sqft lot Est $87k · 10% over $9/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

POPULAR SPLIT PLAN WITH BEDROOMS & BATHS. WHAT A GREAT WINTER HIDE-A-WAY. LVING ROOM HAS BUILT IN EXTRA AREA. 2 SHEDS WITH WASHER & DRYER AND EXTRA OUTSIDE SHOWER. LANAI HAS VINYL WINDOWS. MEW MEMBRANE ROOF 2005. CENTRAL HEAT & AIR PLUS BASEBOARD HEAT INLIVING ROOM PER OWNER. BEING SOLD TURNKEY FURNISHED. CERTIFIED ADULT PARK. PETS ALLOWED.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Mature fruit trees
  • Large lots

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLVT FLOORINGLARGE LOTSMATURE FRUIT TREESPALM TREESCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total lot about 0.18 acres; One well on the property; No waterfront; Property type: Residential mobile home (MHC zoning)
  • Financial info: Turnkey (furnished)
  • HOA & community: Optional HOA (Dottie Quackenbush) — approximately $110 annually ($9.17/month); Association amenities: clubhouse, recreation facilities, pickleball and shuffleboard courts; Senior community; Cats and dogs allowed; Deed-restricted community

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Phone available; Broadband/high-speed internet available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One level; East-facing
  • Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation with pillar/post/pier
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed porch; Private mailbox; Asphalt/paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Living area approximately 672 square feet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pest guard system
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric); Laundry room; Outside laundry access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.8% in Englewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#321 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 450 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $95k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 450 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
12.93%
Cash-on-cash
23.69%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,688
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
755 Baja Viejo 0.55mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 3mo $67,500 $100 70
1475 Flamingo Dr #70 0.21mi 1/1.0 (-1) 653 (-3%) 13mo $84,000 $129 68
1128 Seahorse Ln 0.60mi 2/2.0 684 (+2%) 5mo $175,000 $256 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$9,294
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$28,247
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34224

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
734
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,579 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,109/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$9
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $999
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1604 Cardinal Ln Unit 1 Englewood, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,300 $1.73 21d 1 0.38mi
1435 New Point Comfort Rd Unit B Englewood, FL 1.0 1.0 744 $1,520 $2.04 21d 1 1.36mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$9 · $108/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 450 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 449 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 448 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 447 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 445 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 444 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 442 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 441 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $95,000 Active 440 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 440 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 436 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 434 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 433 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 432 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 431 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    price $115,000
  17. 2025-09-12
    status Active
  18. 2025-09-05
    historical
  19. 2025-05-05
    price $125,000
  20. 2025-03-18
    listed $140,000 Active
  21. 2008-03-27
    soldstatus $62,000
  22. 2008-03-26
    soldstatus $62,000 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    POPULAR SPLIT PLAN WITH BEDROOMS & BATHS. WHAT A GREAT WINTER HIDE-A-WAY. LVING ROOM HAS BUILT IN EXTRA AREA. 2 SHEDS WITH WASHER & DRYER AND EXTRA OUTSIDE SHOWER. LANAI HAS VINYL WINDOWS. MEW MEMBRANE ROOF 2005. CENTRAL HEAT & AIR PLUS BASEBOARD HEAT INLIVING ROOM PER OWNER. BEING SOLD TURNKEY FURNISHED. CERTIFIED ADULT PARK. PETS ALLOWED.

  23. 2007-09-10
    listed $64,900 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    POPULAR SPLIT PLAN WITH BEDROOMS & BATHS. WHAT A GREAT WINTER HIDE-A-WAY. LVING ROOM HAS BUILT IN EXTRA AREA. 2 SHEDS WITH WASHER & DRYER AND EXTRA OUTSIDE SHOWER. LANAI HAS VINYL WINDOWS. MEW MEMBRANE ROOF 2005. CENTRAL HEAT & AIR PLUS BASEBOARD HEAT INLIVING ROOM PER OWNER. BEING SOLD TURNKEY FURNISHED. CERTIFIED ADULT PARK. PETS ALLOWED.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,109 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,109 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,951
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$2,109
− Insurance
−$1,272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,516
− Management
−$1,516
− HOA
−$108
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$4,344
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,043
After-tax cash flow
$4,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Englewood

Score
73/100
State rank
#321
US rank
#5655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Englewood, FL
County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
35,420
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
15,536
Household income
$57,281
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
329.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.76%
Current HPI
325.0345
Rent YoY
▼ -0.11%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-05 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-05 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2008-03-26 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-09-10 Listed $64,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,109 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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