1407 Seagull Dr · Englewood, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
POPULAR SPLIT PLAN WITH BEDROOMS & BATHS. WHAT A GREAT WINTER HIDE-A-WAY. LVING ROOM HAS BUILT IN EXTRA AREA. 2 SHEDS WITH WASHER & DRYER AND EXTRA OUTSIDE SHOWER. LANAI HAS VINYL WINDOWS. MEW MEMBRANE ROOF 2005. CENTRAL HEAT & AIR PLUS BASEBOARD HEAT INLIVING ROOM PER OWNER. BEING SOLD TURNKEY FURNISHED. CERTIFIED ADULT PARK. PETS ALLOWED.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Mature fruit trees
- Large lots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total lot about 0.18 acres; One well on the property; No waterfront; Property type: Residential mobile home (MHC zoning)
- Financial info: Turnkey (furnished)
- HOA & community: Optional HOA (Dottie Quackenbush) — approximately $110 annually ($9.17/month); Association amenities: clubhouse, recreation facilities, pickleball and shuffleboard courts; Senior community; Cats and dogs allowed; Deed-restricted community
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Phone available; Broadband/high-speed internet available
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One level; East-facing
- Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation with pillar/post/pier
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed porch; Private mailbox; Asphalt/paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Living area approximately 672 square feet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pest guard system
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric); Laundry room; Outside laundry access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.8% in Englewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#321 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 450 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $95k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 450 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.69%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,688
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 755 Baja Viejo | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 3mo | $67,500 | $100 | 70 |
| 1475 Flamingo Dr #70 | 0.21mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 653 (-3%) | 13mo | $84,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 1128 Seahorse Ln | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 684 (+2%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $256 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $9,294
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $28,247
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34224
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 734
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,579 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,109/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$9
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1604 Cardinal Ln Unit 1 Englewood, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1435 New Point Comfort Rd Unit B Englewood, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,520 | $2.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $9 · $108/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 444 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $95,000 Active 440 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 440 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $115,000
-
2025-09-12status Active
-
2025-09-05historical
-
2025-05-05price $125,000
-
2025-03-18$140,000 Active
-
2008-03-27soldstatus $62,000
-
2008-03-26soldstatus $62,000 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
POPULAR SPLIT PLAN WITH BEDROOMS & BATHS. WHAT A GREAT WINTER HIDE-A-WAY. LVING ROOM HAS BUILT IN EXTRA AREA. 2 SHEDS WITH WASHER & DRYER AND EXTRA OUTSIDE SHOWER. LANAI HAS VINYL WINDOWS. MEW MEMBRANE ROOF 2005. CENTRAL HEAT & AIR PLUS BASEBOARD HEAT INLIVING ROOM PER OWNER. BEING SOLD TURNKEY FURNISHED. CERTIFIED ADULT PARK. PETS ALLOWED.
-
2007-09-10$64,900 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
POPULAR SPLIT PLAN WITH BEDROOMS & BATHS. WHAT A GREAT WINTER HIDE-A-WAY. LVING ROOM HAS BUILT IN EXTRA AREA. 2 SHEDS WITH WASHER & DRYER AND EXTRA OUTSIDE SHOWER. LANAI HAS VINYL WINDOWS. MEW MEMBRANE ROOF 2005. CENTRAL HEAT & AIR PLUS BASEBOARD HEAT INLIVING ROOM PER OWNER. BEING SOLD TURNKEY FURNISHED. CERTIFIED ADULT PARK. PETS ALLOWED.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,109 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,109 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,951
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,109
- − Insurance
- −$1,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,516
- − Management
- −$1,516
- − HOA
- −$108
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $4,344
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,043
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,461/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Englewood
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #321
- US rank
- #5655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Englewood, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 35,420
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,536
- Household income
- $57,281
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.76%
- Current HPI
- 325.0345
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.11%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+77.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-12 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-18 Listed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2008-03-26 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-10 Listed $64,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,109 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…