4524 Greenwood Dr · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$106,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to a comfortable, well-sized townhouse in Portsmouth offering 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths and approx. 1200 sqft. of living space. This property blends efficient layout with solid bones and affordable ownership costs, making it an ideal choice for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking a turnkey rental opportunity. Don't miss this chance to own in a convenient Portsmouth neighborhood with quick access to local amenities and commuter routes. Seller has clear TMI
Key facts
- $344 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $344; Association managed by Association Management Advisors Group; Community amenities include clubhouse, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash pickup, and water
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Attached townhouse; Two stories; Condo ownership; Condo unit on level 1; Slab foundation
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Back yard with fence; Shingle siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not listed)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Additional bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; Six total rooms; Living room, great room, dining room, family room, utility room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $106k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $106k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hodges Manor Elementary (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #827 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 499 students, 100% FRL); I.C. Norcom High (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #301 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 1,043 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 60% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.24%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $14,774
- Equity at exit
- $15,805
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $84,965
- Equity at exit
- $9,165
Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23701
- Rents YoY
- 11.9%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,760 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$556
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,133/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$344
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $352
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,500
- Closing costs
- $3,180
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4642 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,550 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 840 Lancer Dr Unit 615 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1002 | $1,288 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 840 Lancer Dr Unit 694 Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1202 | $1,480 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 200 Chowan Dr Portsmouth, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 737 | $1,600 | $2.17 | 2d | 8 | 0.71mi |
| 1217 Lakeview Dr Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $2,550 | $1.79 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 902 Liston Ln Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1039 | $1,785 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 705 Warfield Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1269 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1008 Cherokee Rd Portsmouth, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $1,345 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 26 Byers Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,575 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 804 City Park Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 816 Martin Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,195 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 13 Hedge Ln Unit I Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $1,275 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6 Harrower Ct Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $344 · $4,128/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-16status Under Contract 484-char remark
-
2026-04-30$106,000 Active 484-char remark
-
2026-02-28historical
-
2026-02-13status Active
-
2025-12-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-09price $119,000
-
2025-08-25$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,133 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,133 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,938
- − Property taxes
- −$1,133
- − Insurance
- −$530
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,690
- − Management
- −$1,690
- − HOA
- −$4,128
- − Depreciation
- −$3,084
- Taxable income
- $2,932
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$704
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,298
- Household income
- $62,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 580.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.96%
- Current HPI
- 310.8218
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.92%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-23.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) $100,000 REINMLS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $106,000 REINMLS
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2025-12-24 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $119,000 REINMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $130,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
-2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,133 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…