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911 Hickory Grove Rd Duplex
D- Composite 38.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$415,000

911 Hickory Grove Rd · Belmont, NC 28056
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,312 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1958 0.70 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Wow! 2 units and single family home priced at $53,333 each... The rent roll is $1,635.00 per month. Yearly $19,620.00 does not include taxes and insurance. The units are rented presently. Please allow 24 hours notice to the tenants before a showing. These 2 units and single family home are on the same lot. What a great investment!

Key facts

  • Fully remodeled
  • Renovated bathroom
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDUPDATED KITCHENRENOVATED BATHROOMUPDATED HVAC SYSTEMSCARPORTS FOR EACH UNITROCKING CHAIR FRONT PORCHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Three total units; Owner pays: none; Tenants pay utilities including electricity and gas
  • HOA & community: No HOA; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Driveway
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Septic system; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Residential income property (triplex); R1 zoning
  • Construction: Site-built construction; Full brick exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms total; Unit mix includes a 2-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Attic fan; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Pull-down attic stairs; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Shared/common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $415k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-107 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-54/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $396k (4.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $314k (24.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $314k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.3% in Belmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#105 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Belmont Elementary (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #354 of 1,410 statewide, top 28%, 327 students, 99% FRL); Stuart W Cramer High (math 77% / reading 53%, grade B, #161 of 535 statewide, top 30%, 964 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 37% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 43% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gaston County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($403k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $152k; list at $415k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $313,800 (24.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.11%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-77,510
Equity at exit
$61,878
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-90,096
Equity at exit
$35,882

Cash invested: $116,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28056

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
356
Price-to-rent
22.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,138 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,176
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,843/yr
Insurance
$173
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$659
Net cashflow
$-107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,274
Max offer price $396,072
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $128 -5% $10 +0% $-107 +5% $-225 +10% $-342
Rent -10% $-355 -5% $-231 +0% $-107 +5% $17 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $102 -0.5pp $-2 base $-107 +0.5pp $-215 +1.0pp $-324

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$103,750
Closing costs
$12,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 Georgia Belle Ave Belmont, NC 3.0 2.0 1675 $1,800 $1.07 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $415,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $415,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $415,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $415,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $415,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $415,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $415,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $415,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $415,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $415,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $415,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $415,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $415,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-04-27
    listed $415,000 Active
  15. 2016-04-08
    soldstatus $152,000 Closed 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    Wow! 2 units and single family home priced at $53,333 each... The rent roll is $1,635.00 per month. Yearly $19,620.00 does not include taxes and insurance. The units are rented presently. Please allow 24 hours notice to the tenants before a showing. These 2 units and single family home are on the same lot. What a great investment!

  16. 2016-03-11
    historical Under Contract - Show 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    Wow! 2 units and single family home priced at $53,333 each... The rent roll is $1,635.00 per month. Yearly $19,620.00 does not include taxes and insurance. The units are rented presently. Please allow 24 hours notice to the tenants before a showing. These 2 units and single family home are on the same lot. What a great investment!

  17. 2016-02-26
    listed $160,000 Active 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    Wow! 2 units and single family home priced at $53,333 each... The rent roll is $1,635.00 per month. Yearly $19,620.00 does not include taxes and insurance. The units are rented presently. Please allow 24 hours notice to the tenants before a showing. These 2 units and single family home are on the same lot. What a great investment!

  18. 1993-09-01
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,843 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,403 · $284/mo
Expected delta
+$560/yr (+$47/mo · 19.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,656
− Mortgage interest
−$23,246
− Property taxes
−$2,843
− Insurance
−$2,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,012
− Management
−$3,012
− Depreciation
−$12,073
Taxable loss
−$8,606
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,066
After-tax cash flow
$780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gaston County Schools
NCES district ID
3701620
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,644
Composite
36.39/100
National rank
#4680
State rank
#93 of 178 in NC

Livability — Belmont

Score
71/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#6753

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime D- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Gaston County · 201,497 people
City population
26,556
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
36,200
Household income
$90,427
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,027 people
By 2030
237,300 · +3.2%
By 2040
249,659 · +8.5%
By 2050
257,806 · +12.1%
By 2075
272,163 · +18.3%
By 2100
268,652 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gaston

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -244.54%
Current HPI
231.6479
Rent YoY
▲ 1.94%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2205.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $415,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-08 Sold (MLS) $152,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-11 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-26 Listed $160,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,843 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…