CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
371 Bethel Ave #24
B- Composite 65.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

371 Bethel Ave #24 · Sanger, CA 93657
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1977 $97/sqft · 9% above area Est $128k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully remodeled 2 bedroom 2 bath PRICED TO SELL IMMEDIATELY! This charming mobile has been fully updated featuring a newly updated kitchen with top of the line modern cabinets, counters, and appliances. Enjoy new dual pane windows and slider, HIGH-END vinyl plank flooring, fresh interior paint, and an upgraded heating and cooling system. Located in the quiet and well-kept Vista Del Monte Park. Don't miss out on this opportune turnkey home.

Key facts

  • Modern cabinets
  • Dual pane windows
  • Vinyl plank flooring

Tags

NEWLY UPDATED KITCHENMODERN CABINETSDUAL PANE WINDOWSVINYL PLANK FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.6% in Sanger — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#668 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D+.
  • Sanger Unified (town): math 22% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #216 of 517 in CA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $67k; list at $139k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.21%
Cash-on-cash
21.14%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,533
List price
$139,000
Delta
8.99%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
371 Bethel Ave #59 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 2mo $86,500 $60 91
371 Bethel Ave Unit SP 51 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (0%) 7mo $129,000 $90 89
371 Bethel Ave #101 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 16mo $82,000 $57 87
371 Bethel Ave #45 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 16mo $85,000 $59 86
371 Bethel Ave #99 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 3mo $109,674 $82 86
371 Bethel #109 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 18mo $116,000 $81 85
371 Bethel Ave #85 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 18mo $147,000 $102 84
371 Bethel Ave #85 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 18mo $147,000 $102 84
371 Bethel Ave Ave #86 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 13mo $160,000 $119 78
371 Bethel Ave #102 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-13%) 2mo $127,500 $102 71
371 Bethel Ave Spc 2 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 9mo $134,000 $107 70
371 N Bethel #81 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,604 (+11%) 17mo $145,000 $90 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$21,185
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$74,816
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93657

Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax est. 1.5%
$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$686

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2892 Florence Ave Sanger, CA 3.0 2.0 1731 $2,400 $1.39 10d 1 0.63mi
1415 De Witt Ave Sanger, CA 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,700 $1.47 1d 1 1.19mi
1319 Sanger Ave Sanger, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,695 $1.54 15d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on marketlisting id $139,000 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 86 DOM
  15. 2026-04-22
    price $139,000 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    Fully remodeled 2 bedroom 2 bath PRICED TO SELL IMMEDIATELY! This charming mobile has been fully updated featuring a newly updated kitchen with top of the line modern cabinets, counters, and appliances. Enjoy new dual pane windows and slider, HIGH-END vinyl plank flooring, fresh interior paint, and an upgraded heating and cooling system. Located in the quiet and well-kept Vista Del Monte Park. Don't miss out on this opportune turnkey home.

  16. 2026-03-06
    listed $139,900 Active 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    Fully remodeled 2 bedroom 2 bath PRICED TO SELL IMMEDIATELY! This charming mobile has been fully updated featuring a newly updated kitchen with top of the line modern cabinets, counters, and appliances. Enjoy new dual pane windows and slider, HIGH-END vinyl plank flooring, fresh interior paint, and an upgraded heating and cooling system. Located in the quiet and well-kept Vista Del Monte Park. Don't miss out on this opportune turnkey home.

  17. 2025-11-14
    price $145,000
  18. 2025-10-23
    price $150,000
  19. 2021-05-17
    price $66,950
  20. 2021-05-05
    soldstatus $66,950 Sold
  21. 2021-04-12
    status Pending
  22. 2021-04-12
    price $69,950
  23. 2021-02-19
    price $69,950
  24. 2021-02-01
    listed $73,950 Active
  25. 2000-05-03
    soldstatus $35,000
  26. 2000-04-25
    historical
  27. 2000-04-25
    price $39,500
  28. 2000-03-04
    listed $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 52 unhealthy d/yr today · 58 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,008
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,085
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,001
− Management
−$2,001
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$6,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,535
After-tax cash flow
$6,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sanger Unified
NCES district ID
0635250
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$57,180
Composite
36.67/100
National rank
#4608
State rank
#216 of 517 in CA

Livability — Sanger

Score
58/100
State rank
#668
US rank
#20675

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sanger, CA
County
Fresno County · 834,801 people
City population
36,205
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
36,205
Household income
$78,904
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
878.0

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 68% White 25% Two or more races 17% Asian 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 64%
Common ancestry
Russian 1% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 44% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -254.86%
Current HPI
366.3783
Rent YoY
Metro
Fresno, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+297.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $139,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $139,900 FRESNOMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $145,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $150,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-05-17 Price Changed $66,950 FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-05-05 Sold (MLS) $66,950 FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-04-12 Pending FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-04-12 Price Changed $69,950 FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-02-19 Price Changed $69,950 FRESNOMLS
  • 2021-02-01 Listed $73,950 FRESNOMLS
  • 2000-05-03 Sold (MLS) $35,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2000-04-25 Price Changed $39,500 FRESNOMLS
  • 2000-04-25 Delisted FRESNOMLS
  • 2000-03-04 Listed $35,000 FRESNOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…