371 Bethel Ave #24 · Sanger, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 52 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 58 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully remodeled 2 bedroom 2 bath PRICED TO SELL IMMEDIATELY! This charming mobile has been fully updated featuring a newly updated kitchen with top of the line modern cabinets, counters, and appliances. Enjoy new dual pane windows and slider, HIGH-END vinyl plank flooring, fresh interior paint, and an upgraded heating and cooling system. Located in the quiet and well-kept Vista Del Monte Park. Don't miss out on this opportune turnkey home.
Key facts
- Modern cabinets
- Dual pane windows
- Vinyl plank flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.6% in Sanger — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#668 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D+.
- Sanger Unified (town): math 22% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #216 of 517 in CA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $67k; list at $139k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.14%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,533
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- 8.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 371 Bethel Ave #59 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $86,500 | $60 | 91 |
| 371 Bethel Ave Unit SP 51 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (0%) | 7mo | $129,000 | $90 | 89 |
| 371 Bethel Ave #101 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 16mo | $82,000 | $57 | 87 |
| 371 Bethel Ave #45 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $59 | 86 |
| 371 Bethel Ave #99 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 3mo | $109,674 | $82 | 86 |
| 371 Bethel #109 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 18mo | $116,000 | $81 | 85 |
| 371 Bethel Ave #85 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 18mo | $147,000 | $102 | 84 |
| 371 Bethel Ave #85 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 18mo | $147,000 | $102 | 84 |
| 371 Bethel Ave Ave #86 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $119 | 78 |
| 371 Bethel Ave #102 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-13%) | 2mo | $127,500 | $102 | 71 |
| 371 Bethel Ave Spc 2 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 9mo | $134,000 | $107 | 70 |
| 371 N Bethel #81 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,604 (+11%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $90 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $21,185
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $74,816
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93657
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2892 Florence Ave Sanger, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1731 | $2,400 | $1.39 | 10d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1415 De Witt Ave Sanger, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1319 Sanger Ave Sanger, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-04-22price $139,000 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Fully remodeled 2 bedroom 2 bath PRICED TO SELL IMMEDIATELY! This charming mobile has been fully updated featuring a newly updated kitchen with top of the line modern cabinets, counters, and appliances. Enjoy new dual pane windows and slider, HIGH-END vinyl plank flooring, fresh interior paint, and an upgraded heating and cooling system. Located in the quiet and well-kept Vista Del Monte Park. Don't miss out on this opportune turnkey home.
-
2026-03-06$139,900 Active 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Fully remodeled 2 bedroom 2 bath PRICED TO SELL IMMEDIATELY! This charming mobile has been fully updated featuring a newly updated kitchen with top of the line modern cabinets, counters, and appliances. Enjoy new dual pane windows and slider, HIGH-END vinyl plank flooring, fresh interior paint, and an upgraded heating and cooling system. Located in the quiet and well-kept Vista Del Monte Park. Don't miss out on this opportune turnkey home.
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2025-11-14price $145,000
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2025-10-23price $150,000
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2021-05-17price $66,950
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2021-05-05soldstatus $66,950 Sold
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2021-04-12status Pending
-
2021-04-12price $69,950
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2021-02-19price $69,950
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2021-02-01$73,950 Active
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2000-05-03soldstatus $35,000
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2000-04-25historical
-
2000-04-25price $39,500
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2000-03-04$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 52 unhealthy d/yr today · 58 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,085
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,001
- − Management
- −$2,001
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $6,397
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,535
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sanger Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0635250
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,180
- Composite
- 36.67/100
- National rank
- #4608
- State rank
- #216 of 517 in CA
Livability — Sanger
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #668
- US rank
- #20675
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanger, CA
- County
- Fresno County · 834,801 people
- City population
- 36,205
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,205
- Household income
- $78,904
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 878.0
Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,042,971 people
- By 2030
- 1,072,198 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 1,122,408 · +7.6%
- By 2050
- 1,157,251 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 1,182,575 · +13.4%
- By 2100
- 1,105,899 · +6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 68% White 25% Two or more races 17% Asian 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 64%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 1% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 44% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fresno
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -254.86%
- Current HPI
- 366.3783
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+297.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $139,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $139,900 FRESNOMLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $145,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $150,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2021-05-17 Price Changed $66,950 FRESNOMLS
- 2021-05-05 Sold (MLS) $66,950 FRESNOMLS
- 2021-04-12 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2021-04-12 Price Changed $69,950 FRESNOMLS
- 2021-02-19 Price Changed $69,950 FRESNOMLS
- 2021-02-01 Listed $73,950 FRESNOMLS
- 2000-05-03 Sold (MLS) $35,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2000-04-25 Price Changed $39,500 FRESNOMLS
- 2000-04-25 Delisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2000-03-04 Listed $35,000 FRESNOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…