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431 Sampan Ave
C+ Composite 63.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$899,000

431 Sampan Ave · Jamestown, RI 02835
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,540 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1998 7,405 sqft lot Est $775k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom Colonial nestled in the highly sought-after Jamestown Shores neighborhood. Offering 1,540 square feet of inviting living space. The kitchen, remodeled in 2025 has new appliances, soft close cabinets and quartz countertops. The dining room, living room, and den area flow effortlessly into one another, creating a spacious and connected environment for hosting friends or enjoying family time. On the first floor there are oak hardwood floors which are throughout the main living areas, adding warmth and elegance. Step through the den through the sliding glass doors outside to discover your own private retreat. The covered rear de

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1998

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage
  • Home design: Single-family home; 2 total floors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $899k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($79k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $899k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Jamestown (suburban): math 51% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #2 of 39 in RI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Newport County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Newport County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $899,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
15.10%
Cash-on-cash
31.47%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$774,620
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
431 Sampan Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,540 (0%) 19mo $725,700 $471 84
460 Schooner Ave 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,544 (+0%) 10mo $776,700 $503 84
66 Sloop St 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,518 (-1%) 20mo $870,000 $573 71
470 Gondola Ave 0.10mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,654 (+7%) 8mo $800,000 $484 69
85 Frigate St 0.61mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,512 (-2%) 11mo $1,000,000 $661 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$274,997
Equity at exit
$134,044
10-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$781,826
Equity at exit
$77,729

Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02835

Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$16,220 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,714
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,124 /mo · $13,485/yr
Insurance
$375
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,406
Net cashflow
$6,601

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,864
Max offer price $899,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$224,750
Closing costs
$26,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
67 Buoy St Jamestown, RI 2.0 2.0 1440 $2,650 $1.84 24d 1 0.85mi
376 E Shore Rd Jamestown, RI 4.0 2.5 2160 $40,000 $18.52 21d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $899,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $899,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $899,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $899,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $899,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on marketlisting id $899,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $899,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $899,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$194,642
− Mortgage interest
−$50,358
− Property taxes
−$13,485
− Insurance
−$4,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$15,571
− Management
−$15,571
− Depreciation
−$26,153
Taxable income
$69,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$16,562
After-tax cash flow
$62,651/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown
NCES district ID
4400510
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$88,929
Composite
54.32/100
National rank
#1368
State rank
#2 of 39 in RI

Livability — Jamestown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,545

Population outlook (Newport County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,198 people
By 2030
79,518 · -2.1%
By 2040
75,581 · -6.9%
By 2050
71,801 · -11.6%
By 2075
64,618 · -20.4%
By 2100
56,724 · -30.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Russian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Newport

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.6% · R 36.1% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+2.2pp toward D · 2008: 23.3pp · 2024: 25.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.5 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+17.7 2008: D+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -265.83%
Current HPI
388.7836
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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