1103 S Sunset Ave · Rockford, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity Only $35,000! Cape Cod style 1.5-story home on a huge corner lot with attached garage. Roof replaced in 2011. Property has been vacant for some time and needs rehab but offers great potential for the right buyer.
Key facts
- Huge corner lot
- Cape cod style
- Roof replaced
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $776 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rockford Envrnmntl Science Acad (math 0% / reading 7%, grade F, #652 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 1,051 students, 0% FRL); Jefferson High School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #608 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 2,114 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 95.04%
- DSCR
- 5.23
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $98,990
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1916 Loomis St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (+1%) | 0mo | $88,000 | $84 | 87 |
| 1012 S Independence Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 974 (-6%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $77 | 73 |
| 1623 Hulin St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,085 (+4%) | 17mo | $96,000 | $88 | 73 |
| 1807 Genoa St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 935 (-10%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $134 | 56 |
| 1254 Clover Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+11%) | 20mo | $117,000 | $102 | 56 |
| 1012 S Johnston Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 958 (-8%) | 18mo | $92,000 | $96 | 53 |
| 1253 Holland St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,163 (+12%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $95 | 52 |
| 1523 Michigan Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,078 (+4%) | 8mo | $136,000 | $126 | 50 |
| 406 S Independence Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-10%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $112 | 43 |
| 2205 Clover Ave | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+6%) | 14mo | $80,000 | $73 | 40 |
| 1007 Island Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 907 (-13%) | 14mo | $86,500 | $95 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 96.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.47×
- Total profit
- $43,816
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 98.7%
- Equity multiple
- 11.41×
- Total profit
- $102,025
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61102
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,355 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,157/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $776
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1248 Ferguson St #2 Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1826 Green St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1221 S Court St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1229 S Church St Unit 2 Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2315 Green St Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2403 Elm St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2403 Elm St Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 207 N Central Ave Rockford, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 504 Lexington Ave Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2222 Andrews St Rockford, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 418 Orchard Park Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 615 Newport Ave Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1510 School St Unit 1 Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2011 School St Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3834 Preston St Rockford, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2305 School St Unit 2305-7 Rockford, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $995 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3016 School St Rockford, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-24status Active
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-03-09$35,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,157 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,157 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$1,157
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,301
- − Management
- −$1,301
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $9,351
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,244
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockford SD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1734510
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,533
- Composite
- 12.21/100
- National rank
- #9649
- State rank
- #533 of 620 in IL
Livability — Rockford
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #876
- US rank
- #17035
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockford, IL
- City population
- 147,297
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,620
Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 271,080 people
- By 2030
- 260,684 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 238,405 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 216,129 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 172,882 · -36.2%
- By 2100
- 135,336 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.81%
- Current HPI
- 189.9634
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — NWIAR
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — NWIAR
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Pending — NWIAR
- 2026-03-09 Listed $35,000 NWIAR
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,157 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…