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2557 Montana Ave
B- Composite 66.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

2557 Montana Ave · Bridgeport, MI 48601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 572 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1948 0.35 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This would make a great bachelor pad or starter home. Compact, but very well maintained. The Living room has carpet, but under carpet is hard wood flooring. Both bedrooms have hard wood flooring. The large lot and 1/2 has a two and 1/2 car garage, shed, and a fenced in yard. Just needs two entrance gates installed, for garage entrance and the car port side. There is a covered porch in the back, a car port on one side. This home is an estate, but the daughter answered as well as she could on the sellers disclosures.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Hard wood flooring
  • Car port

Tags

HARD WOOD FLOORINGFENCED IN YARDCOVERED PORCHCAR PORT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (24 x 24), about 2.5 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Residential, 1-story home built in 1948; Entry and main living on first floor
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Large lot with 65+ ft frontage; Road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: First-floor kitchen (approx. 11 x 10) with vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: Two first-floor bedrooms with wood flooring (approx. 9 x 9 and 8 x 9)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring in bedrooms; Carpet in living room; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor (approx. 5 x 6)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas fuel; Wall heating; Window AC unit(s)
  • Interior features: Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($891 rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 6.3% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#638 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, schools F.
  • Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #513 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,115 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
13.57%
Cash-on-cash
25.98%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$13,198
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$40,729
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48601

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$891 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $144/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $438
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $59,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $69,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$144 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$526 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$382/yr (+$32/mo · 264.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,689
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$144
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$855
− Management
−$855
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$3,519
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$844
After-tax cash flow
$3,448/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District
NCES district ID
2606780
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,403
Composite
10.13/100
National rank
#9800
State rank
#513 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
57/100
State rank
#638
US rank
#21636

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,069

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.46%
Current HPI
197.3359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-11.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $144 · -82.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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