26313 Hunters Trail Trl · Roman Forest, TX 77357

$165,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,165 sqft · Manufactured · 21 Days on market

Built 2025 Good condition 0.50 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.5/30.0
• DSCR +8.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.7/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own a newly constructed lot in the Peach Creek Forest area of New Caney, perfect for placing a double-wide manufactured home. This property is new construction, and we can build according to your preferences, giving you the flexibility to design your ideal home. Enjoy a quiet, country-style setting with plenty of space to create your own homesite while remaining close to FM 1485, shopping, schools, and other conveniences. Buyers are encouraged to consult with us regarding utilities, restrictions, floodplain status, permitting, and all requirements for manufactured home placement.

Key facts

• 0.5 acre lot
• Built 2025
• Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No parking details provided
• Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm
• Utilities: Electricity available; Water available (well); Sewer available (private sewer / septic tank)
• Home design: New construction; Faces east; Pillar/post/pier foundation
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Year built reported by builder
• Exterior features: Front yard; Open lot; Medium-size trees; Fenced perimeter with security fencing; Has view; None listed for additional exterior amenities

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher
• Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Double-pane windows; Ceiling fan(s)
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
• Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.0% in Roman Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#595 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• New Caney ISD (suburban): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #570 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 979 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $162,525 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.17% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.96%
• DSCR: 1.44
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $82,715
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
20250 Ada Ln	0.56mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,050 (-10%)	7mo	$75,000	$71	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.84×
• Total profit: $-7,564
• Equity at exit: $24,602

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.10×
• Total profit: $4,524
• Equity at exit: $14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77357

• Home prices YoY: -24.7%
• Rents YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 979
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,929 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$405
• Net cashflow: $383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
630 Magnolia Bnd Roman Forest, TX	3.0	2.5	1450	$1,545	$1.07	24d	1	1.38mi
634 Magnolia Bnd New Caney, TX	3.0	2.5	1450	$1,485	$1.02	20d	1	1.38mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
14. 2026-05-28
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,142
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$2,475
• − Insurance: −$825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,851
• − Management: −$1,851
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable income: $2,097
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$503
• After-tax cash flow: $4,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This newly constructed double-wide manufactured home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for modest updates to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Updating the flooring to a more modern style — Modern flooring can improve both resale and rental value.
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to a more modern style — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
• Both Adding smart home features to the HVAC system — Smart home features can improve energy efficiency and add value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Updating the flooring to a more modern style — Modern flooring can improve both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to a more modern style — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features to the HVAC system — Smart home features can improve energy efficiency and add value to the property. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: New Caney ISD
• NCES district ID: 4832400
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $55,380
• Composite: 27.97/100
• National rank: #6857
• State rank: #570 of 826 in TX

Livability — Roman Forest

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #595
• US rank: #11338

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Montgomery County · 663,713 people
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 37,592
• Household income: $76,050
• Rent vs Own: 26.1% rent · 73.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 487.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 713,896 people
• By 2030: 805,263 · +12.8%
• By 2040: 992,708 · +39.1%
• By 2050: 1,179,590 · +65.2%
• By 2075: 1,628,084 · +128.1%
• By 2100: 1,937,880 · +171.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 49% White 45% Two or more races 31% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 40%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 23% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 58% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -87.71%
• Current HPI: 266.8315
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.21%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-28 Listed $165,000 Unlock MLS