CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
12107 Williams County C
D+ Composite 49.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

12107 Williams County C · Bryan, OH 43506
1 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,584 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 2008 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

RURAL 4 BEDROOM 2.5 BATH HOME ON A NICE LARGE LOT. HOUSE IS IN NEED OF REPAIR AND SELLING AS-IS. ANY OFFER ACCEPTED WOULD BE SUBJECT TO PROBATE COURT APPROVAL. GREAT HOUSE FOR A FLIP OR REMODEL JOB. SET YOUR APPOINTMENT UP TODAY.

Key facts

  • 0.46 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2008

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Driveway; Paved parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Well water
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels (2 stories); Not attached; no common walls
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot; County road frontage; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen (Main level)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Bedroom 2 (Main level); Bedroom 3 (Upper level); Bedroom 4 (Upper level); Total rooms: 9
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Other
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Laundry room (Main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($706/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($972 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.1% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in OH, #2,623 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bryan City (town): math 60% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #266 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bryan Elementary (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B, #573 of 1,584 statewide, top 37%, 884 students, 31% FRL); Bryan Middle School/High School (math 57% / reading 66%, grade B-, #231 of 781 statewide, top 30%, 936 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Williams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Recommended offer $87,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.08%
Cash-on-cash
2.80%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-10,768
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-4,273
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43506

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$972 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,391/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $897
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $90,000 Pending 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Contingent 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Contingent 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Contingent 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Contingent 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $90,000 Contingent 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Contingent 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Contingent 48 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Contingent 47 DOM
  10. 2026-04-14
    listed Contingent
  11. 2026-04-13
    listed $90,000
  12. 2026-03-02
    soldstatus $117,412
  13. 2012-11-21
    historical
  14. 2012-05-21
    listed $79,900
  15. 2012-05-20
    historical
  16. 2011-11-20
    listed $99,900
  17. 2007-07-31
    soldstatus $19,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,391 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,391 · $199/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,659
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$2,391
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$933
− Management
−$933
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable loss
−$707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$170
After-tax cash flow
$876/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bryan City
NCES district ID
3904367
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$41,709
Composite
52.34/100
National rank
#1587
State rank
#266 of 656 in OH

Livability — Bryan

Score
78/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#2623

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Williams · 37,585 people
City population
14,691
Population (ZIP)
14,691
Household income
$60,705
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
3.6

Population outlook (Williams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,125 people
By 2030
35,264 · -2.4%
By 2040
33,264 · -7.9%
By 2050
31,072 · -14.0%
By 2075
26,553 · -26.5%
By 2100
21,318 · -41.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williams

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.4% · R 73.7%
2008→2024 swing
-39.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -48.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.45%
Current HPI
211.2824
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+361.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed NORIS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $90,000 NORIS
  • 2026-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $117,412 Public Records
  • 2012-11-21 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2012-05-21 Listed $79,900 NORIS
  • 2012-05-20 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2011-11-20 Listed $99,900 NORIS
  • 2007-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,391 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…