12107 Williams County C · Bryan, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
RURAL 4 BEDROOM 2.5 BATH HOME ON A NICE LARGE LOT. HOUSE IS IN NEED OF REPAIR AND SELLING AS-IS. ANY OFFER ACCEPTED WOULD BE SUBJECT TO PROBATE COURT APPROVAL. GREAT HOUSE FOR A FLIP OR REMODEL JOB. SET YOUR APPOINTMENT UP TODAY.
Key facts
- 0.46 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 2008
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Driveway; Paved parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Well water
- Home design: Single-family house; Two levels (2 stories); Not attached; no common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with shingle roof
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot; County road frontage; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen (Main level)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Bedroom 2 (Main level); Bedroom 3 (Upper level); Bedroom 4 (Upper level); Total rooms: 9
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Other
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Laundry room (Main level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($706/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($972 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.1% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in OH, #2,623 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Bryan City (town): math 60% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #266 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bryan Elementary (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B, #573 of 1,584 statewide, top 37%, 884 students, 31% FRL); Bryan Middle School/High School (math 57% / reading 66%, grade B-, #231 of 781 statewide, top 30%, 936 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.80%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-10,768
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-4,273
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43506
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $972 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,391/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $59
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $90,000 Pending 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Contingent 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Contingent 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Contingent 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Contingent 53 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Contingent 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Contingent 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Contingent 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Contingent 47 DOM
-
2026-04-14Contingent
-
2026-04-13$90,000
-
2026-03-02soldstatus $117,412
-
2012-11-21historical
-
2012-05-21$79,900
-
2012-05-20historical
-
2011-11-20$99,900
-
2007-07-31soldstatus $19,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,391 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,391 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,659
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$2,391
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$933
- − Management
- −$933
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$707
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$170
- After-tax cash flow
- $876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan City
- NCES district ID
- 3904367
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,709
- Composite
- 52.34/100
- National rank
- #1587
- State rank
- #266 of 656 in OH
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #2623
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Williams · 37,585 people
- City population
- 14,691
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,691
- Household income
- $60,705
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.6
Population outlook (Williams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,125 people
- By 2030
- 35,264 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 33,264 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 31,072 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 26,553 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 21,318 · -41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.4% · R 73.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -48.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.45%
- Current HPI
- 211.2824
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+361.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed — NORIS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $90,000 NORIS
- 2026-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $117,412 Public Records
- 2012-11-21 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2012-05-21 Listed $79,900 NORIS
- 2012-05-20 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2011-11-20 Listed $99,900 NORIS
- 2007-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,391 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…