6111 Bluestar Ct · Lakewood Ranch, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$468,000
6111 Bluestar Ct · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34211
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,120 sqft · SingleFamily
public records
· 10 Days on market
Built 2021
5,458 sqft lot
Garage
$221/sqft
· 19% below area
Est $600k · 22% under
$333/mo HOA · 9% of rent
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OWNER IS OFFERING $5,000 TOWARDS THE BUYERS CLOSING COSTS WITH AN ACCEPTABLE TERMS, SUBJECT TO CONTRACT TERMS AND LENDER APPROVAL. Welcome to paradise in this spectacular end-unit residence in the highly sought-after Sapphire Point community of Lakewood Ranch! This beautifully maintained, two-story home offers a bright, airy atmosphere and the added appeal of a desirable corner location. Enjoy peaceful water views from your private screened lanai, the perfect setting for morning coffee or evening relaxation. The open-concept layout creates a comfortable, inviting space ideal for everyday living and entertaining.
Key facts
- Dog park
- Water views
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $468k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-609 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $360k (23.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $378k (19.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $360k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.0% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: B.D. Gullett Elementary School (math 78% / reading 73%, grade A, #211 of 2,144 statewide, top 10%, 1,121 students, 20% FRL); R. Dan Nolan Middle School (math 79% / reading 72%, grade A, #38 of 571 statewide, top 7%, 760 students, 28% FRL); Lakewood Ranch High School (math 47% / reading 63%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,435 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 51% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 1687 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $332k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$360,439
(23.0% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.58%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $600,448
- List price
- $468,000
- Delta
- -22.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16306 Pine Mist Dr | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 | 2,208 (+4%) | 4mo | $650,000 | $294 | 86 |
| 16317 Pine Mist Dr | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,208 (+4%) | 7mo | $515,000 | $233 | 82 |
| 6072 Baywood Ct | 0.22mi | 4/3.0 | 2,208 (+4%) | 1mo | $500,000 | $226 | 82 |
| 16247 Hidden Oak Loop | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,048 (-3%) | 4mo | $630,000 | $308 | 66 |
| 6123 Blue Runner Ct | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 | 2,083 (-2%) | 4mo | $547,000 | $263 | 64 |
| 15692 Lemon Fish Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,081 (-2%) | 6mo | $415,000 | $199 | 64 |
| 6411 Golden Eye Gln | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,058 (-3%) | 2mo | $599,900 | $291 | 60 |
| 16816 Bwana Pl | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,061 (-3%) | 6mo | $825,000 | $400 | 60 |
| 16439 Slate Pl | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,293 (+8%) | 6mo | $632,500 | $276 | 57 |
| 15207 Searobbin Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,012 (-5%) | 6mo | $535,000 | $266 | 50 |
| 17033 Polo Trl | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,361 (+11%) | 3mo | $665,000 | $282 | 45 |
| 17045 Polo Trl | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 2,361 (+11%) | 6mo | $670,000 | $284 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-125,426
- Equity at exit
- $69,780
10-year hold
- IRR
- -52.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.53×
- Total profit
- $-200,874
- Equity at exit
- $40,464
Cash invested: $131,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Balanced market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 17 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.7 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $599,900 ($278/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 65 d
- This list price
- 24% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +1.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34211
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 1687
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $3,784 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,454
- Tax from tax record
- −$616 /mo · $7,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$195
- HOA
- −$333
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$795
- Net cashflow
- $-609
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$4,555
Max offer price
$360,439
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-344 | -5% $-476 | +0% $-609 | +5% $-741 | +10% $-874 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-908 | -5% $-758 | +0% $-609 | +5% $-459 | +10% $-310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-373 | -0.5pp $-490 | base $-609 | +0.5pp $-730 | +1.0pp $-854 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $117,000
- Closing costs
- $14,040
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6236 Baywood Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2638 | $3,500 | $1.33 | 10d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6211 Baywood Ct Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2203 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 144d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 6211 Baywood Ct Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2203 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 133d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 6052 Baywood Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $3,300 | $2.09 | 46d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 16717 Bwana Pl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2248 | $6,000 | $2.67 | 10d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5823 Silverside Pine Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2208 | $6,500 | $2.94 | 41d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5823 Silverside Pine Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2208 | $6,500 | $2.94 | 10d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6113 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2248 | $6,000 | $2.67 | 10d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6137 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2248 | $11,000 | $4.89 | 10d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5803 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2006 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 41d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5803 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2789 | $12,000 | $4.30 | 10d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5803 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2789 | $7,000 | $2.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 17021 Polo Trl Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2650 | $5,900 | $2.23 | 164d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5916 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2108 | $4,400 | $2.09 | 10d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5921 Wake Forest Run Unit 1 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $3,500 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15120 Skip Jack Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2012 | $2,742 | $1.36 | 31d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6246 Blue Runner Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 157d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 15108 Skip Jack Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2012 | $2,500 | $1.24 | 10d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5507 Arnie Loop Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2815 | $10,500 | $3.73 | 10d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15215 Searobbin Dr Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,205 | $1.56 | 55d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 15215 Searobbin Dr Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,090 | $1.48 | 38d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 15121 Searobbin Dr Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1868 | $2,850 | $1.53 | 1d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15121 Searobbin Dr Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1868 | $2,850 | $1.53 | 164d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 17006 Blue Ridge Pl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2529 | $3,495 | $1.38 | 164d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5831 Wake Forest Run #101 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $6,995 | $4.02 | 10d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5528 Arnie Loop Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2872 | $10,000 | $3.48 | 10d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 15019 Skip Jack Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2012 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 164d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 15019 Skip Jack Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2012 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 162d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 14956 Amberjack Ter #103 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,975 | $1.28 | 164d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5537 Tidal Breeze Cv Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 164d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5815 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2108 | $3,500 | $1.66 | 164d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5815 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2108 | $3,500 | $1.66 | 127d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5805 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $4,250 | $2.01 | 10d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15520 Sunny Day Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $3,100 | $2.19 | 10d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 15228 Lyla Ter Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1925 | $3,000 | $1.56 | 164d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 16020 Sunny Day Dr Unit 1 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $3,000 | $2.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5316 Crystal Harbor Cv Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 162d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15245 Lyla Ter Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1880 | $3,100 | $1.65 | 37d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 15245 Lyla Ter Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1880 | $3,100 | $1.65 | 7d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 15245 Lyla Ter Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1880 | $3,100 | $1.65 | 10d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- HOA requiredHOA fee of $333 per monthHOA includes 24-hour guard service and poolCommunity amenities include a clubhouse, dog park, fitness center, park, playground, pool, and sidewalksCats and dogs allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- DrivewayAttached two-car garageGarage door opener
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connected
- Home design
- Two storiesNorthwest-facing
- Construction
- Block constructionTile roofSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Hurricane shuttersRain guttersSidewalksSmart irrigation system
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansWalk-in closets
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerElectric dryer hookupElectric water heater
HOA detail $333/mo · $3,996/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $468,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $468,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $468,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $468,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $468,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $468,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $468,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $468,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $468,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $468,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $468,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $468,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $468,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $468,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $468,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $468,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $468,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $468,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $468,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $468,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $468,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $468,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $468,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $468,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $468,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-10-11price $468,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $470,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $470,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $470,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $470,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $470,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $470,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $470,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $470,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $470,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-10-01pricedays on market $470,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $479,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $479,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $479,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $479,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $479,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $479,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $479,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $479,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $479,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $479,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $479,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $479,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $479,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $479,900 Active 141 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,396 · $616/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,396 · $616/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,413
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,215
- − Property taxes
- −$7,396
- − Insurance
- −$2,340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,633
- − Management
- −$3,633
- − HOA
- −$3,996
- − Depreciation
- −$13,615
- Taxable loss
- −$15,415
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,700
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,607/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $10,600–$31,800 screening
This well-maintained, move-in-ready home in the Sapphire Point community of Lakewood Ranch is in good condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with potential for both resale and rental value through cosmetic updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
C
Composite school gradezoned avg 69/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
B.d. Gullett Elementary School
A
FL #211/2,144
Nat'l #2,011/41,679
Middle
R. Dan Nolan Middle School
A
FL #38/571
Nat'l #472/14,009
High
Lakewood Ranch High School
C
FL #135/667
Nat'l #4,413/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lakewood Ranch
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakewood Ranch, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 447,342 people
- City population
- 52,177
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,980
- Household income
- $119,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.84%
- Current HPI
- 265.946
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.17%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+41.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-10-29 Listed $468,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-10-26 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-30 Listed $331,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) $331,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+51.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,396 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…