6111 Bluestar Ct · Lakewood Ranch, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- DSCR +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$479,900
6111 Bluestar Ct · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34211
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,120 sqft · SingleFamily
public records
· 148 Days on market
Built 2021
5,458 sqft lot
2-car garage
$226/sqft
· 17% below area
Est $601k · 20% under
$333/mo HOA · 9% of rent
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Virtually Staged. Welcome to paradise in this spectacular end-unit residence located at 6111 Bluestar Court within the highly coveted Sapphire Point community of Lakewood Ranch! Family and Pets friendly. This stunning two-story home perfectly captures the essence of Florida living, offering a bright and airy atmosphere enhanced by its premier corner location. Step outside to your private screened lanai and enjoy peaceful views of the water to your right, providing the ultimate backdrop for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior flow is designed for both comfort and style, featuring an open-concept layout that makes entertaining a breeze.
Key facts
- Dog park
- Water views
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $480k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-887 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $323k (32.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $352k (26.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $323k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.9% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: B.D. Gullett Elementary School (math 78% / reading 73%, grade A, #211 of 2,144 statewide, top 10%, 1,121 students, 20% FRL); R. Dan Nolan Middle School (math 79% / reading 72%, grade A, #38 of 571 statewide, top 7%, 760 students, 28% FRL); Lakewood Ranch High School (math 47% / reading 63%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,435 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 51% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 1554 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 112d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($422k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $332k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$323,148
(32.7% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.92%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $600,533
- List price
- $479,900
- Delta
- -20.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16306 Pine Mist Dr | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 | 2,208 (+4%) | 3mo | $650,000 | $294 | 87 |
| 16317 Pine Mist Dr | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,208 (+4%) | 6mo | $515,000 | $233 | 84 |
| 16247 Hidden Oak Loop | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,048 (-3%) | 2mo | $630,000 | $308 | 68 |
| 6123 Blue Runner Ct | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 | 2,083 (-2%) | 3mo | $547,000 | $263 | 66 |
| 15692 Lemon Fish Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,081 (-2%) | 5mo | $415,000 | $199 | 65 |
| 6411 Golden Eye Gln | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,058 (-3%) | 1mo | $599,900 | $291 | 62 |
| 16816 Bwana Pl | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,061 (-3%) | 4mo | $825,000 | $400 | 62 |
| 15688 Lemon Fish Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,034 (-4%) | 6mo | $410,000 | $202 | 60 |
| 16439 Slate Pl | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,293 (+8%) | 5mo | $632,500 | $276 | 58 |
| 15207 Searobbin Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,012 (-5%) | 4mo | $535,000 | $266 | 52 |
| 17033 Polo Trl | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,361 (+11%) | 2mo | $665,000 | $282 | 46 |
| 17045 Polo Trl | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 2,361 (+11%) | 4mo | $670,000 | $284 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -34.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-144,319
- Equity at exit
- $71,555
10-year hold
- IRR
- -68.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.77×
- Total profit
- $-237,190
- Equity at exit
- $41,493
Cash invested: $134,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Balanced market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 15 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $677,500 ($294/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 77 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -3.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34211
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 1554
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $3,517 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,517
- Tax from tax record
- −$616 /mo · $7,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$200
- HOA
- −$333
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$739
- Net cashflow
- $-887
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$4,640
Max offer price
$323,148
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-616 | -5% $-752 | +0% $-887 | +5% $-1,023 | +10% $-1,159 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,165 | -5% $-1,026 | +0% $-887 | +5% $-748 | +10% $-609 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-646 | -0.5pp $-765 | base $-887 | +0.5pp $-1,012 | +1.0pp $-1,138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $119,975
- Closing costs
- $14,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6236 Baywood Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2638 | $3,500 | $1.33 | 0d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6211 Baywood Ct Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2203 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 99d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 6211 Baywood Ct Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2203 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 88d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 6052 Baywood Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $3,300 | $2.09 | 0d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 16717 Bwana Pl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2248 | $6,000 | $2.67 | 0d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6113 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2248 | $6,000 | $2.67 | 119d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6137 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2248 | $11,000 | $4.89 | 119d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5803 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2006 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 9d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 17021 Polo Trl Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2650 | $5,900 | $2.23 | 119d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5921 Wake Forest Run Unit 1 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $3,500 | $1.96 | 119d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15120 Skip Jack Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2012 | $2,780 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6246 Blue Runner Ct Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 111d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 15108 Skip Jack Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2012 | $2,500 | $1.24 | 9d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5507 Arnie Loop Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2815 | $10,500 | $3.73 | 119d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15215 Searobbin Dr Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,155 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 15215 Searobbin Dr Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,205 | $1.56 | 9d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 15121 Searobbin Dr Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1868 | $2,850 | $1.53 | 119d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 17006 Blue Ridge Pl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2529 | $3,495 | $1.38 | 119d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5831 Wake Forest Run #101 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $6,995 | $4.02 | 119d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5528 Arnie Loop Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2872 | $10,000 | $3.48 | 119d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 15019 Skip Jack Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2012 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 119d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 15019 Skip Jack Loop Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2012 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 117d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 14956 Amberjack Ter #103 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,975 | $1.28 | 119d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5537 Tidal Breeze Cv Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 119d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5815 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2108 | $3,500 | $1.66 | 82d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5815 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2108 | $3,500 | $1.66 | 119d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5805 Wake Forest Run #103 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $4,250 | $2.01 | 111d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15520 Sunny Day Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $3,100 | $2.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 15228 Lyla Ter Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1925 | $3,000 | $1.56 | 119d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 16020 Sunny Day Dr Unit 1 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $3,000 | $2.12 | 93d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5316 Crystal Harbor Cv Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 117d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5409 Coral Reef Way Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1849 | $3,500 | $1.89 | 9d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 15263 Sunny Day Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1879 | $2,800 | $1.49 | 74d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5319 White Sand Cv Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $2,850 | $2.01 | 119d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 15110 Lyla Ter Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1925 | $2,400 | $1.25 | 74d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 15522 Islandwalk Ave Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2016 | $5,000 | $2.48 | 9d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6026 Brandon Run Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2246 | $12,000 | $5.34 | 119d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 16921 Harvest Moon Way Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2787 | $3,800 | $1.36 | 65d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 17704 Gawthrop Dr Unit 1545826P Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1431 | $3,163 | $2.21 | 110d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 15126 Sunny Day Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1879 | $2,700 | $1.44 | 119d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- CDD applies
- Financial info
- Lease restrictions applyOther annual assessment listed
- HOA & community
- HOA required (monthly fee $333 / $999 quarterly listed)Association approval requiredAssociation amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, playground, basketball court, dog park, park, recreation facilities, maintenance, fence restrictions, and sidewalksPets allowed (cats and dogs, restrictions apply)
Exterior
- Parking
- DrivewayAttached garage with garage door opener2-car garage
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connected
- Home design
- Single family residenceResidential propertyTwo storiesNorthwest facing
- Construction
- Block, concrete and stucco constructionTile roofOther foundation
- Exterior features
- Front porchScreened porchPorchHurricane shuttersRain guttersSidewalkSliding doorsIrrigation system
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeRefrigeratorElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansWalk-in closetsShutters on windows
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerDedicated laundry room
HOA detail $333/mo · $3,996/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-22days on market $479,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $479,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $479,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $479,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $479,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $479,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $479,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $479,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $479,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $479,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $479,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $479,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $479,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $479,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $479,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $479,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $479,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $479,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $479,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $479,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $479,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $479,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $479,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $479,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $479,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $479,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $479,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $479,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $479,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $479,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $479,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $479,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $479,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $479,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $479,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $479,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $479,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $479,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $479,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $479,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $479,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $479,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-04pricedays on market $479,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $499,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $499,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $499,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $499,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $499,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $499,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $499,900 Active 86 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,396 · $616/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,396 · $616/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,207
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,882
- − Property taxes
- −$7,396
- − Insurance
- −$2,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,377
- − Management
- −$3,377
- − HOA
- −$3,996
- − Depreciation
- −$13,961
- Taxable loss
- −$19,181
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,603
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,045/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $10,600–$31,800 screening
This well-maintained, move-in-ready home in the Sapphire Point community of Lakewood Ranch is in good condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with potential for both resale and rental value through cosmetic updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
C
Composite school gradezoned avg 69/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
B.d. Gullett Elementary School
A
FL #211/2,144
Nat'l #2,011/41,679
Middle
R. Dan Nolan Middle School
A
FL #38/571
Nat'l #472/14,009
High
Lakewood Ranch High School
C
FL #135/667
Nat'l #4,413/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lakewood Ranch
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakewood Ranch, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 447,342 people
- City population
- 52,177
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,980
- Household income
- $119,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.84%
- Current HPI
- 265.946
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.17%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+59.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $529,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $539,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-30 Listed $331,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) $331,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+51.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,396 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…