5079 Connecticut St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enter 2026 in style--this beautifully renovated 2-bed, 1-bath charmer delivers luxe finishes at a budget-friendly price. Move-in ready and holiday-perfect--make your offer before the year-end rush. Charming Renovated Home in Prime Location Welcome to 5079 Connecticut St, an exceptional two-bedroom, one-bath home perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. Step inside to discover stunning quartz countertops, sleek white cabinets, and luxury finishes throughout. Enjoy cozy evenings by the custom 3-D wood feature fireplace in the living room or relax in the beautifully designed bedrooms, each featuring unique accent walls. The home boasts a mix of hardwood, carpet, ceramic tile, and vinyl flooring for a stylish yet practical living space. You'll appreciate the modern stainless steel appliance package and a brand-new air conditioning unit, ensuring comfort year-round. The spacious backyard is perfect for gatherings, while the charming front porch and landscaped entrance provide great curb appeal. The full basement awaits your personal touch, ideal for a recreation room, office, or potential third bedroom.
Key facts
- 5,053 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
- Listed 649 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 650 days — a 12% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 650 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.76%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $42,065
- List price
- $127,000
- Delta
- 201.92%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5055 Adams St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (+3%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $75 | 73 |
| 5177 Connecticut St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 693 (-11%) | 10mo | $29,900 | $43 | 63 |
| 4967 Carolina St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (+3%) | 14mo | $87,000 | $109 | 63 |
| 4947 Madison St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 867 (+11%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $150 | 61 |
| 4646 Pennsylvania St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 734 (-6%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $41 | 56 |
| 1138 E 49th Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (+5%) | 12mo | $25,000 | $31 | 47 |
| 1146 E 49th Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (+5%) | 14mo | $44,000 | $54 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,392
- Equity at exit
- $18,936
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $39,571
- Equity at exit
- $10,981
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46409
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,416 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $968/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $319
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5001 Carolina St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,350 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,525 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4748 Monroe St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1240 W 52nd Dr Merrillville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,349 | $1.41 | 1d | 9 | 0.94mi |
| 5850 Pennsylvania St Merrillville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,195 | $1.45 | 1d | 4 | 0.98mi |
| 624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,250 | $1.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5719 Van Buren St Merrillville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1718 W 55th Ave Merrillville, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 851 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1718 W 55th Ave Merrillville, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 851 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,000 Active 650 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,000 Active 649 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,000 Active 648 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,000 Active 647 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,000 Active 645 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,000 Active 644 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $127,000 Active 641 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $127,000 Active 640 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $127,000 Active 639 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $127,000 Active 636 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $127,000 Active 635 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $127,000 Active 634 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $127,000 Active 633 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $127,000 Active 632 DOM
-
2024-09-03$127,000 Active 1138-char remark
Show marketing remark (1138 chars)
Enter 2026 in style--this beautifully renovated 2-bed, 1-bath charmer delivers luxe finishes at a budget-friendly price. Move-in ready and holiday-perfect--make your offer before the year-end rush. Charming Renovated Home in Prime Location Welcome to 5079 Connecticut St, an exceptional two-bedroom, one-bath home perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. Step inside to discover stunning quartz countertops, sleek white cabinets, and luxury finishes throughout. Enjoy cozy evenings by the custom 3-D wood feature fireplace in the living room or relax in the beautifully designed bedrooms, each featuring unique accent walls. The home boasts a mix of hardwood, carpet, ceramic tile, and vinyl flooring for a stylish yet practical living space. You'll appreciate the modern stainless steel appliance package and a brand-new air conditioning unit, ensuring comfort year-round. The spacious backyard is perfect for gatherings, while the charming front porch and landscaped entrance provide great curb appeal. The full basement awaits your personal touch, ideal for a recreation room, office, or potential third bedroom.
-
2012-05-18historical
-
2011-07-06$9,999
-
2011-07-01historical
-
2011-04-27$9,999
-
2010-05-01historical
-
2010-04-14$9,999
-
2010-02-01historical
-
2009-11-02historical
-
2009-11-02$9,999
-
2009-05-29$9,999
-
2009-04-01historical
-
2009-01-23$12,000
-
2008-12-13historical
-
2008-05-14$12,000
-
2003-11-20historical
-
2002-05-28$15,900
-
2002-01-17$21,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $968 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,024 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$56/yr (+$5/mo · 5.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$968
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,359
- − Management
- −$1,359
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable income
- $1,860
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$447
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,381/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,184
- Household income
- $44,667
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 516.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.91%
- Current HPI
- 190.6724
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.85%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+479.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2024-09-03 Listed $127,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-18 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-06 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-27 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-14 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-02 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-02 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-29 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-23 Listed $12,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-12-13 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-14 Listed $12,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-11-20 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-05-28 Listed $15,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-01-17 Listed $21,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.5%/yrLatest (2024): $968 · +43.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…