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5079 Connecticut St
C+ Composite 61.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$127,000

5079 Connecticut St · Gary, IN 46409
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 650 Days on market
Built 1949 5,053 sqft lot $163/sqft · 202% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enter 2026 in style--this beautifully renovated 2-bed, 1-bath charmer delivers luxe finishes at a budget-friendly price. Move-in ready and holiday-perfect--make your offer before the year-end rush. Charming Renovated Home in Prime Location Welcome to 5079 Connecticut St, an exceptional two-bedroom, one-bath home perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. Step inside to discover stunning quartz countertops, sleek white cabinets, and luxury finishes throughout. Enjoy cozy evenings by the custom 3-D wood feature fireplace in the living room or relax in the beautifully designed bedrooms, each featuring unique accent walls. The home boasts a mix of hardwood, carpet, ceramic tile, and vinyl flooring for a stylish yet practical living space. You'll appreciate the modern stainless steel appliance package and a brand-new air conditioning unit, ensuring comfort year-round. The spacious backyard is perfect for gatherings, while the charming front porch and landscaped entrance provide great curb appeal. The full basement awaits your personal touch, ideal for a recreation room, office, or potential third bedroom.

Key facts

  • 5,053 sq ft lot
  • Built 1949
  • Listed 649 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 650 days — a 12% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $111,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 650 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.31%
Cash-on-cash
10.76%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,065
List price
$127,000
Delta
201.92%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5055 Adams St 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+3%) 7mo $60,000 $75 73
5177 Connecticut St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 693 (-11%) 10mo $29,900 $43 63
4967 Carolina St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+3%) 14mo $87,000 $109 63
4947 Madison St 0.42mi 3/1.0 867 (+11%) 1mo $130,000 $150 61
4646 Pennsylvania St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 734 (-6%) 4mo $30,000 $41 56
1138 E 49th Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (+5%) 12mo $25,000 $31 47
1146 E 49th Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (+5%) 14mo $44,000 $54 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,392
Equity at exit
$18,936
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$39,571
Equity at exit
$10,981

Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46409

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,416 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$666
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $968/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,012
Max offer price $127,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,750
Closing costs
$3,810
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5001 Carolina St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,350 $1.54 2d 1 0.31mi
4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,350 $1.32 15d 1 0.36mi
4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 24d 1 0.57mi
4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 19d 1 0.59mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 1d 1 0.65mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 0.80mi
1240 W 52nd Dr Merrillville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 957 $1,349 $1.41 1d 9 0.94mi
5850 Pennsylvania St Merrillville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 826 $1,195 $1.45 1d 4 0.98mi
624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 836 $1,250 $1.50 7d 1 1.01mi
5719 Van Buren St Merrillville, IN 3.0 2.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 22d 1 1.03mi
1718 W 55th Ave Merrillville, IN 2.0 2.0 851 $1,200 $1.41 43d 1 1.34mi
1718 W 55th Ave Merrillville, IN 2.0 2.0 851 $1,200 $1.41 1d 1 1.34mi
4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 1d 1 1.36mi
4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 19d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $127,000 Active 650 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $127,000 Active 649 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $127,000 Active 648 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,000 Active 647 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,000 Active 645 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,000 Active 644 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $127,000 Active 641 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,000 Active 640 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,000 Active 639 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $127,000 Active 636 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,000 Active 635 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $127,000 Active 634 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,000 Active 633 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $127,000 Active 632 DOM
  15. 2024-09-03
    listed $127,000 Active 1138-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1138 chars)

    Enter 2026 in style--this beautifully renovated 2-bed, 1-bath charmer delivers luxe finishes at a budget-friendly price. Move-in ready and holiday-perfect--make your offer before the year-end rush. Charming Renovated Home in Prime Location Welcome to 5079 Connecticut St, an exceptional two-bedroom, one-bath home perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or savvy investors. Step inside to discover stunning quartz countertops, sleek white cabinets, and luxury finishes throughout. Enjoy cozy evenings by the custom 3-D wood feature fireplace in the living room or relax in the beautifully designed bedrooms, each featuring unique accent walls. The home boasts a mix of hardwood, carpet, ceramic tile, and vinyl flooring for a stylish yet practical living space. You'll appreciate the modern stainless steel appliance package and a brand-new air conditioning unit, ensuring comfort year-round. The spacious backyard is perfect for gatherings, while the charming front porch and landscaped entrance provide great curb appeal. The full basement awaits your personal touch, ideal for a recreation room, office, or potential third bedroom.

  16. 2012-05-18
    historical
  17. 2011-07-06
    listed $9,999
  18. 2011-07-01
    historical
  19. 2011-04-27
    listed $9,999
  20. 2010-05-01
    historical
  21. 2010-04-14
    listed $9,999
  22. 2010-02-01
    historical
  23. 2009-11-02
    historical
  24. 2009-11-02
    listed $9,999
  25. 2009-05-29
    listed $9,999
  26. 2009-04-01
    historical
  27. 2009-01-23
    listed $12,000
  28. 2008-12-13
    historical
  29. 2008-05-14
    listed $12,000
  30. 2003-11-20
    historical
  31. 2002-05-28
    listed $15,900
  32. 2002-01-17
    listed $21,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$968 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,024 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$56/yr (+$5/mo · 5.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,991
− Mortgage interest
−$7,114
− Property taxes
−$968
− Insurance
−$635
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,359
− Management
−$1,359
− Depreciation
−$3,695
Taxable income
$1,860
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$447
After-tax cash flow
$3,381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
7,184
Household income
$44,667
Rent vs Own
55.5% rent · 44.5% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.91%
Current HPI
190.6724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.85%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+479.9% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2024-09-03 Listed $127,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-05-18 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-07-06 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-07-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-04-27 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-05-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-04-14 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-02 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-02 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-05-29 Listed $9,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-01-23 Listed $12,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-12-13 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-05-14 Listed $12,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-11-20 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-05-28 Listed $15,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-01-17 Listed $21,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-6.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $968 · +43.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…