256 Cedardale Ave · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready home featuring 3 bedrooms, with an oversized primary suite on the main floor and 2 additional bedrooms upstairs. This home offers a separate dining room and living room, perfect for entertaining. The large, unfinished basement provides excellent potential to be finished for additional living space. Located on a quiet street with a private backyard, this home is an ideal choice for first-time buyers. Key Features: 3 Bedrooms (Oversized Primary Suite on Main, 2 Bedrooms Upstairs). Separate Dining Room and Living Room. Large Unfinished Basement with Potential for Additional Space. Private Backyard. Quiet Street Location. Perfect for First-Time Home Buyers.
Key facts
- Separate dining room
- Private backyard
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 23 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 567% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.36%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,580
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 Cedardale Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,348 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $74 | 99 |
| 438 Franklin Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,444 (+7%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $111 | 69 |
| 582 Nevada Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,346 (-0%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $100 | 68 |
| 200 Prospect St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (+0%) | 9mo | $63,000 | $47 | 62 |
| 442 Howland Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,159 (-14%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $116 | 55 |
| 205 Hughes Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,426 (+6%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $70 | 52 |
| 354 Ferry Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,222 (-9%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $115 | 51 |
| 353 South Blvd W | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,303 (-3%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $69 | 50 |
| 497 Montana Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,195 (-11%) | 4mo | $102,000 | $85 | 50 |
| 551 Nebraska Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,247 (-8%) | 11mo | $66,000 | $53 | 48 |
| 159 Alice Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,526 (+13%) | 8mo | $305,000 | $200 | 42 |
| 455 Irwin Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (-14%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $60 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $18,722
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $63,353
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48341
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,631 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $574
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $636 | -5% $605 | +0% $574 | +5% $543 | +10% $512 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $445 | -5% $509 | +0% $574 | +5% $638 | +10% $703 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $629 | -0.5pp $602 | base $574 | +0.5pp $545 | +1.0pp $516 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 471 Montana Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,599 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 124 Alice Ave Bloomfield Township, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 442 Central Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 442 Central Ave Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 594 Colorado Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,075 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 249 W Wilson Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,540 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 611 Montana Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 489 Central Ave Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,195 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2083 S Telegraph Rd Bloomfield Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $2,318 | $2.47 | 0d | 23 | 0.96mi |
| 128 S Edith St Pontiac, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1974 Klingensmith Rd #4 Bloomfield Hills, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $1,995 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 90 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd S Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 42522 Woodward Ave Bloomfield Twp, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,300 | $2.54 | 0d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-05-15historical
-
2026-05-15historical
-
2026-04-12$16,500 Active
-
2026-04-06$16,500 Active
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-03-20$110,000 Active
-
2026-03-20$110,000 Active
-
2025-09-25historical
-
2025-05-21$20,000 Active
-
2025-05-21$20,000 Active
-
2025-05-20historical
-
2025-05-04status Active
-
2025-05-04status Active
-
2025-04-22historical
-
2025-04-22status Active
-
2025-03-27historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2025-03-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-03-17status Pending
-
2025-03-17status Pending
-
2025-03-17historical
-
2025-03-12status Active
-
2025-03-12status Active
-
2025-01-19price $100,000
-
2025-01-18historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2025-01-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-01-18price $100,000
-
2024-11-05$110,000 Active
-
2024-11-05$110,000 Active
-
2024-10-16$20,000 Active
-
2024-10-16$20,000 Active
-
2024-10-15historical
-
2024-10-15historical
-
2024-01-22historical
-
2024-01-18status Pending
-
2024-01-04historical
-
2023-12-31status Pending
-
2023-12-31status Pending
-
2023-12-26$11,000 Active
-
2023-12-26$11,000
-
2023-12-20historical
-
2023-12-20historical
-
2023-12-06$11,000 Active
-
2023-11-29$11,000 Active
-
2016-10-07historical
-
2016-10-07historical
-
2016-10-06historical
-
2016-08-10price $45,300
-
2016-08-10price $45,300
-
2016-07-15price $49,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,100 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,397 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$297/yr (+$25/mo · 27.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,100
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,565
- − Management
- −$1,565
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $5,425
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,302
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,584/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,924
- Household income
- $51,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 833.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.11%
- Current HPI
- 257.8941
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-73.6% since first listed60 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $16,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Listed $16,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-21 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-21 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-04 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-22 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-27 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-27 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-12 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-12 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-01-19 Price Changed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-18 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-18 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2025-01-18 Price Changed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-05 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-05 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-16 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-16 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-15 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-15 Coming Soon — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-12-31 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-31 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-12-26 Listed $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-26 Listed $11,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-12-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-12-06 Listed $11,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-11-29 Listed $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-10-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-10-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-10 Price Changed $45,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-10 Price Changed $45,300 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-15 Price Changed $49,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-14 Price Changed $49,800 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-10 Price Changed $51,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-09 Price Changed $51,200 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-01 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-14 Price Changed $59,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-14 Price Changed $59,200 REALCOMP
- 2016-06-06 Listed $62,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-06 Listed $62,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-06 Listed $62,400 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,100 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…