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410 E 9th St
A- Composite 81.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$63,000

410 E 9th St · Ashland, OH 44805
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 852 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1901 $74/sqft · 48% below area Est $120k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1901
  • Listed 41 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($969 rent vs $63k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,110 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.85%
Cash-on-cash
23.43%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,358
List price
$63,000
Delta
-47.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
601 E 8th St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 848 (-0%) 5mo $133,700 $158 78
539 E 5th St 0.32mi 2/1.0 816 (-4%) 2mo $150,000 $184 77
302 E 8th St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+10%) 2mo $145,000 $155 70
537 E 5th St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+1%) 11mo $125,000 $145 69
512 Ray Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 825 (-3%) 18mo $58,000 $70 57
148 Lincoln Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 848 (-0%) 14mo $149,900 $177 57
39 Belle Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 824 (-3%) 16mo $150,000 $182 57
137 Ronald Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 768 (-10%) 11mo $173,000 $225 45
1325 Cottage St 0.73mi 2/1.0 878 (+3%) 24mo $130,000 $148 41
94 Delafield Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 736 (-14%) 8mo $139,175 $189 41
181 Lincoln Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 960 (+13%) 12mo $157,000 $164 40
1520 Orange Rd #112 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 924 (+8%) 20mo $7,700 $8 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$15,869
Equity at exit
$9,394
10-year hold
IRR
31.7%
Equity multiple
4.43×
Total profit
$60,533
Equity at exit
$5,447

Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44805

Rents YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$969 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$330
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $776/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $533
Max offer price $63,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,750
Closing costs
$1,890
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
917 Birch St Ashland, OH 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,175 $1.05 43d 1 0.16mi
222 E Walnut St Unit 212 Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0 970 $900 $0.93 43d 1 0.61mi
318 Quarry St Unit 4 Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 43d 1 0.88mi
521 W 10th St Unit 521 Ashland, OH 1.0 1.0 568 $600 $1.06 43d 1 0.89mi
6 Cardinal Ct Unit BL008 Ashland, OH 1.0 1.0 576 $820 $1.42 43d 1 1.00mi
6 Cardinal Ct Unit BL42 Ashland, OH 1.0 1.0 576 $755 $1.31 43d 1 1.00mi
332 Sloan Ave Ashland, OH 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,300 $1.16 43d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    price $63,000 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.

  2. 2026-05-18
    price $63,000 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.

  3. 2026-04-10
    listed $83,000 Active 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.

  4. 2026-04-10
    listed $83,000 Active 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.

  5. 2015-07-29
    soldstatus $55,000
  6. 2012-02-01
    soldstatus $59,000
  7. 1983-09-12
    soldstatus $9,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$776 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$879 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$104/yr (+$9/mo · 13.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,631
− Mortgage interest
−$3,529
− Property taxes
−$776
− Insurance
−$315
− Repairs & maintenance
−$931
− Management
−$931
− Depreciation
−$1,833
Taxable income
$3,318
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$796
After-tax cash flow
$3,337/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ashland City
NCES district ID
3904350
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,164
Composite
58.31/100
National rank
#1015
State rank
#165 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ashland

Score
72/100
State rank
#373
US rank
#6095

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, OH
County
Ashland County · 30,805 people
City population
30,805
Metro
Ashland, OH
Population (ZIP)
30,805
Household income
$68,299
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
706.0

Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,732 people
By 2030
51,728 · -1.9%
By 2040
48,956 · -7.2%
By 2050
46,070 · -12.6%
By 2075
38,945 · -26.1%
By 2100
30,883 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashland

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -196.79%
Current HPI
201.96
Rent YoY
▲ 7.07%
Metro
Ashland, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+563.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $63,000 MARMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $63,000 ABOR
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $83,000 ABOR
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $83,000 MARMLS
  • 2015-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2012-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 1983-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $776 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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