410 E 9th St · Ashland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1901
- Listed 41 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($969 rent vs $63k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.43%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,358
- List price
- $63,000
- Delta
- -47.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 E 8th St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 848 (-0%) | 5mo | $133,700 | $158 | 78 |
| 539 E 5th St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-4%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $184 | 77 |
| 302 E 8th St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+10%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $155 | 70 |
| 537 E 5th St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+1%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $145 | 69 |
| 512 Ray Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 825 (-3%) | 18mo | $58,000 | $70 | 57 |
| 148 Lincoln Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (-0%) | 14mo | $149,900 | $177 | 57 |
| 39 Belle Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (-3%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $182 | 57 |
| 137 Ronald Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-10%) | 11mo | $173,000 | $225 | 45 |
| 1325 Cottage St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 878 (+3%) | 24mo | $130,000 | $148 | 41 |
| 94 Delafield Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (-14%) | 8mo | $139,175 | $189 | 41 |
| 181 Lincoln Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+13%) | 12mo | $157,000 | $164 | 40 |
| 1520 Orange Rd #112 | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 924 (+8%) | 20mo | $7,700 | $8 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $15,869
- Equity at exit
- $9,394
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $60,533
- Equity at exit
- $5,447
Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44805
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $969 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $776/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,750
- Closing costs
- $1,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 Birch St Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 222 E Walnut St Unit 212 Ashland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $900 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 318 Quarry St Unit 4 Ashland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 521 W 10th St Unit 521 Ashland, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $600 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6 Cardinal Ct Unit BL008 Ashland, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $820 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6 Cardinal Ct Unit BL42 Ashland, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $755 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 332 Sloan Ave Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-18price $63,000 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.
-
2026-05-18price $63,000 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.
-
2026-04-10$83,000 Active 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.
-
2026-04-10$83,000 Active 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Hud Case# 412-755048 This 2-bedroom, 852-square-foot home features one bedroom on the main level, a second bedroom upstairs, and an open flex space. The layout includes a functional kitchen area with solid cabinetry, a full bath, and a full basement for additional storage or potential use. Situated on a 0.17-acre lot, the property offers a partially fenced backyard and a 2-car detached garage. Shared driveway access. Built in 1901, this home provides a solid foundation for those looking to update and add value. Buyers ready to put in work and make it their own.
-
2015-07-29soldstatus $55,000
-
2012-02-01soldstatus $59,000
-
1983-09-12soldstatus $9,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $776 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $879 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$104/yr (+$9/mo · 13.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,529
- − Property taxes
- −$776
- − Insurance
- −$315
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$931
- − Management
- −$931
- − Depreciation
- −$1,833
- Taxable income
- $3,318
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$796
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,337/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland City
- NCES district ID
- 3904350
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,164
- Composite
- 58.31/100
- National rank
- #1015
- State rank
- #165 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #6095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, OH
- County
- Ashland County · 30,805 people
- City population
- 30,805
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,805
- Household income
- $68,299
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,732 people
- By 2030
- 51,728 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 48,956 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 46,070 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 38,945 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 30,883 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.79%
- Current HPI
- 201.96
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.07%
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+563.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $63,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $63,000 ABOR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $83,000 ABOR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $83,000 MARMLS
- 2015-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1983-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $776 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…