28930 Birchwood St · Inkster, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1.5 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Ground-level entry; Brick exterior
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Paved road access; Lot approximately 50 x 132 (0.15 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living space)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Dishwasher; Disposal; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#406 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Wayne-Westland Community School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #474 of 540 in MI (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,509/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 1558% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.16%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,112
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28930 Birchwood St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $149 | 100 |
| 28999 Beechnut St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $179 | 87 |
| 28521 Oakwood St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+2%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $141 | 83 |
| 29522 Grandview St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (-4%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $134 | 78 |
| 29707 Birchwood St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-1%) | 1mo | $96,000 | $96 | 78 |
| 29497 Oakwood St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,025 (+2%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $107 | 74 |
| 28005 Avondale St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (-5%) | 2mo | $107,500 | $112 | 68 |
| 29455 Rosslyn Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (+0%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $178 | 66 |
| 29982 Hazelwood St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+4%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $128 | 63 |
| 29537 Hazelwood St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+9%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $73 | 63 |
| 431 Lytle Pl | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 967 (-4%) | 1mo | $153,600 | $159 | 63 |
| 1936 Meadow Ln | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 974 (-3%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $139 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-10,669
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $8,017
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48141
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,509 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $300 | -5% $258 | +0% $216 | +5% $173 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $96 | -5% $156 | +0% $216 | +5% $275 | +10% $335 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $254 | base $216 | +0.5pp $177 | +1.0pp $137 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29203 Oakwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 0d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1150 Magnolia Dr Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 29800 Oakwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1189 Woodland Dr Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,400 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 30043 Grandview St Unit 1 Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1004 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 30010 Hazelwood St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 536 N Leona Ave Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,440 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 641 Gilman St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 30520 Hiveley St Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 130 E Tami Cir Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,209 | $1.51 | 44d | 3 | 0.85mi |
| 29971 Brooklane St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 27184 Lucerne Dr Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 238 Yorkshire Blvd Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,424 | $1.92 | 0d | 15 | 1.03mi |
| 31217 Cherry Hill Rd Westland, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1713 Gilman St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,600 | $1.86 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3236 Walnut St Inkster, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 31820 Bay Ct Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,125 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 26322 Westphal St Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,455 | $1.91 | 0d | 25 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.
-
2026-05-02status Pending
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.
-
2026-03-22$150,000 Active 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.
-
2026-03-22$150,000 Active
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.
-
2026-03-22historical $150,000 815-char remark
Show marketing remark (815 chars)
Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.
-
2026-03-20historical
-
2026-03-20historical
-
2025-09-19$150,000 Active
-
2025-09-19$150,000 Active
-
2022-08-08price $1,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,921 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$389/yr (+$32/mo · 25.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,112
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,532
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,449
- − Management
- −$1,449
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$40
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,547/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne-Westland Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2600015
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,524
- Composite
- 16.4/100
- National rank
- #9195
- State rank
- #474 of 540 in MI
Livability — Inkster
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #406
- US rank
- #11087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Inkster, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 25,428
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,428
- Household income
- $39,252
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1558.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Arabic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.74%
- Current HPI
- 390.2139
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+11438.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-22 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-22 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-22 Coming Soon $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-19 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-08 Price Changed $1,300 RENT.
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,532 · -37.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…