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28930 Birchwood St
D+ Composite 48.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

28930 Birchwood St · Inkster, MI 48141
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1953 6,534 sqft lot Est $140k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1953

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1.5 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Ground-level entry; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Paved road access; Lot approximately 50 x 132 (0.15 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living space)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Dishwasher; Disposal; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#406 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Wayne-Westland Community School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #474 of 540 in MI (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,509/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 1558% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.16%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,112
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28930 Birchwood St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 0mo $150,000 $149 100
28999 Beechnut St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 0mo $180,000 $179 87
28521 Oakwood St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,025 (+2%) 0mo $145,000 $141 83
29522 Grandview St 0.33mi 3/1.0 972 (-4%) 1mo $130,000 $134 78
29707 Birchwood St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-1%) 1mo $96,000 $96 78
29497 Oakwood St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,025 (+2%) 1mo $110,000 $107 74
28005 Avondale St 0.49mi 3/1.0 962 (-5%) 2mo $107,500 $112 68
29455 Rosslyn Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,010 (+0%) 0mo $180,000 $178 66
29982 Hazelwood St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,053 (+4%) 1mo $135,000 $128 63
29537 Hazelwood St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+9%) 0mo $80,000 $73 63
431 Lytle Pl 0.64mi 3/1.0 967 (-4%) 1mo $153,600 $159 63
1936 Meadow Ln 0.74mi 3/1.0 974 (-3%) 1mo $135,000 $139 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-10,669
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$8,017
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48141

Home prices YoY
-2.9%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,509 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,236
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $300 -5% $258 +0% $216 +5% $173 +10% $131
Rent -10% $96 -5% $156 +0% $216 +5% $275 +10% $335
Rate -1.0pp $291 -0.5pp $254 base $216 +0.5pp $177 +1.0pp $137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
29203 Oakwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.5 912 $1,600 $1.75 0d 1 0.26mi
1150 Magnolia Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 25d 1 0.41mi
29800 Oakwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,400 $1.35 13d 1 0.44mi
1189 Woodland Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 994 $1,400 $1.41 0d 1 0.50mi
30043 Grandview St Unit 1 Inkster, MI 3.0 1.5 1004 $1,275 $1.27 44d 1 0.57mi
30010 Hazelwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 44d 1 0.60mi
536 N Leona Ave Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,440 $1.44 13d 1 0.76mi
641 Gilman St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,600 $2.00 17d 1 0.76mi
30520 Hiveley St Westland, MI 3.0 1.0 1105 $1,700 $1.54 23d 1 0.80mi
130 E Tami Cir Westland, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $1,209 $1.51 44d 3 0.85mi
29971 Brooklane St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,450 $1.49 44d 1 0.90mi
27184 Lucerne Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.91mi
238 Yorkshire Blvd Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 741 $1,424 $1.92 0d 15 1.03mi
31217 Cherry Hill Rd Westland, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 5d 1 1.15mi
1713 Gilman St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 860 $1,600 $1.86 0d 1 1.20mi
3236 Walnut St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1096 $1,495 $1.36 0d 1 1.38mi
31820 Bay Ct Westland, MI 2.0 1.0 834 $1,125 $1.35 17d 1 1.43mi
26322 Westphal St Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $1,455 $1.91 0d 25 1.49mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 815-char remark
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.

  2. 2026-05-02
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.

  3. 2026-03-22
    listed $150,000 Active 815-char remark
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.

  4. 2026-03-22
    listed $150,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.

  5. 2026-03-22
    historical $150,000 815-char remark
    Show marketing remark (815 chars)

    Come see this beautiful brick ranch located in a well-kept, friendly neighborhood in Inkster. This is a great location. This Ranch has three spacious bedrooms and a large living room, spacious bathroom, nicely laid out kitchen area, huge basement and a large back yard. There is fresh paint throughout the home, and the carpet was just replaced for the new owners to enjoy. The kitchen has a great layout with a fantastic view of the back yard. This home has a large unfinished basement with fresh paint and tons of room for storage. The home sits on a beautiful lot with mature trees and great shade for those fun back yard barbecues. The back yard is fenced in and has a 1.5 car garage. This back yard has so much potential and so much room. Schedule your appointment today you don't want to miss out on this one.

  6. 2026-03-20
    historical
  7. 2026-03-20
    historical
  8. 2025-09-19
    listed $150,000 Active
  9. 2025-09-19
    listed $150,000 Active
  10. 2022-08-08
    price $1,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,921 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$389/yr (+$32/mo · 25.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,112
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,532
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,449
− Management
−$1,449
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$165
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$40
After-tax cash flow
$2,547/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne-Westland Community School District
NCES district ID
2600015
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,524
Composite
16.4/100
National rank
#9195
State rank
#474 of 540 in MI

Livability — Inkster

Score
67/100
State rank
#406
US rank
#11087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Inkster, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
25,428
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,428
Household income
$39,252
Rent vs Own
53.2% rent · 46.8% own
Severe rent burden
1558.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Arabic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.74%
Current HPI
390.2139
Rent YoY
▲ 2.95%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11438.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-22 Coming Soon $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-08 Price Changed $1,300 RENT.

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,532 · -37.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…