CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2264 Daybreak Dr
D- Composite 38.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0

$299,999

2264 Daybreak Dr · Aurora, IL 60503
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,396 sqft · Townhouse public records · 18 Days on market
Built 2000 Est $295k · at est. $360/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

See attachment for PAS requirements and WFHM offer submittal information in MLS document section. Fresh Paint, New Carpeting / Flooring, Balcony, 2 car attached garage, 1 minute walk to 7-11, CVS, Dentist, Cleaners & Bank!! 2 Minutes to Dunkin Donuts!! School District 308. Sold AS IS Seller Never Occupied No Disclosures. Final Sale subject to corporate approval. Taxes will be pro rate at 100% of most recent tax bill.

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Recreation room
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENPRIVATE DECKOVERSIZED FAMILY ROOMUPDATED FLOORINGHOME OFFICERECREATION ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a 4-unit building; Living area per assessor; School bus service available; Subdivision: Ogden Pointe at the Wheatlands
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $214; Association fee covers exterior maintenance, lawn care and snow removal; Manager off-site; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; number limit; max pet weight listed)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (total 2 parking spaces, 2 garage spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Attached single-family condo; Townhouse — 2 story; Entry level is 1
  • Construction: 26–30 years old; Aluminum and vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Common grounds; Balcony

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level with vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master and two additional bedrooms on second level)
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms, living room, dining room and family room; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and laundry
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished, daylight basement; 7 total rooms; Balcony
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (9 x 5) with vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-559 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (32.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $201k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: The Wheatlands Elementary School (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 2,056 statewide, top 16%, 550 students, 0% FRL); Bednarcik Junior High School (math 39% / reading 38%, grade F, #154 of 665 statewide, top 24%, 571 students, 0% FRL); Oswego East High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #104 of 693 statewide, top 15%, 2,836 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $300k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $201,225 (32.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
4.06%
Cash-on-cash
-7.99%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$294,556
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2310 Twilight Dr 0.10mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,396 (0%) 4mo $298,000 $213 87
2406 Sunshine Ln 0.20mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,406 (+1%) 2mo $315,000 $224 83
2233 Hillsboro Ct 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,482 (+6%) 1mo $340,000 $229 71
2598 Hillsboro Blvd 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,482 (+6%) 2mo $313,000 $211 71
2578 Hillsboro Blvd Unit - 0.33mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,482 (+6%) 1mo $299,500 $202 68
2255 Georgetown Cir 0.37mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,532 (+10%) 0mo $275,000 $180 57
2413 Sunrise Cir #2413 0.26mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,599 (+14%) 2mo $315,000 $197 57
1850 Wisteria Dr 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,448 (+4%) 1mo $269,500 $186 52
1889 Stoneheather Ave 0.71mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,448 (+4%) 4mo $285,000 $197 52
1959 Misty Ridge Ct #1959 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+13%) 3mo $310,000 $197 42
1893 Indian Hill Ln #0 0.66mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,196 (-14%) 2mo $267,000 $223 35
1851 Indian Hill Ln 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,196 (-14%) 2mo $260,000 $217 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$128,172
Equity at exit
$270,263
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
5.84×
Total profit
$406,236
Equity at exit
$582,832

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60503

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,650 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$594 /mo · $7,130/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$360
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$556
Net cashflow
$-559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,357
Max offer price $201,225
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-389 -5% $-474 +0% $-559 +5% $-644 +10% $-729
Rent -10% $-768 -5% $-664 +0% $-559 +5% $-454 +10% $-350
Rate -1.0pp $-408 -0.5pp $-483 base $-559 +0.5pp $-637 +1.0pp $-716

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2226 Daybreak Dr #2226 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1627 $2,500 $1.54 45d 1 0.07mi
2205 Daybreak Dr #2205 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 6d 1 0.08mi
2460 Georgetown Cir Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1532 $2,400 $1.57 3d 1 0.23mi
2516 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1482 $2,300 $1.55 19d 1 0.24mi
2531 Congress Ave #2531 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1532 $2,500 $1.63 45d 1 0.29mi
2550 Providence Ave Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1550 $2,300 $1.48 45d 1 0.32mi
2575 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,500 $1.63 45d 1 0.34mi
2598 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1482 $2,395 $1.62 22d 1 0.37mi
2270 Georgetown Cir Unit 2270 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1533 $2,800 $1.83 45d 1 0.38mi
1801 Turtle Creek Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1794 $3,300 $1.84 19d 1 0.74mi
2048 Canyon Creek Ct Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 1794 $3,400 $1.90 23d 1 0.79mi
2337 Summerlin Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 45d 1 0.82mi
2333 Summerlin Dr #2333 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1572 $2,500 $1.59 45d 1 0.82mi
1636 Fredericksburg Ln Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1168 $2,250 $1.93 45d 1 0.89mi
690 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 3d 1 0.93mi
669 Lincoln Station Dr #669 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1315 $2,250 $1.71 22d 1 0.94mi
2552 Dickens Dr Unit 2552 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,150 $1.92 45d 1 0.99mi
2554 Dickens Dr Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1116 $2,050 $1.84 26d 1 0.99mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 5d 1 1.00mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 19d 1 1.00mi
2565 Dickens Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1116 $2,300 $2.06 45d 1 1.00mi
1914 Spinnaker Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $3,000 $2.12 45d 1 1.01mi
640 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 45d 1 1.01mi
644 Lincoln Station Dr #644 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 45d 1 1.01mi
616 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 26d 1 1.02mi
2454 Frost Dr Unit 2454 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1230 $2,300 $1.87 45d 1 1.02mi
3153 Teal Bay Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,400 $1.50 8d 1 1.05mi
1419 Farrington Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1476 $2,959 $2.00 4d 1 1.06mi
1860 Middlebury Dr Unit 1860 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1471 $2,450 $1.67 20d 1 1.08mi
2873 Carlsbad Cir Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1626 $2,990 $1.84 45d 1 1.09mi
3192 Teal Bay Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,500 $1.56 45d 1 1.10mi
337 Devoe Dr #337 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,600 $1.73 26d 1 1.11mi
2503 Dickens Dr #2503 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,050 $1.78 45d 1 1.11mi
4475 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1555 $3,100 $1.99 0d 1 1.12mi
347 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1520 $2,595 $1.71 14d 1 1.12mi
4462 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1783 $3,400 $1.91 45d 1 1.13mi
1464 Farrington Ln Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 1836 $3,300 $1.80 0d 1 1.14mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1588 $2,795 $1.76 13d 1 1.14mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1588 $2,795 $1.76 45d 1 1.14mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,850 $1.78 2d 1 1.14mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$360 · $4,320/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,999 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,999 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,999 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,999 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,999 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,999 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,999 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,999 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,999 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    listed $299,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,130 · $594/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,130 · $594/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,796
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$7,130
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,544
− Management
−$2,544
− HOA
−$4,320
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$11,773
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,826
After-tax cash flow
$-3,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
CUSD 308
NCES district ID
1730270
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$89,945
Composite
31.25/100
National rank
#6028
State rank
#179 of 620 in IL

Livability — Aurora

Score
75/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#4272

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
City population
186,692
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
16,789
Household income
$136,726
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
19.0

Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
705,368 people
By 2030
708,154 · +0.4%
By 2040
702,692 · -0.4%
By 2050
680,249 · -3.6%
By 2075
611,990 · -13.2%
By 2100
516,215 · -26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Asian 19% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Scandinavian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Will

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.31%
Current HPI
232.382
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+115.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $299,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-20 Sold (MLS) $120,100 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-03 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-17 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-03 Price Changed $119,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-22 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-23 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-14 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-08 Price Changed $122,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-03 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-28 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-27 Listed $129,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $139,065 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $7,130 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…