618 Animas · Benavides, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +3.2/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
My manufactured 3 bedroom 2 bath home sits on one acre of land. The property is a corner lot with room for gardening and growing your own fresh herbs and vegetables. Unless, raising livestock is your passion, there is a fenced area perfect to house chicken, cow, pigs or whatever your favorite animals. There are faucets throughout t the property for irrigation. The school and school grounds are across the street perfect your keeping the kiddos close. Situated to the right is a one car garage with a storage room equipped with power and outlets. Come make your home in this private, spacious, South Texas treasure.
Key facts
- One car garage
- Fenced area
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#514 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Benavides ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,028 of 1,141 in TX (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.49%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $15,816
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $46,887
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78341
- Home prices YoY
- -6.2%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $663/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $434 | -5% $417 | +0% $400 | +5% $383 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $308 | -5% $354 | +0% $400 | +5% $446 | +10% $492 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $430 | -0.5pp $415 | base $400 | +0.5pp $384 | +1.0pp $368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $60,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2025-10-08$60,000 Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
My manufactured 3 bedroom 2 bath home sits on one acre of land. The property is a corner lot with room for gardening and growing your own fresh herbs and vegetables. Unless, raising livestock is your passion, there is a fenced area perfect to house chicken, cow, pigs or whatever your favorite animals. There are faucets throughout t the property for irrigation. The school and school grounds are across the street perfect your keeping the kiddos close. Situated to the right is a one car garage with a storage room equipped with power and outlets. Come make your home in this private, spacious, South Texas treasure.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $663 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,098 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$435/yr (+$36/mo · 65.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$663
- − Insurance
- −$1,802
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$999
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,797/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Benavides ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4899130
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,526
- Composite
- 27.64/100
- National rank
- #12334
- State rank
- #1028 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Benavides
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #514
- US rank
- #10155
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Benavides, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,518
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,826 people
- By 2030
- 10,531 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 10,015 · -7.5%
- By 2050
- 9,560 · -11.7%
- By 2075
- 8,442 · -22.0%
- By 2100
- 6,686 · -38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 16% White 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 84%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 51%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.8) · D 44.9% · R 54.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -60.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.4pp · 2024: -9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.8 2020: D+2.6 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+54.2 2008: D+50.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.57%
- Current HPI
- 53.5482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-10-08 Listed $60,000 Fizber.com
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $663 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…